Oil Prices Decline in Spite of Iran and Saudi Arabia Tensions
Oil prices hit a nearly four-year high at the start of October 2018, as demand rose and as U.S. sanctions resulted in declining Iranian crude exports.
However, the last two weeks have seen the oil market undergoing an incredible reversal in price movement, despite the backdrop of looming U.S. sanctions on Iran, OPEC's third-largest crude producer, and rising tensions between Washington and Saudi Arabia, the world's biggest oil exporter.
U.S. crude prices declined by ~11% from peak to trough while Brent Crude was down more than 9%. U.S. crude futures fell to a nearly five-week low of $68.47 in the last week, plunging more than $8 a barrel from this month's four-year high of $76.90.
Meanwhile, Brent crude hovered around $78.69 a barrel in the last week, down $8 or 9.3%, from its four-year high at $86.74 in the first week of October.
Rising U.S. crude stockpiles by ~ 22.3 million barrels -- the biggest increase over a four-week period since 2015 -- forecasts of a slower-than-expected commodity and oil demand growth owing to rising oil prices, and the recent sell-off in stock markets as investors dumped risky assets, are all considered to be the main factors driving the declines.
COP's Stochastic Oscillator is remaining in oversold zone for 1 day
Be on the lookout for a price bounce soon.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where COP advanced for three days, in of 341 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 25, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on COP as a result. In of 90 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for COP turned negative on November 26, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 45 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
COP moved below its 50-day moving average on November 17, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 50-day moving average for COP moved below the 200-day moving average on October 28, 2025. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where COP declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
COP broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 14, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for COP entered a downward trend on November 13, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 73, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. COP’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.658) is normal, around the industry mean (11.226). P/E Ratio (12.301) is within average values for comparable stocks, (25.428). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (3.086) is also within normal values, averaging (4.143). Dividend Yield (0.036) settles around the average of (0.078) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.817) is also within normal values, averaging (167.151).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
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General Information
a producer of wholesales oil and natural gas
Industry OilGasProduction
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