Strong upward trend for Twilio (TWLO) looks to continue
Enterprise software firm has been trending higher over the last four months and it has had one of the best price performances of all stocks over the past year. The company scores a 99 on Investor’s Business Daily’s Relative Price Strength Rating and that is the highest score you can get.
Looking at the daily chart we see that a trend channel has formed from the low in December. The upper rail was formed by the highs from February and March. The lower rail hits the low from late December and early January and now this past week.
The daily stochastic readings didn’t quite reach oversold territory on this latest pullback, but they did get close. The indicators also just made a bullish crossover on April 10.
The Tickeron AI Trend Prediction tool generated a bullish signal on April 9 and that signal calls for a gain of at least 4% over the next month. The signal showed a confidence level of 89% and the previous signals on Twilio have been successful 83% of the time.
Twilio’s fundamentals are very interesting. The company’s earnings have been flat for the last three years, but they jumped by 233% in the most recent quarter. Sales have increased at an annual rate of 53% per year over the last three years and they were up 77% in the most recent quarterly report.
Unfortunately, the company’s management efficiency measurements aren’t very good. The return on equity is only 2.9% and the profit margin is only 1.1%.
TWLO in -2.42% downward trend, declining for three consecutive days on October 15, 2025
Moving lower for three straight days is viewed as a bearish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future declines. Considering data from situations where TWLO declined for three days, in of 313 cases, the price declined further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 60 cases where TWLO's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The 50-day moving average for TWLO moved below the 200-day moving average on September 24, 2025. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
TWLO broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 08, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for TWLO entered a downward trend on October 07, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 06, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on TWLO as a result. In of 87 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
TWLO moved above its 50-day moving average on October 06, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for TWLO crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 10, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TWLO advanced for three days, in of 320 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TWLO’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.034) is normal, around the industry mean (17.706). TWLO has a moderately high P/E Ratio (1066.500) as compared to the industry average of (156.304). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.355) is also within normal values, averaging (2.232). TWLO has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.025). P/S Ratio (3.574) is also within normal values, averaging (104.684).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. TWLO’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 91, placing this stock worse than average.
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General Information
a provider of cloud-based communications platform
Industry ComputerCommunications
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