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Mar 27, 2022
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NIO (NIO, $19.92) posted wider-than-expected Q4 loss

NIO (NIO, $19.92) posted wider-than-expected Q4 loss

NIO reported a fourth quarter loss that was wider than  analysts' expectations, even though the Chinese carmaker beat revenue expectations.

 The company’s loss for the quarter was -1.36 yuan (-$0.21), more than twice as large as the loss per share analysts expected.

Revenue, however, climbed +49% from the year-ago quarter to 9.9 billion yuan, beating analysts’ expectations of 9.7 billion yuan.

NIO delivered 25,034 vehicles, higher than analysts’ expectation of  24,930. Total vehicle sales for the quarter increased +49.3% year-over-year to 9.2 billion yuan (vehicle sales accounted for about 93% of total revenue for the quarter). The company's measure of gross margin for vehicle sales, was 20.9% compared to 17.2% in the year-ago quarter, on the back of higher average selling prices.

For Q1 FY 2022, NIO projects vehicle deliveries to be between 25,000 and 26,000, which would represent a year-over-year growth rates of approximately 24.6% to 29.6%. It is expecting revenue growth between 20.6% and 25.1% compared to the first quarter of FY 2021.

 

Related Ticker: NIO

NIO in +6.56% Uptrend, growing for three consecutive days on November 09, 2026

Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where NIO advanced for three days, in 198 of 257 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where NIO's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 26 of 34 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 10, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on NIO as a result. In 78 of 91 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 86%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NIO declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 89%.

The Aroon Indicator for NIO entered a downward trend on November 10, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 15 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 33 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.090) is normal, around the industry mean (1.980). P/E Ratio (-1.904) is within average values for comparable stocks, (13.300). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (2.450). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.149) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.513) is also within normal values, averaging (2.648).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 78 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. NIO’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. NIO’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 92, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA), General Motors Company (NYSE:GM), Ford Motor Company (NYSE:F), NIO Inc. (NYSE:NIO).

Industry description

Automobiles continue to be arguably the most popular form of passenger travel in the U.S., and major automobile makers have revenues and market capitalizations running into multi-billions. In recent years, the industry has been experiencing some path-breaking innovations like electric vehicles and self-driving technology. While there are long-standing companies like General Motors, Ford, and Toyota Motors operating in this space, there are also emerging/rapidly growing players like Tesla – which has had a major role in the growing popularity of the electric vehicle market. With technological advancements taking steam in the auto space, we’ve also witnessed collaborations (or talks of potential partnerships) of carmakers with tech behemoths like Google’s subsidiary, Waymo.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Motor Vehicles Industry is 73.7B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 669 to 1.41T. TSLA holds the highest valuation in this group at 1.41T. The lowest valued company is PEVM at 669.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Motor Vehicles Industry was -5%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -12%, and the average quarterly price growth was -31%. FLYE experienced the highest price growth at 45%, while CENN experienced the biggest fall at -59%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Motor Vehicles Industry was -5%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 3% and the average quarterly volume growth was -52%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 44
P/E Growth Rating: 49
Price Growth Rating: 68
SMR Rating: 87
Profit Risk Rating: 91
Seasonality Score: -3 (-100 ... +100)
Related Portfolios: CHINA COMPANIES
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General Information

a manufacturer of electric cars

Industry MotorVehicles

Industry
Motor Vehicles
Address
No. 1355, Caobao Road
Phone
+86 2169082018
Employees
35032
Web
https://www.nio.com
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