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Sarah Patel's Avatar
published in Blogs
Mar 27, 2022

NIO (NIO, $19.92) posted wider-than-expected Q4 loss

NIO reported a fourth quarter loss that was wider than  analysts' expectations, even though the Chinese carmaker beat revenue expectations.

 The company’s loss for the quarter was -1.36 yuan (-$0.21), more than twice as large as the loss per share analysts expected.

Revenue, however, climbed +49% from the year-ago quarter to 9.9 billion yuan, beating analysts’ expectations of 9.7 billion yuan.

NIO delivered 25,034 vehicles, higher than analysts’ expectation of  24,930. Total vehicle sales for the quarter increased +49.3% year-over-year to 9.2 billion yuan (vehicle sales accounted for about 93% of total revenue for the quarter). The company's measure of gross margin for vehicle sales, was 20.9% compared to 17.2% in the year-ago quarter, on the back of higher average selling prices.

For Q1 FY 2022, NIO projects vehicle deliveries to be between 25,000 and 26,000, which would represent a year-over-year growth rates of approximately 24.6% to 29.6%. It is expecting revenue growth between 20.6% and 25.1% compared to the first quarter of FY 2021.

 

Related Ticker: NIO

Momentum Indicator for NIO turns negative, indicating new downward trend

NIO saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on May 24, 2023. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 70 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 70 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for NIO turned negative on May 30, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 40 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 40 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

NIO moved below its 50-day moving average on May 24, 2023 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NIO declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

NIO broke above its upper Bollinger Band on May 22, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for NIO entered a downward trend on May 09, 2023. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

Following a +1 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NIO advanced for three days, in of 267 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.766) is normal, around the industry mean (9.571). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (95.933). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (5.857). NIO has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.042). P/S Ratio (1.770) is also within normal values, averaging (74.768).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. NIO’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. NIO’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 89, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA), Ford Motor Company (NYSE:F), General Motors Company (NYSE:GM), NIO Inc. (NYSE:NIO).

Industry description

Automobiles continue to be arguably the most popular form of passenger travel in the U.S., and major automobile makers have revenues and market capitalizations running into multi-billions. In recent years, the industry has been experiencing some path-breaking innovations like electric vehicles and self-driving technology. While there are long-standing companies like General Motors, Ford, and Toyota Motors operating in this space, there are also emerging/rapidly growing players like Tesla – which has had a major role in the growing popularity of the electric vehicle market. With technological advancements taking steam in the auto space, we’ve also witnessed collaborations (or talks of potential partnerships) of carmakers with tech behemoths like Google’s subsidiary, Waymo.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Motor Vehicles Industry is 28.05B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 2.87M to 646.36B. TSLA holds the highest valuation in this group at 646.36B. The lowest valued company is NVYAF at 2.87M.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Motor Vehicles Industry was -1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -1%, and the average quarterly price growth was -10%. GKIT experienced the highest price growth at 42%, while EVTV experienced the biggest fall at -17%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Motor Vehicles Industry was 13%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 52% and the average quarterly volume growth was 27%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 48
P/E Growth Rating: 68
Price Growth Rating: 58
SMR Rating: 68
Profit Risk Rating: 88
Seasonality Score: -9 (-100 ... +100)
Related Portfolios: CHINA COMPANIES
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A.I.Advisor
published price charts
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a manufacturer of electric cars

Industry MotorVehicles

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Motor Vehicles
Address
No. 56 AnTuo Road
Phone
+86 2169082018
Employees
26763
Web
https://www.nio.com
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NIO and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NIO has been closely correlated with XPEV. These tickers have moved in lockstep 82% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if NIO jumps, then XPEV could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To NIO
1D Price
Change %
NIO100%
+1.62%
XPEV - NIO
82%
Closely correlated
+0.13%
LI - NIO
72%
Closely correlated
-0.31%
NIU - NIO
63%
Loosely correlated
-4.10%
RIVN - NIO
56%
Loosely correlated
-0.94%
LCID - NIO
55%
Loosely correlated
+0.45%
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