Philip Morris (PM, $75.51) beats Q4 earnings estimate, shares climb +1.9%
Philip Morris International beat earnings and revenue expectations for the fourth quarter, leading to its shares jumping +1.9% early Thursday.
The tobacco & cigarette company reported fourth-quarter earnings of $1.25 per share, which exceeded analysts’ expected $1.17 per share. Revenues for the quarter were $7.5 billion, higher than analysts’ estimate of $7.4 billion.
However, the firm’s operating income and profits were lower compared to the year-ago quarter. Its cigarette and heated-tobacco-unit shipment fell -4.6% year over year. Revenues still increased from the year-ago period.
The company’s projected earnings for 2019 is $5.37 a share – which represents around +5.7% growth. Analysts are expecting earnings of $5.29 a share.
Philip Morris CEO André Calantzopoulos indicated that the company is hopeful about its combustible tobacco business and “reduced-risk products” as key drivers of the firm's long-term growth.
Momentum Indicator for PM turns positive, indicating new upward trend
PM saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on October 16, 2024. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 83 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 83 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for PM just turned positive on October 22, 2024. Looking at past instances where PM's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
PM moved above its 50-day moving average on October 22, 2024 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for PM crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 22, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PM advanced for three days, in of 371 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for PM moved out of overbought territory on October 25, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 50 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 3 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PM declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
PM broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for PM entered a downward trend on October 15, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 73, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. PM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: PM's P/B Ratio (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (3.027). PM has a moderately high P/E Ratio (21.487) as compared to the industry average of (12.369). PM's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.758) is slightly lower than the industry average of (15.195). Dividend Yield (0.043) settles around the average of (0.058) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (5.179) is also within normal values, averaging (8.286).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
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General Information
a manufacturer of cigarettes and other tobacco products
Industry Tobacco