Tesla Posts First Full-Year Profit - Bullish Year Ahead?
Tesla shares have experienced a meteoric rise over the past couple of years. And that was before the company ever booked a full-year profit.
2020 changed that, with Tesla reporting a profit of $721 million on about $31.5 billion in sales. These earnings fell short of Wall Street estimates, however, and the stock traded down on the news. In 2019, Tesla booked a $862 million loss on $24.6 billion in sales.
Is there still time to be bullish on Tesla? Perhaps. CEO Elon Musk says he expects deliveries to increase by 50% annually, and projected that 2021 would grow at an even faster pace than that. Tesla delivered about 500,000 EVs last year, and expects to reach 800,000 in 2021.
Tesla has a hopeful outlook, but faces several challenges in the years ahead: competitors, supply chain costs, and demand for innovation and improvement. Even still, Tickeron's A.I. is showing a bullish outlook for Tesla, and below compares trades in Tesla with General Motors and Toyota. Scroll down to see how the A.I. works, and subscribe to get trade ideas in real time.
Momentum Indicator for TSLA turns positive, indicating new upward trend
TSLA saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on April 25, 2025. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 77 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 77 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TSLA just turned positive on April 23, 2025. Looking at past instances where TSLA's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 44 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
TSLA moved above its 50-day moving average on April 25, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for TSLA crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on May 02, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TSLA advanced for three days, in of 335 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 276 cases where TSLA Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 66 cases where TSLA's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The 50-day moving average for TSLA moved below the 200-day moving average on April 14, 2025. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TSLA declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
TSLA broke above its upper Bollinger Band on April 25, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 80, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TSLA’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (8.905) is normal, around the industry mean (6.217). P/E Ratio (40.726) is within average values for comparable stocks, (17.826). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.067) is also within normal values, averaging (5.723). TSLA has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.042). P/S Ratio (6.305) is also within normal values, averaging (78.608).
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a manufacturer of electric sports cars
Industry MotorVehicles