Go to the list of all blogs
Sergey Savastiouk's Avatar
published in Blogs
Jul 23, 2020
TickeronGET DAILY SIGNALS
PulteGroup (PHM, $41.36) beats Q2 earnings estimates

PulteGroup (PHM, $41.36) beats Q2 earnings estimates

On Thursday, PulteGroup  posted second-quarter earnings that beat analysts’ expectations.

The home construction company’s second quarter earnings came in at an adjusted $1.15 a share, exceeding the 87 cents a share expected by analysts polled by FactSet.

Revenue climbed +4.2% year-over-year to $2.59 billion, compared to $2.53 billion expected by analysts surveyed by FactSet.

Home-sales revenue revealed a +6% increase in closings, to 5,937 homes. However, the increase was partly offset by a -3% decrease in average sales price to $416,000. 

Net new orders fell -4% year over year to 6,522 homes with an average sales price of $410,000, down from $426,000 in the year-ago period.

PulteGroup  said it paid down the $700 million it had borrowed as a precaution in March when the coronavirus pandemic broke out. 

According to Tickeron, PHM in +4.95% Uptrend, advancing for three consecutive days on July 22, 2020

As a Bullish sign, keep an eye on this company's ticker for future growth. Considering data from situations where PHM advanced for three days, in 237 of 347 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 68%.

Current price $41.31 crossed the resistance line at $40.67 and is trading between $42.10 resistance and $40.67 resistance lines. Throughout the month of 06/19/20 - 07/22/20, the price experienced a +14% Uptrend. During the week of 07/15/20 - 07/22/20, the stock enjoyed a +9% Uptrend growth.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator exceeded the 0 level on July 08, 2020. Traders may consider buying the ticker or exploring call options. In 64 of 94 cases where the ticker's Momentum Indicator exceeded 0, its price rose further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 68%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) just turned positive. Considering data from situations where PHM's MACD histogram became positive, in 32 of 48 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 67%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator demonstrated that the ticker has entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

The Stochastic Indicator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 6 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

The higher Bollinger Band was broken -- a price fall is expected as the ticker heads toward the middle band, which invites the trader to consider selling or shorting the ticker, or exploring put options. In 30 of 54 cases where PHM's price broke its higher Bollinger Band, its price dropped further during the following month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 56%.

The Aroon Indicator entered a Downtrend today. In 79 of 110 cases where PHM Aroon's Indicator entered a Downtrend, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 72%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Tickeron has a positive outlook on this ticker and predicts a further increase by more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 64%. During the last month, the daily ratio of advancing to declining volumes was 1.59 to 1.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 25 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.91) is normal, around the industry mean (1.28). P/E Ratio (10.33) is within average values for comparable stocks, (16.79). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.79) is also within normal values, averaging (0.75). PHM has a moderately high Dividend Yield (1.16) as compared to the industry average of (0.32). P/S Ratio (0.58) is also within normal values, averaging (0.59).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 39 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. PHM’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 42 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 43 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 67, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 53 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

 

Related Ticker: PHM

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


PHM in upward trend: 10-day moving average moved above 50-day moving average on November 02, 2026

The 10-day moving average for PHM crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on November 02, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 9 of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 21, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on PHM as a result. In 61 of 92 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 66%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for PHM just turned positive on October 16, 2026. Looking at past instances where PHM's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 35 of 49 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.

PHM moved above its 50-day moving average on October 23, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a +5.57% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PHM advanced for three days, in 212 of 305 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for PHM moved out of overbought territory on November 06, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 24 of the 43 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 56%.

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 39 of 62 cases where PHM's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 63%.

The 50-day moving average for PHM moved below the 200-day moving average on October 07, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PHM declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 60%.

PHM broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for PHM entered a downward trend on October 23, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 11 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 18 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. PHM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 29 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 67, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 57 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 75 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.939) is normal, around the industry mean (1.910). P/E Ratio (13.437) is within average values for comparable stocks, (10.592). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.995) is also within normal values, averaging (1.217). Dividend Yield (0.008) settles around the average of (0.019) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.393) is also within normal values, averaging (24.205).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are DR Horton (NYSE:DHI), Pultegroup (NYSE:PHM), Lennar Corp (NYSE:LEN), KB Home (NYSE:KBH).

Industry description

Homebuilding includes companies residential home construction companies, renovators and repair firms. The companies may be building single-family or multifamily homes, condominiums or mobile homes. Over the five years to 2019, the Home Builders industry is estimated to have grown at an annualized rate of 2.5% to reach $89.4 billion, (including expected growth of 2.6% in 2019), according to a study by IbisWorld. After having suffered one of its worst crises a decade ago during the last macroeconomic recession–which had much of its origins in U.S. real estate – the homebuilding industry has been recovering steadily so far. Higher disposable incomes and improving economic activity have bolstered consumers’ purchases of homes. While revenue of the Home Builders industry remains well below its prerecession high, demand growth estimates show promise.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Homebuilding Industry is 8.13B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 12.75K to 42.59B. DHI holds the highest valuation in this group at 42.59B. The lowest valued company is BDCC at 12.75K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Homebuilding Industry was 1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 5%, and the average quarterly price growth was 8%. DFH experienced the highest price growth at 18%, while BXBL experienced the biggest fall at -10%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Homebuilding Industry was -27%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 17% and the average quarterly volume growth was 4%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 58
P/E Growth Rating: 28
Price Growth Rating: 48
SMR Rating: 71
Profit Risk Rating: 66
Seasonality Score: 51 (-100 ... +100)
AI Patterns 1
View a ticker or compare two or three
Interact to see
Advertisement
A.I.Advisor
published price charts
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a company which engages in the homebuilding business

Industry Homebuilding

Industry
Homebuilding
Address
3350 Peachtree Road NE
Phone
+1 404 978-6400
Employees
6506
Web
https://www.pultegroupinc.com
Interact to see
Advertisement
AtlasClear Holdings (ATCH) shares fell roughly 25.5% over the last 30 days, declining from $0.1881 on October 2 to $0.1401 on October 30. The pullback extended a longer downtrend that has kept the stock trading well below the $1.00 NYSE American minimum, keeping continued listing-compliance risk in focus.
XRPN fell -9.70% in early regular-session trading on Tuesday, sliding from Monday's $10.41 close to $9.40. The decline follows a November 9 SEC prospectus disclosing a committed equity facility with Cantor to sell up to 5.2 million new Class A shares at 97% of the volume-weighted average price, implying up to roughly 16.7% potential dilution.
The central target of $1,620 is the arithmetic mean of verified, current analyst price targets, rounded to a clean level; it is not a single firm's forecast or a guarantee. At a recent price of about $690 , reaching $1,620 would require a gain of roughly 135% , a very large move by any standard.
The $1.50 central target is a fallback objective drawn from public market and technical discussion, not an analyst consensus, because AquaBounty Technologies, Inc. (NASDAQ: AQB) has no credible, current sell-side price targets. With the stock near $0.95, reaching $1.50 would require roughly 58% upside, a very large move for a company that has wound down its core aquaculture operations.
NVDA fell -2.10% to $216.66 during regular trading, down from a prior close of $221.30. Primary catalyst: hotter-than-expected September CPI data reignited Fed rate-hike fears, raising borrowing costs for AI infrastructure buildouts.
PulteGroup (PHM, $41.36) beats Q2 earnings estimates