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Vitalii Liubimov's Avatar
published in Blogs
Aug 14, 2023

$SHOP, $NTES, $UBER, $ORCL, $CRM, and others experienced more pronounced declines than the market last week.

Stocks of companies in the @Packaged Software industry continued their decline last week, with an average drop of 3-4%. Over the span of two weeks, the decrease amounted to approximately 10%. We recommended selling shares of these companies. Many stocks from this sector are present in this trading bot:Swing-Trader-2-5K-per-position-High-Volatility-Stocks-for-Active-Trading-TA-FA

Notable Companies Some of the most notable companies in this group are Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ: MSFT), Oracle Corp (NYSE: ORCL), Adobe (NASDAQ: ADBE), Salesforce (NYSE: CRM), Intuit (NASDAQ: INTU), ServiceNow (NYSE: NOW), Uber Technologies (NYSE: UBER), Activision Blizzard (NASDAQ: ATVI), Shopify (NYSE: SHOP), and NetEase (NASDAQ: NTES).

Industry Description The packaged software industry involves bundling multiple software programs together and selling them as a group. For instance, Microsoft Office includes applications like Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. Purchasing a bundled product often proves more cost-effective than buying each component individually. Major American packaged software makers include Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp., and Adobe.

Market Cap The average market capitalization across the Packaged Software Industry stands at $8.1 billion. Market caps for tickers in this group range from $291 million to $2.4 trillion. MSFT holds the highest valuation in this group at $2.4 trillion, while the lowest valued company is BLGI at $291 million.

6/16/23 7:02 AM: Oracle (ORCL, $126.55) witnessed a $51.5 billion market cap increase this week.

High and Low Price Notable News The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was -2.16%. Meanwhile, the average monthly price growth was -3.09%, and the average quarterly price growth was -2.29%. DTRK experienced the highest price growth at 74.91%, whereas SHIFF experienced the largest fall at -75%.

8/5/23 7:02 AM: Uber Technologies (UBER, $45.2) was among the top losers this week, with a decline of -6.11%. 8/4/23 7:48 AM: Shopify (SHOP, $59.04) was also a top loser this week, experiencing a decline of -7.69%. A downtrend reversal is anticipated. 7/27/23 5:19 PM: Shopify (SHOP, $64.68) saw a decline of -5.2% this week, and a downtrend reversal is expected.

Volume The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was -19.25%. Similarly, the average monthly volume growth was -23.48%, and the average quarterly volume growth was -22.55%.

6/14/23 8:18 AM: Oracle stock's volume increased for a single day, leading to a record-breaking daily growth of 348% compared to the 65-Day Volume Moving Average.

Fundamental Analysis Ratings The average fundamental analysis ratings, on a scale of 1 (best) to 100 (worst), are as follows:

Valuation Rating: 52 P/E Growth Rating: 73 Price Growth Rating: 61 SMR Rating: 83 Profit Risk Rating: 89 Seasonality Score: -12 (-100 to +100)

SHOP: MACD Histogram Crosses Below Signal Line On July 21, 2023, SHOP's Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turned negative, indicating a bearish signal that suggests potential stock decline. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor analyzed 51 instances of such a negative indicator shift, with 42 out of 51 cases resulting in subsequent stock drops. This implies an 82% chance of a downward move.

Current price: $55.27 (above the highest support line of $50.55) During 07/12/23 - 08/11/23, the stock experienced a -16% downtrend. In the week of 08/04/23 - 08/11/23, the stock fell by -5%.

UBER: Shift to Downward Trend with 50-day Moving Average Break On August 11, 2023, UBER moved below its 50-day Moving Average, indicating a shift from an upward to a downward trend. In 33 out of 39 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month, suggesting an 85% chance of a continued downward trend.

During 07/12/23 - 08/11/23, the stock experienced a -2% downtrend. In the week of 08/04/23 - 08/11/23, the stock fell by -3%.

NTES: RSI Oscillator Signals Potential Downward Shift The 10-day RSI Oscillator for NTES moved out of the overbought zone on August 02, 2023, indicating a possible shift from an upward to a downward trend. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor observed 28 instances of the indicator moving out of the overbought zone, with 20 out of 28 cases leading to lower stock prices in the subsequent days, implying a 71% chance of a downward move.

Current price: $103.06 (above the highest support line of $89.12) During 07/12/23 - 08/11/23, the stock experienced a +0.25% uptrend, but the week of 08/04/23 - 08/11/23 showed a -5% downtrend.

ORCL: 10-day Moving Average Crosses Below 50-day Moving Average On August 10, 2023, ORCL's 10-day Moving Average crossed below the 50-day moving average, indicating a lower trend and a potential sell signal. Historically, in 8 out of 15 instances of this crossover, the stock continued to move higher over the following month, giving a 53% chance of a continued downward trend.

Current price: $113.07 (above the highest resistance line of $94.28) During 07/12/23 - 08/11/23, the stock experienced a -3% downtrend. In the week of 08/04/23 - 08/11/23, the stock fell by -1%.

CRM: Price Expected to Rise After Breaking Lower Bollinger Band On August 08, 2023, CRM broke its lower Bollinger Band, suggesting a potential upward trend. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor found that in 30 out of 36 similar cases, the price rose further in the following month, indicating an 83% chance of a continued upward trend.

During 07/12/23 - 08/11/23, the stock experienced an -8% downtrend. In the week of 08/04/23 - 08/11/23, the stock fell by -3%.

Related Ticker: SHOP, NTES, UBER, ORCL, CRM, SNOW, SNPS

Momentum Indicator for SHOP turns positive, indicating new upward trend

SHOP saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on November 26, 2025. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 96 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 96 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where SHOP's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 26 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for SHOP just turned positive on November 26, 2025. Looking at past instances where SHOP's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 53 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SHOP advanced for three days, in of 328 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 3 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

SHOP moved below its 50-day moving average on December 01, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for SHOP crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on November 17, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SHOP declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for SHOP entered a downward trend on November 28, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. SHOP’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. SHOP’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 91, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (16.313) is normal, around the industry mean (12.499). P/E Ratio (115.316) is within average values for comparable stocks, (114.276). SHOP's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (9.639) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (1.803). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.029) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (19.194) is also within normal values, averaging (56.313).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Salesforce (NYSE:CRM), Shopify Inc (NASDAQ:SHOP), Uber Technologies (NYSE:UBER), Intuit (NASDAQ:INTU), SERVICENOW (NYSE:NOW), Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE), Autodesk (NASDAQ:ADSK), Workday (NASDAQ:WDAY), Datadog (NASDAQ:DDOG), Atlassian Corp (NASDAQ:TEAM).

Industry description

Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Packaged Software Industry is 8.22B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 291 to 282.22B. SAPGF holds the highest valuation in this group at 282.22B. The lowest valued company is BLGI at 291.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was 0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -7%, and the average quarterly price growth was 48%. TSPH experienced the highest price growth at 56%, while ROWKF experienced the biggest fall at -95%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was -19%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -44% and the average quarterly volume growth was 6%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 54
P/E Growth Rating: 73
Price Growth Rating: 64
SMR Rating: 76
Profit Risk Rating: 91
Seasonality Score: 8 (-100 ... +100)
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These past five trading days, the stock lost 0.00% with an average daily volume of 0 shares traded.The stock tracked a drawdown of 0% for this period. SHOP showed earnings on November 04, 2025. You can read more about the earnings report here.
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an operator of eCommerce website that allows customers to sell online by providing software to create an online store

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