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May 22, 2022

Tencent (TCEHY,$44.25) disappoints on Q1 revenue

Tencent posted its first quarter results, where revenue across all business segments slipped -0.12% from the year-ago quarter to 135.47 billion yuan —below FactSet consensus estimates for 140.82 billion yuan. The Chinese company’s profit attributable to shareholders decreased by -23% from a year ago.

Revenue from the business segment that includes gaming (which is Tencent's largest  source of revenue) experienced mild growth from the prior quarter and the year-ago period to 72.74 billion yuan in first quarter revenue. The segment was impacted by challenges from Beijing's restrictions on licensing new games and a slower growth in the international market.

Revenue from Fintech and business services segment (Tencent’s second-largest revenue driver) plunged  by -10.8% quarter-on-quarter-- the first sequential drop since Q1 2020 when there was COVID-19 related lockdowns across a large part of mainland China. The segment grew by 10% from a year ago, but missed FactSet estimates by 3.41 billion yuan. It also showed a substantial  slowdown from a 25% increase in Q4 2021.

Tencent’s mobile payment apps WeChat registered monthly active users growth (domestically and internationally) of +3.8% from a year ago to 1.29 billion users.

Related Ticker: TCEHY

Momentum Indicator for TCEHY turns negative, indicating new downward trend

TCEHY saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on October 10, 2025. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 107 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 107 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for TCEHY moved out of overbought territory on October 07, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 28 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 28 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for TCEHY turned negative on October 08, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 45 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TCEHY declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 6 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

TCEHY moved above its 50-day moving average on October 20, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TCEHY advanced for three days, in of 255 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

TCEHY may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 202 cases where TCEHY Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.682) is normal, around the industry mean (7.059). P/E Ratio (25.901) is within average values for comparable stocks, (59.892). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.490) is also within normal values, averaging (25.879). Dividend Yield (0.007) settles around the average of (0.025) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (7.605) is also within normal values, averaging (18.860).

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TCEHY’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. TCEHY’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 90, placing this stock better than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOG), Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOGL), Meta Platforms (NASDAQ:META), Spotify Technology SA (NYSE:SPOT), Baidu (NASDAQ:BIDU), Tencent Music Entertainment Group (NYSE:TME), Nebius Group N.V. (NASDAQ:NBIS), Pinterest (NYSE:PINS), Zillow Group (NASDAQ:Z), Snap (NYSE:SNAP).

Industry description

Companies in this industry typically license software on a subscription basis and it is centrally hosted. Such products usually go by the names web-based software, on-demand software and hosted software. Cloud computing has emerged as a major force in this space, making it possible to save files to a remote database (without requiring them to be saved on local storage device); as long as a device has access to the web, it can access the data and the software programs to run it. This has in many cases facilitated cost efficiency, speed and security of data for businesses and consumers. Alphabet Inc., Facebook, Inc. and Yahoo! Inc. are some well-known names in the internet software/services industry.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Internet Software/Services Industry is 83.46B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 12.09K to 3.03T. GOOGL holds the highest valuation in this group at 3.03T. The lowest valued company is BTIM at 12.09K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Internet Software/Services Industry was 1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -5%, and the average quarterly price growth was 20%. TRUE experienced the highest price growth at 65%, while SLE experienced the biggest fall at -30%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Internet Software/Services Industry was 7%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -58% and the average quarterly volume growth was 5%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 48
P/E Growth Rating: 64
Price Growth Rating: 60
SMR Rating: 74
Profit Risk Rating: 90
Seasonality Score: 15 (-100 ... +100)
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These past five trading days, the stock lost 0.00% with an average daily volume of 0 shares traded.The stock tracked a drawdown of 0% for this period. TCEHY showed earnings on August 13, 2025. You can read more about the earnings report here.
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