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Indra Bhattacharjee's Avatar
published in Blogs
Jun 06, 2019

Tesla’s (TSLA, $205.80) Model 3 helped recover an important metric for the company

Tesla recovered one of its key metrics after a disappointing first quarter, as more Model 3s were registered during the spring than in Q1. Following this, Tesla increased its estimate for Model 3 deliveries for 2019. Its shares are trading close to $200, well below the company’s $300-plus share price at the beginning of 2019.

The month of May witnessed Tesla ahead of other electric auto making competitors. But again, the stock is down more than 40% this year. Elon Musk reasoned that Tesla is not exactly a growth story but a restructuring story. It increased total U.S. sales in May by 73% compared to last year. Meanwhile, sales climbed 39% for competing electric vehicles from Audi, BMW, Jaguar, Chevrolet (GM) and Nissan. Also, Tesla’s estimated total U.S. sales of 11,300 vehicles in May was 2.6 times the combined total of its competitors’ EV offerings - up from 2.1 times last year.

Morgan Stanley (MS) forecasts Tesla will deliver between a range of 360,000 and 400,000 vehicles this year, an increase of approximately 45% to 65% compared to 2018. On the other hand, JPM decreased its estimate for Tesla’s 2019 deliveries very slightly to 378,900 units from 379,600 over steadily increasing volume in the lower priced Model as well as declines in the higher end Model S and Model X vehicles.

Related Ticker: TSLA

Momentum Indicator for TSLA turns positive, indicating new upward trend

TSLA saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on February 14, 2024. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 74 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 74 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where TSLA's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 27 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TSLA just turned positive on February 08, 2024. Looking at past instances where TSLA's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 43 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TSLA advanced for three days, in of 347 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 59 cases where TSLA's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The 50-day moving average for TSLA moved below the 200-day moving average on February 01, 2024. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TSLA declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

TSLA broke above its upper Bollinger Band on February 15, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for TSLA entered a downward trend on February 14, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 83, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. TSLA’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (9.766) is normal, around the industry mean (6.109). P/E Ratio (44.644) is within average values for comparable stocks, (20.255). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.251) is also within normal values, averaging (5.623). TSLA has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.043). P/S Ratio (6.916) is also within normal values, averaging (58.980).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA), Ford Motor Company (NYSE:F), General Motors Company (NYSE:GM), NIO Inc. (NYSE:NIO).

Industry description

Automobiles continue to be arguably the most popular form of passenger travel in the U.S., and major automobile makers have revenues and market capitalizations running into multi-billions. In recent years, the industry has been experiencing some path-breaking innovations like electric vehicles and self-driving technology. While there are long-standing companies like General Motors, Ford, and Toyota Motors operating in this space, there are also emerging/rapidly growing players like Tesla – which has had a major role in the growing popularity of the electric vehicle market. With technological advancements taking steam in the auto space, we’ve also witnessed collaborations (or talks of potential partnerships) of carmakers with tech behemoths like Google’s subsidiary, Waymo.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Motor Vehicles Industry is 33.13B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 1.06M to 611.38B. TSLA holds the highest valuation in this group at 611.38B. The lowest valued company is VLCN at 1.06M.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Motor Vehicles Industry was -3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -1%, and the average quarterly price growth was -14%. MAHMF experienced the highest price growth at 16%, while RIVN experienced the biggest fall at -38%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Motor Vehicles Industry was -34%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -36% and the average quarterly volume growth was -9%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 45
P/E Growth Rating: 72
Price Growth Rating: 49
SMR Rating: 67
Profit Risk Rating: 83
Seasonality Score: -55 (-100 ... +100)
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TSLADaily Signal changed days agoGain/Loss if shorted
 
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A.I.Advisor
published price charts
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a manufacturer of electric sports cars

Industry MotorVehicles

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Motor Vehicles
Address
1 Tesla Road
Phone
+1 512 516-8177
Employees
140473
Web
https://www.tesla.com
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TSLA and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TSLA has been loosely correlated with STLA. These tickers have moved in lockstep 47% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if TSLA jumps, then STLA could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To TSLA
1D Price
Change %
TSLA100%
-2.73%
STLA - TSLA
47%
Loosely correlated
+0.80%
LCID - TSLA
43%
Loosely correlated
-1.63%
RIVN - TSLA
42%
Loosely correlated
-12.05%
RACE - TSLA
39%
Loosely correlated
+0.97%
NIO - TSLA
38%
Loosely correlated
-7.69%
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