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published in Blogs
Jul 23, 2020

PulteGroup (PHM, $41.36) beats Q2 earnings estimates

On Thursday, PulteGroup  posted second-quarter earnings that beat analysts’ expectations.

The home construction company’s second quarter earnings came in at an adjusted $1.15 a share, exceeding the 87 cents a share expected by analysts polled by FactSet.

Revenue climbed +4.2% year-over-year to $2.59 billion, compared to $2.53 billion expected by analysts surveyed by FactSet.

Home-sales revenue revealed a +6% increase in closings, to 5,937 homes. However, the increase was partly offset by a -3% decrease in average sales price to $416,000. 

Net new orders fell -4% year over year to 6,522 homes with an average sales price of $410,000, down from $426,000 in the year-ago period.

PulteGroup  said it paid down the $700 million it had borrowed as a precaution in March when the coronavirus pandemic broke out. 

According to Tickeron, PHM in +4.95% Uptrend, advancing for three consecutive days on July 22, 2020

As a Bullish sign, keep an eye on this company's ticker for future growth. Considering data from situations where PHM advanced for three days, in 237 of 347 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 68%.

Current price $41.31 crossed the resistance line at $40.67 and is trading between $42.10 resistance and $40.67 resistance lines. Throughout the month of 06/19/20 - 07/22/20, the price experienced a +14% Uptrend. During the week of 07/15/20 - 07/22/20, the stock enjoyed a +9% Uptrend growth.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator exceeded the 0 level on July 08, 2020. Traders may consider buying the ticker or exploring call options. In 64 of 94 cases where the ticker's Momentum Indicator exceeded 0, its price rose further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 68%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) just turned positive. Considering data from situations where PHM's MACD histogram became positive, in 32 of 48 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 67%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator demonstrated that the ticker has entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

The Stochastic Indicator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 6 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

The higher Bollinger Band was broken -- a price fall is expected as the ticker heads toward the middle band, which invites the trader to consider selling or shorting the ticker, or exploring put options. In 30 of 54 cases where PHM's price broke its higher Bollinger Band, its price dropped further during the following month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 56%.

The Aroon Indicator entered a Downtrend today. In 79 of 110 cases where PHM Aroon's Indicator entered a Downtrend, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 72%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Tickeron has a positive outlook on this ticker and predicts a further increase by more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 64%. During the last month, the daily ratio of advancing to declining volumes was 1.59 to 1.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 25 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.91) is normal, around the industry mean (1.28). P/E Ratio (10.33) is within average values for comparable stocks, (16.79). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.79) is also within normal values, averaging (0.75). PHM has a moderately high Dividend Yield (1.16) as compared to the industry average of (0.32). P/S Ratio (0.58) is also within normal values, averaging (0.59).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 39 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. PHM’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 42 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 43 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 67, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 53 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

 

Related Ticker: PHM

PHM in upward trend: price expected to rise as it breaks its lower Bollinger Band on May 23, 2024

PHM may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In of 22 cases where PHM's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

PHM moved above its 50-day moving average on May 24, 2024 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for PHM crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on May 03, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PHM advanced for three days, in of 344 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 340 cases where PHM Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for PHM moved out of overbought territory on May 16, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 41 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 41 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on May 22, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on PHM as a result. In of 94 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for PHM turned negative on May 22, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 51 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PHM declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 53, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. PHM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.407) is normal, around the industry mean (6.594). P/E Ratio (10.105) is within average values for comparable stocks, (94.223). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.329) is also within normal values, averaging (1.437). PHM has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.006) as compared to the industry average of (0.043). P/S Ratio (1.631) is also within normal values, averaging (80.487).

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are DR Horton (NYSE:DHI), Lennar Corp (NYSE:LEN), Pultegroup (NYSE:PHM), KB Home (NYSE:KBH).

Industry description

Homebuilding includes companies residential home construction companies, renovators and repair firms. The companies may be building single-family or multifamily homes, condominiums or mobile homes. Over the five years to 2019, the Home Builders industry is estimated to have grown at an annualized rate of 2.5% to reach $89.4 billion, (including expected growth of 2.6% in 2019), according to a study by IbisWorld. After having suffered one of its worst crises a decade ago during the last macroeconomic recession–which had much of its origins in U.S. real estate – the homebuilding industry has been recovering steadily so far. Higher disposable incomes and improving economic activity have bolstered consumers’ purchases of homes. While revenue of the Home Builders industry remains well below its prerecession high, demand growth estimates show promise.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Homebuilding Industry is 7.37B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 66.68K to 53.71B. DHI holds the highest valuation in this group at 53.71B. The lowest valued company is ASCK at 66.68K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Homebuilding Industry was -4%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 2%, and the average quarterly price growth was 18%. VNJA experienced the highest price growth at 20%, while STHI experienced the biggest fall at -51%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Homebuilding Industry was -11%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -22% and the average quarterly volume growth was 271%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 45
P/E Growth Rating: 28
Price Growth Rating: 50
SMR Rating: 59
Profit Risk Rating: 52
Seasonality Score: -2 (-100 ... +100)
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PHMDaily Signal changed days agoGain/Loss if shorted
 
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General Information

a company which engages in the homebuilding business

Industry Homebuilding

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Homebuilding
Address
3350 Peachtree Road NE
Phone
+1 404 978-6400
Employees
6382
Web
https://www.pultegroupinc.com
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