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published in Blogs
Jul 06, 2023

Swing Trader: 17.05% Return, MCHP on Uptrend

Swing Trader's Hi-Tech, Consumer, and Financial Sectors Strategy Witnesses 17.05% Growth for MCHP, Strengthened by the Aroon Uptrend Indicator

In the diverse landscape of trading strategies, Swing Trader's focus on the Hi-tech, Consumer, and Financial sectors has produced impressive results. The diversified portfolio, recently, reported a 17.05% return for Microchip Technology Inc. (MCHP), indicating the strength and effectiveness of the strategic moves undertaken.

A noteworthy contributor to this impressive performance is the Aroon Indicator, a technical tool that swing traders often use to spot changes in the strength of a trend. It measures the time it takes for the price to hit its highest and lowest points over a specific period, offering key insights into possible trend changes.

For MCHP, the Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. The uptrend signals a shift in momentum, suggesting the price could rise further, which is supported by historical data. In the past 266 instances where MCHP's Aroon Indicator has entered an Uptrend, the price has gone on to rise further within the following month in 160 cases. This represents a success rate of 60%, offering a positive outlook for potential continued growth.

This indicates that Swing Trader's diversified approach across the Hi-tech, Consumer, and Financial sectors could be poised for continued success. The Aroon Uptrend Indicator is showing a promising sign of sustained growth for MCHP, strengthening the case for the efficacy of Swing Trader's investment strategy.

It is crucial to note, however, that while this trend is indicative of potential future gains, investors should always take into account the dynamic nature of the market and their individual investment objectives.

All in all, Swing Trader's strategy has proven effective in harnessing the potential of MCHP, leveraging the insights provided by the Aroon Indicator. The 17.05% growth figure serves as a testament to this strategy's soundness, suggesting promising prospects for investors who align with such an investment approach.

Related Ticker: MCHP

MCHP sees its Stochastic Oscillator ascending out of oversold territory

On October 25, 2024, the Stochastic Oscillator for MCHP moved out of oversold territory and this could be a bullish sign for the stock. Traders may want to buy the stock or buy call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 56 instances where the indicator left the oversold zone. In of the 56 cases the stock moved higher in the following days. This puts the odds of a move higher at over .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for MCHP just turned positive on October 28, 2024. Looking at past instances where MCHP's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MCHP advanced for three days, in of 301 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 10, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on MCHP as a result. In of 90 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

MCHP moved below its 50-day moving average on October 15, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for MCHP crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 11, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 19 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MCHP declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

MCHP broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 26, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for MCHP entered a downward trend on October 28, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (6.725) is normal, around the industry mean (7.487). P/E Ratio (31.988) is within average values for comparable stocks, (58.779). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (5.804) is also within normal values, averaging (2.825). Dividend Yield (0.022) settles around the average of (0.020) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (6.653) is also within normal values, averaging (43.322).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 67, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. MCHP’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are NVIDIA Corp (null:NVDA), Broadcom Inc. (null:AVGO), Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd (null:TSM), Advanced Micro Devices (null:AMD), Texas Instruments (null:TXN), QUALCOMM (null:QCOM), Applied Materials (null:AMAT), Lam Research Corp (null:LRCX), Micron Technology (null:MU), Analog Devices (null:ADI).

Industry description

The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Semiconductors Industry is 49.27B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 13.43K to 2.98T. NVDA holds the highest valuation in this group at 2.98T. The lowest valued company is CYBL at 13.43K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Semiconductors Industry was -0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 10%, and the average quarterly price growth was -6%. PRKR experienced the highest price growth at 87%, while SMTK experienced the biggest fall at -21%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Semiconductors Industry was -15%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -29% and the average quarterly volume growth was -51%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 57
P/E Growth Rating: 57
Price Growth Rating: 58
SMR Rating: 71
Profit Risk Rating: 67
Seasonality Score: 38 (-100 ... +100)
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A.I.Advisor
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published General Information

General Information

a manufacturer of microcontrollers for high volume embedded control applications

Industry Semiconductors

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Semiconductors
Address
2355 West Chandler Boulevard
Phone
+1 480 792-7200
Employees
22600
Web
https://www.microchip.com
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