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Feb 07, 2019
Philip Morris (PM, $75.51) beats Q4 earnings estimate, shares climb +1.9%

Philip Morris (PM, $75.51) beats Q4 earnings estimate, shares climb +1.9%

Philip Morris International beat earnings and revenue expectations for the fourth quarter, leading to its shares jumping +1.9% early Thursday.

The tobacco & cigarette company reported fourth-quarter earnings of $1.25 per share, which exceeded analysts’ expected $1.17 per share. Revenues for the quarter were $7.5 billion, higher than analysts’ estimate of $7.4 billion.

However, the firm’s  operating income and profits were lower compared to the year-ago quarter. Its cigarette and heated-tobacco-unit shipment fell -4.6% year over year. Revenues still increased from the year-ago period.

The company’s projected earnings for 2019 is $5.37 a share – which represents around +5.7% growth. Analysts are expecting earnings of $5.29 a share.

Philip Morris CEO André Calantzopoulos  indicated that the company is hopeful about its combustible tobacco business and “reduced-risk products” as key drivers of the firm's long-term growth.

Related Ticker: PM

PM in upward trend: price may ascend as a result of having broken its lower Bollinger Band on June 01, 2026

PM may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In of 31 cases where PM's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 54 cases where PM's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

PM moved above its 50-day moving average on May 04, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for PM crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on May 06, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PM advanced for three days, in of 384 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 319 cases where PM Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for PM moved out of overbought territory on May 20, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 48 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on May 26, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on PM as a result. In of 79 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for PM turned negative on May 27, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 47 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PM declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 64, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.000) is normal, around the industry mean (19.502). P/E Ratio (25.128) is within average values for comparable stocks, (20.338). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.491) is also within normal values, averaging (1.968). Dividend Yield (0.032) settles around the average of (0.044) among similar stocks. PM's P/S Ratio (6.702) is slightly higher than the industry average of (3.033).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. PM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Philip Morris International (NYSE:PM), Altria Group (NYSE:MO).

Industry description

The industry is engaged in the growth, preparation for sale, advertisement, and distribution of tobacco and tobacco-related products like cigarettes. In 2017, tobacco companies spent an estimated $9.36 billion marketing cigarettes and smokeless tobacco in the U.S. – an amount that translates to more than $25 million each day (according to a CDC report). Philip Morris International Inc., Altria Group Inc., and British American Tobacco plc are some major cigar makers. In recent times, vaping or the use of e-cigarette (does not burn tobacco) is gaining momentum – several established cigarette makers are trying to expand their footprint in this new market.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Tobacco Industry is 53.39B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 99 to 278.19B. PM holds the highest valuation in this group at 278.19B. The lowest valued company is AHII at 99.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Tobacco Industry was -0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -9%, and the average quarterly price growth was -12%. RYM experienced the highest price growth at 11%, while XXII experienced the biggest fall at -23%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Tobacco Industry was 12%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 25% and the average quarterly volume growth was 46%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 38
P/E Growth Rating: 60
Price Growth Rating: 59
SMR Rating: 100
Profit Risk Rating: 63
Seasonality Score: -30 (-100 ... +100)
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a manufacturer of cigarettes and other tobacco products

Industry Tobacco

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Industry
Tobacco
Address
677 Washington Boulevard
Phone
+1 203 905-2410
Employees
87200
Web
https://www.pmi.com
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