Strong upward trend for Twilio (TWLO) looks to continue
Enterprise software firm has been trending higher over the last four months and it has had one of the best price performances of all stocks over the past year. The company scores a 99 on Investor’s Business Daily’s Relative Price Strength Rating and that is the highest score you can get.
Looking at the daily chart we see that a trend channel has formed from the low in December. The upper rail was formed by the highs from February and March. The lower rail hits the low from late December and early January and now this past week.
The daily stochastic readings didn’t quite reach oversold territory on this latest pullback, but they did get close. The indicators also just made a bullish crossover on April 10.
The Tickeron AI Trend Prediction tool generated a bullish signal on April 9 and that signal calls for a gain of at least 4% over the next month. The signal showed a confidence level of 89% and the previous signals on Twilio have been successful 83% of the time.
Twilio’s fundamentals are very interesting. The company’s earnings have been flat for the last three years, but they jumped by 233% in the most recent quarter. Sales have increased at an annual rate of 53% per year over the last three years and they were up 77% in the most recent quarterly report.
Unfortunately, the company’s management efficiency measurements aren’t very good. The return on equity is only 2.9% and the profit margin is only 1.1%.
Contributor
Harry Richardson — Algorithmic Trader & Strategy Developer Harry is an algorithmic trader specializing in impulse and breakout trading strategies across cryptocurrency and equity markets. With more than 10 years of experience in developing automated trading systems, he focuses on building structured algorithms designed to capture momentum while maintaining strict risk control. His approach combines quantitative analysis, real-market execution, and continuous performance monitoring. Vitalii prioritizes risk management, drawdown control, and strategy stability over short-term optimization, ensuring algorithms are adaptable to changing market conditions. He has developed and tested hundreds of automated strategies, working extensively with live trading environments, forward testing, and portfolio-level algorithm management. His work centers on transforming trading ideas into fully operational, scalable automated systems.
Aroon Indicator for TWLO shows an upward move is likely
TWLO's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on August 20, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 206 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In 169 of the 206 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at 82%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
TWLO moved above its 50-day moving average on August 07, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for TWLO crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on August 11, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 8 of 11 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.
Following a +2.32% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TWLO advanced for three days, in 237 of 326 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for TWLO moved out of overbought territory on August 14, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 35 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 26 of the 35 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 74%.
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 47 of 59 cases where TWLO's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 80%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 11, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on TWLO as a result. In 72 of 89 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 81%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for TWLO turned negative on August 20, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 32 of the 46 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 70%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TWLO declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 76%.
TWLO broke above its upper Bollinger Band on August 07, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 37 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TWLO’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 43 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.890) is normal, around the industry mean (22.044). P/E Ratio (31.402) is within average values for comparable stocks, (120.106). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.352) is also within normal values, averaging (1.993). TWLO has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.020). P/S Ratio (6.477) is also within normal values, averaging (109.301).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 60 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. TWLO’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 92, placing this stock worse than average.
Notable companies
Industry description
Market Cap
High and low price notable news
Volume
Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
Advertisement
General Information
a provider of cloud-based communications platform
Industry ComputerCommunications
Advertisement