Paychex (PAYX, $136.89) beats Q3 earnings expectations
Paychex posted its third quarter earnings and revenue, both of which surpassed analysts' expectations.
The human resource/payroll company’s earnings came in at $1.15 a share, well above the $1.05 a share expected by analysts polled by Investing.com.
Revenue of $1.28 billion also beat expectations of $1.22 billion.
Paychex revenues from its Management Solutions segment increased +13% from the year-ago quarter to $959.9 million. Professional employer organization (“PEO”) and Insurance Solutions revenues were up +21% from the year-ago quarter to $301.7 million.
For fiscal year 2022, total revenues are now expected to register 12-13% growth compared with the prior expectation of 10-11%. Adjusted earnings per share are now expected to register 22.5-23% growth compared with the prior expectation of 18-20%.
Growth in management Solutions revenues are now expected to be in the range of 12-13% compared with the prior forecast of 10-11%. PEO and Insurance Solutions revenues are now expected to grow 13-14% compared with the previous outlook of 10-12%.
Adjusted operating margin is expected to be almost 40% compared vs. prior expectation of 39-40%. Adjusted EBITDA margin is now expected to be nearly 44-45% compared with the prior expectation of 44%.
PAYX's Indicator enters downward trend
The Aroon Indicator for PAYX entered a downward trend on November 19, 2025. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 169 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In of the 169 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 23, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on PAYX as a result. In of 78 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for PAYX turned negative on October 29, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 51 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PAYX declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 15 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an Uptrend is expected.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 18 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PAYX advanced for three days, in of 324 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
PAYX may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (9.970) is normal, around the industry mean (12.724). P/E Ratio (24.655) is within average values for comparable stocks, (116.646). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.135) is also within normal values, averaging (1.768). Dividend Yield (0.038) settles around the average of (0.029) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (6.873) is also within normal values, averaging (55.322).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 92, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. PAYX’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
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General Information
a provider of payroll processing and other human resources services
Industry PackagedSoftware
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