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published in Blogs
Oct 12, 2018

Starbucks (SBUX, $54.86) Will Begin $5 Billion of Share Buybacks, as Part of $25 Billion Of Payouts To Shareholders

On Friday, Starbucks announced it will begin buying back $5 billion in shares, as part of its program to pay out $25 billion to shareholders via buybacks and dividends through fiscal 2020.

This follows the coffee chain’s $7.15 billion deal with Nestle SA earlier this year that allows it to market Starbucks products outside of the U.S., and this week’s announcement from Bill Ackman that his hedge fund Pershing Square Capital will invest $900 million in Starbucks shares. Starbucks is expected to complete the $5 billion share repurchases by February or March of 2019.

Starbucks' third fiscal quarter earnings-per-share came in at $0.62, slightly higher than Wall Street's expectations of $0.61. However, the company lowered projection for the full year earnings per share to a range of  $2.40-$2.42 compared to its previous guidance of $2.43.

Related Ticker: SBUX

SBUX in upward trend: price expected to rise as it breaks its lower Bollinger Band on November 04, 2025

SBUX may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In of 36 cases where SBUX's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 67 cases where SBUX's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 25, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on SBUX as a result. In of 90 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for SBUX just turned positive on November 25, 2025. Looking at past instances where SBUX's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 51 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

SBUX moved above its 50-day moving average on November 21, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for SBUX crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on November 14, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 19 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SBUX advanced for three days, in of 293 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SBUX declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. SBUX’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.000) is normal, around the industry mean (5.497). P/E Ratio (52.706) is within average values for comparable stocks, (37.531). SBUX's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (3.039) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (1.611). Dividend Yield (0.029) settles around the average of (0.061) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.634) is also within normal values, averaging (8.297).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. SBUX’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 84, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are McDonald's Corp (NYSE:MCD), Starbucks Corp (NASDAQ:SBUX), Chipotle Mexican Grill (NYSE:CMG), Yum! Brands (NYSE:YUM), Darden Restaurants (NYSE:DRI), Yum China Holdings (NYSE:YUMC), Dominos Pizza Inc (NASDAQ:DPZ), Shake Shack (NYSE:SHAK), Noodles & Company (NASDAQ:NDLS).

Industry description

The industry includes companies that operate full-service restaurants, fast food restaurants, cafeterias and snack bars. McDonald`s Corporation, Starbucks Corporation, YUM! Brands, Inc. and Restaurant Brands International Inc. are some of the largest U.S. restaurant-owning companies in terms of market capitalization. While restaurant spending could be viewed as discretionary for consumers, some companies in the business have been able to weather economic cycles by establishing strong loyalty among customers over the years. Many of them also have a strong global presence as well.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Restaurants Industry is 7.81B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 2.74K to 221.09B. MCD holds the highest valuation in this group at 221.09B. The lowest valued company is BFICQ at 2.74K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Restaurants Industry was 3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -3%, and the average quarterly price growth was -11%. MRTPY experienced the highest price growth at 51%, while FATBP experienced the biggest fall at -53%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Restaurants Industry was 23%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 67% and the average quarterly volume growth was 51%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 49
P/E Growth Rating: 62
Price Growth Rating: 68
SMR Rating: 68
Profit Risk Rating: 83
Seasonality Score: 18 (-100 ... +100)
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These past five trading days, the stock lost 0.00% with an average daily volume of 0 shares traded.The stock tracked a drawdown of 0% for this period. SBUX showed earnings on October 29, 2025. You can read more about the earnings report here.
A.I. Advisor
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General Information

a producer of coffee and tea

Industry Restaurants

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Restaurants
Address
2401 Utah Avenue South
Phone
+1 206 447-1575
Employees
381000
Web
https://www.starbucks.com
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