Peloton (PTON, $27.06) shares rebound, as it refutes production halt report
Peloton Interactive shares climbed on Friday, following Thursday’s plunge that wiped $2.5 billion off the fitness equipment maker’s market value. The company refuted reports that it will suspend production of its bikes and treadmills.
Thursday's CNBC report cited an internal memo suggesting that the group was planning to halt production for two months production due to a post-pandemic reduction in demand for its connected bikes and treadmills. CEO John Foley called this report 'false'. However, Foley mentioned that the group will 'reset' output levels and assess the size of its workforce and implement "significant corrective actions" in order to boost profits.
"We now need to evaluate our organization structure and size of our team," Foley mentioned. "And we are still in the process of considering all options ... to make our business more flexible."
Also, Peloton’s preliminary second quarter revenue projections is $1.14 billion. Its adjusted EBITDA forecast is in the region of -$270 million to -$260 million, vs. prior guidance of a loss of -$350 million.
PTON in upward trend: price may ascend as a result of having broken its lower Bollinger Band on June 17, 2025
PTON may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In of 32 cases where PTON's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 66 cases where PTON's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
PTON moved above its 50-day moving average on June 27, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PTON advanced for three days, in of 287 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 185 cases where PTON Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on June 17, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on PTON as a result. In of 89 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for PTON turned negative on June 13, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 44 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
The 10-day moving average for PTON crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on June 26, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PTON declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. PTON’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (86.957) is normal, around the industry mean (52.194). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (57.389). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (2.636). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.053) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.559) is also within normal values, averaging (5.368).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. PTON’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 87, placing this stock worse than average.
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General Information
an interactive fitness platform, which engages in the operation of in-studio fitness classes, fitness clubs, at-home fitness equipment & content and health & wellness apps
Industry RecreationalProducts
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