Quantum Leap: $LRCX Gains in a Week with Trader Robot
Artificial intelligence (AI) trading robots have become an integral part of the market landscape. One such example is the "Swing Trader, Popular Stocks: Short Bias Strategy (TA&FA)" bot, which showcased impressive results with a +5.54% gain while trading LRCX over the past week. In this article, we delve into the technical analysis of LRCX, examining its recent earnings report and broader industry trends.
LRCX's MACD Histogram Signals Positive Momentum:
One key indicator that caught our attention is the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for LRCX, which turned positive on January 19, 2024. Historical data suggests that in 39 out of 50 instances where LRCX's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise over the following month, resulting in a compelling 78% success rate. This signals a potential upward trend for LRCX in the coming weeks.
Earnings Report Highlights:
The most recent earnings report for LRCX, released on January 24, revealed earnings per share of $7.52, surpassing the estimated $7.07. With 1.67 million shares outstanding, the current market capitalization stands at an impressive 95.21 billion. This positive earnings surprise suggests strong performance and potential for further growth in the semiconductor giant.
Market Capitalization in Semiconductor Industry:
Comparing LRCX's market capitalization with industry peers provides valuable context. The average market capitalization across the Semiconductor Industry is 31.22 billion, with a range spanning from 13.43 thousand to 1.12 trillion. Notably, NVDA claims the highest valuation at 1.12 trillion, while CYBL is the lowest valued company at 13.43 thousand. LRCX's substantial market capitalization underscores its significance within the industry.
Price Movements in Semiconductor Stocks:
Examining price movements across the Semiconductor Industry reveals interesting dynamics. The average weekly, monthly, and quarterly price growth for all stocks in the industry is -1%, -2%, and 0%, respectively. POET stands out with the highest price growth at 21%, while ODII experienced the most significant fall at -53%. These fluctuations emphasize the importance of understanding individual stock movements within the broader industry context.
Volume Trends in Semiconductor Stocks:
Volume trends are crucial indicators of market activity. Across the Semiconductor Industry, the average weekly volume growth is -7%, contrasting with a 118% average monthly volume growth and a 40% average quarterly volume growth. These numbers reflect the dynamic nature of the semiconductor market, with short-term fluctuations and potentially lucrative opportunities for traders.
Summary:
In summary, the positive momentum signaled by LRCX's MACD histogram, coupled with its robust earnings report, positions the stock favorably. Understanding market capitalization, price movements, and volume trends within the Semiconductor Industry provides a comprehensive view for investors.
LRCX's Indicator enters downward trend
The Aroon Indicator for LRCX entered a downward trend on December 02, 2024. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 131 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In of the 131 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on December 16, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on LRCX as a result. In of 89 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for LRCX turned negative on December 19, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 54 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 54 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
LRCX moved below its 50-day moving average on December 18, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where LRCX declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.
The 10-day moving average for LRCX crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on December 11, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where LRCX advanced for three days, in of 304 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
LRCX may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 69, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (15.649) is normal, around the industry mean (10.360). P/E Ratio (37.872) is within average values for comparable stocks, (57.127). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.793) is also within normal values, averaging (3.148). Dividend Yield (0.008) settles around the average of (0.021) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (9.174) is also within normal values, averaging (46.311).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. LRCX’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
Notable companies
Industry description
Market Cap
High and low price notable news
Volume
Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
General Information
a manufacturer of semiconductor processing equipment
Industry Semiconductors