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Jan 28, 2021
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Tesla Posts First Full-Year Profit - Bullish Year Ahead?

Tesla Posts First Full-Year Profit - Bullish Year Ahead?

Tesla shares have experienced a meteoric rise over the past couple of years. And that was before the company ever booked a full-year profit. 

2020 changed that, with Tesla reporting a profit of $721 million on about $31.5 billion in sales. These earnings fell short of Wall Street estimates, however, and the stock traded down on the news. In 2019, Tesla booked a $862 million loss on $24.6 billion in sales. 

Is there still time to be bullish on Tesla? Perhaps. CEO Elon Musk says he expects deliveries to increase by 50% annually, and projected that 2021 would grow at an even faster pace than that. Tesla delivered about 500,000 EVs last year, and expects to reach 800,000 in 2021.

Tesla has a hopeful outlook, but faces several challenges in the years ahead: competitors, supply chain costs, and demand for innovation and improvement. Even still, Tickeron's A.I. is showing a bullish outlook for Tesla, and below compares trades in Tesla with General Motors and Toyota. Scroll down to see how the A.I. works, and subscribe to get trade ideas in real time. 

Related Ticker: TSLA

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


Momentum Indicator for TSLA turns negative, indicating new downward trend

TSLA saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on November 04, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 86 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In 69 of the 86 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at 80%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 45 of 65 cases where TSLA's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 69%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for TSLA turned negative on November 05, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 34 of the 45 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 76%.

TSLA moved below its 50-day moving average on November 05, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TSLA declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 78%.

Bullish Trend Analysis

Following a +9.47% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TSLA advanced for three days, in 255 of 325 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 78%.

TSLA may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 196 of 249 cases where TSLA Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 79%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 50 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TSLA’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 57 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 79 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. TSLA’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 91, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 84 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 100 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: TSLA's P/B Ratio (15.628) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (1.957). TSLA's P/E Ratio (291.263) is considerably higher than the industry average of (12.947). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (4.273) is also within normal values, averaging (2.450). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.149) among similar stocks. TSLA's P/S Ratio (12.225) is slightly higher than the industry average of (2.648).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA), General Motors Company (NYSE:GM), Ford Motor Company (NYSE:F), NIO Inc. (NYSE:NIO).

Industry description

Automobiles continue to be arguably the most popular form of passenger travel in the U.S., and major automobile makers have revenues and market capitalizations running into multi-billions. In recent years, the industry has been experiencing some path-breaking innovations like electric vehicles and self-driving technology. While there are long-standing companies like General Motors, Ford, and Toyota Motors operating in this space, there are also emerging/rapidly growing players like Tesla – which has had a major role in the growing popularity of the electric vehicle market. With technological advancements taking steam in the auto space, we’ve also witnessed collaborations (or talks of potential partnerships) of carmakers with tech behemoths like Google’s subsidiary, Waymo.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Motor Vehicles Industry is 71.76B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 669 to 1.36T. TSLA holds the highest valuation in this group at 1.36T. The lowest valued company is PEVM at 669.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Motor Vehicles Industry was -3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -11%, and the average quarterly price growth was -32%. WKHS experienced the highest price growth at 23%, while CENN experienced the biggest fall at -92%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Motor Vehicles Industry was 44%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 95% and the average quarterly volume growth was 44%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 44
P/E Growth Rating: 48
Price Growth Rating: 67
SMR Rating: 87
Profit Risk Rating: 91
Seasonality Score: -2 (-100 ... +100)
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published General Information

General Information

a manufacturer of electric sports cars

Industry MotorVehicles

Industry
Motor Vehicles
Address
1 Tesla Road
Phone
+1 512 516-8177
Employees
134785
Web
https://www.tesla.com
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