Nutanix’s (NTNX) chart looks bullish, but fundamentals aren’t as strong
Cloud software company Nutanix (Nasdaq: NTNX) has performed better than 92% of stocks over the past year, on a price basis that is. The company scores a 92 on Investor’s Business Daily’s Relative Strength rating and that means it has outperformed all but 8% of stocks on a price basis for the past year.
When we look at the daily chart we see that the stock has jumped sharply since the end of December, and it held up better than most in the fourth quarter. In fact, the stock put in a triple-bottom in the fourth quarter with the stock dropping down to the $35.25 to $35.50 area in October, November, and December. After the lows in October and November, the stock bounced back to the $47 area. In January, the stock broke above the $47 area and has continued higher.
The Tickeron AI Trend Prediction tool generated a bullish signal for Nutanix on February 14. The prediction came with an 81% confidence level and 82% of past predictions have been accurate. The prediction calls for a gain of at least 4% over the next month.
If there is a concern for Nutanix, it is that the stock has been performing better than the company. The company is losing money still and has yet to turn a profit since going public in October 2016. The good news is that the company has seen sales grow by 66% per year over the last three years, so it could soon make a profit. The company is scheduled to report earnings on February 28.
NTNX's Indicator enters downward trend
The Aroon Indicator for NTNX entered a downward trend on October 28, 2025. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 148 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In of the 148 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 11, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on NTNX as a result. In of 92 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for NTNX turned negative on November 13, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 46 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
NTNX moved below its 50-day moving average on November 11, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 50-day moving average for NTNX moved below the 200-day moving average on November 18, 2025. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NTNX declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator entered the oversold zone -- be on the watch for NTNX's price rising or consolidating in the future. That's also the time to consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NTNX advanced for three days, in of 317 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
NTNX may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 91, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.000) is normal, around the industry mean (15.238). P/E Ratio (92.908) is within average values for comparable stocks, (155.160). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.526) is also within normal values, averaging (1.602). NTNX has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.026). P/S Ratio (6.998) is also within normal values, averaging (69.110).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. NTNX’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
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General Information
an operator of enterprise cloud platform that converges traditional silos of server, virtualization and storage into one integrated solution
Industry ComputerCommunications
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