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Serhii Bondarenko's Avatar
published in Blogs
Jul 07, 2023

Profit from PTON's Rise: Market Neutral Strategy 16.31%

Riding the Wave of PTON's Promising Market Indicators: A Robust Market Neutral Strategy (TA&FA)

Peloton Interactive Inc (PTON) is a stock to watch in this turbulent market, exhibiting a bullish trend and showing impressive resilience. The TA&FA Market Neutral Strategy has produced an impressive 16.31% yield on PTON, due in large part to a series of significant technical signals favoring a continued uptrend.

On July 5, 2023, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for PTON switched to positive, a historically strong sign for this particular stock. Our historical data shows that in 27 out of 31 cases, such positive shifts in PTON's MACD were followed by an increase in the stock price over the subsequent month, which sets the odds for a continued uptrend at an encouraging 87%.

The Stochastic Oscillator also points to a potential trend reversal, from downward to upward. Historical analysis of the 46 instances where PTON's Stochastic Oscillator left the oversold zone shows that 37 resulted in an increase in price. This puts the odds of a continuing upward trend at an optimistic 80%.

In another positive sign, PTON's Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on July 06, 2023. A similar shift in momentum has been witnessed in the past 62 instances, leading to a climb in stock price 51 times. The odds of PTON continuing its upward trajectory, in this case, stand at 82%.

Additionally, PTON's price is projected to rise following a robust +7.02% 3-day advance. Our historical analysis shows that in 191 of 225 instances when PTON rallied for three consecutive days, the stock price continued to climb over the next month. The probability of this continuing upward trend is a compelling 85%.

Finally, PTON's Aroon Indicator entered an uptrend, another bullish sign. From our records, in 154 of the 180 instances where PTON's Aroon Indicator signaled an uptrend, the price increased over the next month. This puts the odds of a continued uptrend at 86%.

In conclusion, the TA&FA Market Neutral Strategy's impressive yield, coupled with strong indicators of an uptrend from MACD, Stochastic Oscillator, Momentum Indicator, 3-day Advance, and Aroon Indicator, make PTON a promising stock for investors eyeing opportunities amidst the market choppiness. With careful positioning and strategic moves, riding this wave could offer fruitful returns.

Related Ticker: PTON

PTON in upward trend: price may ascend as a result of having broken its lower Bollinger Band on November 20, 2025

PTON may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In of 32 cases where PTON's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where PTON's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 36 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PTON advanced for three days, in of 269 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 19, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on PTON as a result. In of 91 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for PTON turned negative on November 19, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 47 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PTON declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for PTON entered a downward trend on November 24, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. PTON’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.000) is normal, around the industry mean (7.936). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (44.455). PTON's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (3.242). PTON has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.031). P/S Ratio (1.083) is also within normal values, averaging (36.271).

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. PTON’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 87, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are YETI Holdings (NYSE:YETI), Peloton Interactive (NASDAQ:PTON).

Industry description

The Leisure and Recreation Products industry includes companies offering recreational goods/services such as video games, swimming pools, golf courses, boats, outdoor spaces etc. Since these are mainly geared towards consumers, strong employment conditions and healthy incomes generally augur well for the recreational products industry. Some of the largest market caps in this space belong to video game developers (e.g. Activision Blizzard, Electronic Arts and Take-two Interactive), and toy /board game makers (like Hasbro).

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Recreational Products Industry is 4.48B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 5.94K to 32.15B. OLCLY holds the highest valuation in this group at 32.15B. The lowest valued company is CLUBQ at 5.94K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Recreational Products Industry was 3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -5%, and the average quarterly price growth was 11%. KENS experienced the highest price growth at 99%, while TRUG experienced the biggest fall at -41%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Recreational Products Industry was -11%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 16% and the average quarterly volume growth was 37%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 50
P/E Growth Rating: 54
Price Growth Rating: 62
SMR Rating: 72
Profit Risk Rating: 87
Seasonality Score: 15 (-100 ... +100)
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These past five trading days, the stock lost 0.00% with an average daily volume of 0 shares traded.The stock tracked a drawdown of 0% for this period. PTON showed earnings on November 06, 2025. You can read more about the earnings report here.
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

an interactive fitness platform, which engages in the operation of in-studio fitness classes, fitness clubs, at-home fitness equipment & content and health & wellness apps

Industry RecreationalProducts

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
N/A
Address
441 Ninth Avenue
Phone
+1 917 671-9198
Employees
2765
Web
https://www.onepeloton.com
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