NIO (NIO, $19.92) posted wider-than-expected Q4 loss
NIO reported a fourth quarter loss that was wider than analysts' expectations, even though the Chinese carmaker beat revenue expectations.
The company’s loss for the quarter was -1.36 yuan (-$0.21), more than twice as large as the loss per share analysts expected.
Revenue, however, climbed +49% from the year-ago quarter to 9.9 billion yuan, beating analysts’ expectations of 9.7 billion yuan.
NIO delivered 25,034 vehicles, higher than analysts’ expectation of 24,930. Total vehicle sales for the quarter increased +49.3% year-over-year to 9.2 billion yuan (vehicle sales accounted for about 93% of total revenue for the quarter). The company's measure of gross margin for vehicle sales, was 20.9% compared to 17.2% in the year-ago quarter, on the back of higher average selling prices.
For Q1 FY 2022, NIO projects vehicle deliveries to be between 25,000 and 26,000, which would represent a year-over-year growth rates of approximately 24.6% to 29.6%. It is expecting revenue growth between 20.6% and 25.1% compared to the first quarter of FY 2021.
NIO's MACD Histogram just turned positive
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for NIO turned positive on April 17, 2025. Looking at past instances where NIO's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 44 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where NIO's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 32 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NIO advanced for three days, in of 272 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 208 cases where NIO Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on May 07, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on NIO as a result. In of 85 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
NIO moved below its 50-day moving average on April 30, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NIO declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
NIO broke above its upper Bollinger Band on April 23, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. NIO’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.689) is normal, around the industry mean (6.217). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (17.826). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (5.723). NIO has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.042). P/S Ratio (1.009) is also within normal values, averaging (78.608).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. NIO’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 80, placing this stock worse than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
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a manufacturer of electric cars
Industry MotorVehicles