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Aug 12, 2022
Rivian Automotive (RIVN, $38.95) Q2 revenue beats expectations

Rivian Automotive (RIVN, $38.95) Q2 revenue beats expectations

Electric vehicle maker Rivian Automotive reported second-quarter revenue that exceeded Wall Street expectations.

The electric vehicle maker’s adjusted loss was -$1.62 per share, compared to  the -$1.63 per share loss anticipated by analysts.

Revenue of $364 million came in higher than expectations of $337.5 million.

Rivian reaffirmed its expectations to make about 25,000 vehicles in 2022, in line with the reduced guidance it first provided in March. Its outlook on full-year adjusted loss before income, taxes, depreciation and amortization is $5.4 billion, wider than the $4.75 billion loss forecast it provided in May.

For the full year, Rivian is expecting $2 billion in capital expenditures, vs. $2.6 billion in its May outlook.

 

 

 

 

Related Ticker: RIVN

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


RIVN in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on August 28, 2026

RIVN moved below its 50-day moving average on August 28, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 41 of 44 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 02, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on RIVN as a result. In 68 of 78 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 87%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where RIVN declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 88%.

RIVN broke above its upper Bollinger Band on August 21, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for RIVN entered a downward trend on August 27, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 56 of 67 cases where RIVN's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 84%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for RIVN just turned positive on September 08, 2026. Looking at past instances where RIVN's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 34 of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.

Following a +2.41% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where RIVN advanced for three days, in 219 of 266 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 50 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. RIVN’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 57 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.545) is normal, around the industry mean (8.860). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (580.284). RIVN's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (3.047). RIVN has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.038). P/S Ratio (3.423) is also within normal values, averaging (2.914).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 98 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. RIVN’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 91, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA), General Motors Company (NYSE:GM), Ford Motor Company (NYSE:F), NIO Inc. (NYSE:NIO).

Industry description

Automobiles continue to be arguably the most popular form of passenger travel in the U.S., and major automobile makers have revenues and market capitalizations running into multi-billions. In recent years, the industry has been experiencing some path-breaking innovations like electric vehicles and self-driving technology. While there are long-standing companies like General Motors, Ford, and Toyota Motors operating in this space, there are also emerging/rapidly growing players like Tesla – which has had a major role in the growing popularity of the electric vehicle market. With technological advancements taking steam in the auto space, we’ve also witnessed collaborations (or talks of potential partnerships) of carmakers with tech behemoths like Google’s subsidiary, Waymo.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Motor Vehicles Industry is 71.79B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 3.72K to 1.44T. TSLA holds the highest valuation in this group at 1.44T. The lowest valued company is ZAPPF at 3.72K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Motor Vehicles Industry was -6%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -8%, and the average quarterly price growth was -21%. VFS experienced the highest price growth at 4%, while SSM experienced the biggest fall at -32%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Motor Vehicles Industry was -11%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 30% and the average quarterly volume growth was -38%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 54
P/E Growth Rating: 59
Price Growth Rating: 66
SMR Rating: 89
Profit Risk Rating: 91
Seasonality Score: -27 (-100 ... +100)
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Address
14600 Myford Road
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+1 888 748-4261
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