Oracle rebounds Friday, after getting dumped by the Oracle of Omaha's company on Valentine Day.
On Thursday February 14, Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway disclosed that it had divested its entire stake in software company Oracle – leading to Oracle shares tumbling that day. But the very next day, the stock price increased almost +1%.
According to Berkshire’s regulatory filing, the conglomerate dumped all of the 41.4 million Oracle shares worth around $2.13 billion that it had held as of the end of the third quarter. Berkshire had held Oracle shares only during a quarter. Oracle was the only liquidation for Berkshire in the quarter.
Late last year, Oracle posted higher-than-expected earnings for fiscal second quarter. It also predicted current quarter earnings to be in the range of between 86 cents and 88 cents a share – higher than Wall Street expectation of 84 cents a share. On a constant currency basis, Oracle projected revenue to grow +3% for the full-year. On Friday, the company announced an additional share repurchase of $12 billion of common stock as part of its existing buyback program.
The 10-day moving average for ORCL crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on April 23, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on April 01, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on ORCL as a result. In of 79 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for ORCL turned negative on March 28, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 43 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
ORCL moved below its 50-day moving average on April 17, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ORCL declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for ORCL entered a downward trend on May 01, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where ORCL's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 25 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ORCL advanced for three days, in of 346 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
ORCL may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 90, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ORCL’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (61.350) is normal, around the industry mean (29.955). P/E Ratio (33.108) is within average values for comparable stocks, (155.575). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.057) is also within normal values, averaging (2.725). Dividend Yield (0.013) settles around the average of (0.081) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (6.720) is also within normal values, averaging (55.459).
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a developer of a diversified line of business software products
Industry PackagedSoftware