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Oct 01, 2021
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Paychex (PAYX, $112.45) beats fiscal Q1 earnings and revenue expectations

Paychex (PAYX, $112.45) beats fiscal Q1 earnings and revenue expectations

Paychex posted its fiscal first quarter earnings and revenue that surpassed analysts' expectations.

The human resource and payroll services company’s earnings per share rose +41% from the year-ago quarter to $0.89, well above the $0.80 per share expected by analysts polled by Investing.com.

 Revenue grew +16% from the year-ago quarter to $1.08 billion, vs. $1.04 billion expected by analysts polled by Investing.com.

For the full fiscal year ending May 31, 2022, Paychex projects adjusted diluted earnings per share growth in the range of +12% to +14%, and total revenue growth of approximately +8%.

 

Related Ticker: PAYX

PAYX in upward trend: 10-day moving average broke above 50-day moving average on October 29, 2026

The 10-day moving average for PAYX crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 29, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 11 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 10, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on PAYX as a result. In 49 of 82 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 60%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for PAYX just turned positive on October 08, 2026. Looking at past instances where PAYX's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 31 of 50 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 62%.

PAYX moved above its 50-day moving average on October 30, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a +3.33% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PAYX advanced for three days, in 164 of 306 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 54%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 119 of 233 cases where PAYX Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 51%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for PAYX moved out of overbought territory on November 06, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 28 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 13 of the 28 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 46%.

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 31 of 62 cases where PAYX's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 50%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PAYX declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 61%.

PAYX broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 22 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 43 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. PAYX’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 55 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 80 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (11.246) is normal, around the industry mean (-1.906). P/E Ratio (23.226) is within average values for comparable stocks, (9.554). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.848) is also within normal values, averaging (2.824). Dividend Yield (0.041) settles around the average of (0.069) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (6.452) is also within normal values, averaging (70.383).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 83 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. PAYX’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 94, placing this stock better than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Shopify Inc (NASDAQ:SHOP), Salesforce (NYSE:CRM), Uber Technologies (NYSE:UBER), ServiceNow Inc. (NYSE:NOW), Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE), Intuit (NASDAQ:INTU), Datadog (NASDAQ:DDOG), Autodesk (NASDAQ:ADSK), Workday (NASDAQ:WDAY), Atlassian Corp (NASDAQ:TEAM).

Industry description

Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Packaged Software Industry is 10.32B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 39 to 269.45B. SAP holds the highest valuation in this group at 269.45B. The lowest valued company is STIXF at 39.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was -2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -4%, and the average quarterly price growth was 4%. SAGT experienced the highest price growth at 47%, while AUUD experienced the biggest fall at -71%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was -12%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 21% and the average quarterly volume growth was -44%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 51
P/E Growth Rating: 58
Price Growth Rating: 59
SMR Rating: 77
Profit Risk Rating: 93
Seasonality Score: 10 (-100 ... +100)
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published General Information

General Information

a provider of payroll processing and other human resources services

Industry PackagedSoftware

Industry
Data Processing Services
Address
911 Panorama Trail South
Phone
+1 585 385-6666
Employees
17600
Web
https://www.paychex.com
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