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Vitalii Liubimov's Avatar
published in Blogs
Oct 04, 2019

These three chip companies are undervalued ahead of Q3 earnings reports

The next earnings season will be getting started in a couple of weeks when big banks report third quarter results. The following week, October 21-25, there will be a number of semiconductor companies reporting results and there are three in particular that undervalued based on the Tickeron Valuation Rating and have solid sales growth, profit margins, and return on equity.

Texas Instruments (Nasdaq: TXN) is set to report on October 22. Its valuation rating is a 23 and that indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. A rating of 1 points to the most undervalued stocks, while a rating of 100 points to the most overvalued stocks. Texas Instruments’ P/B Ratio (14.16) is slightly higher than the industry average of (3.27). P/E Ratio (23.51) is within average values for comparable stocks, (80.28). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.83) is also within normal values, averaging (2.13). TXN has a moderately high Dividend Yield (2.03) as compared to the industry average of (0.68). TXN's P/S Ratio (7.18) is slightly higher than the industry average of (4.06).

We see on the chart that the stock has been trending higher since the December low and it is in overbought territory based on the weekly stochastic readings. With the overall market struggling in the last few days, we could see the indicators drop down a little and that would bring the stochastics down out of overbought territory.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 11 and that indicates very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Xilinx (Nasdaq: XLNX) is set to report on October 23. The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 21 indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (8.84) is normal, around the industry mean (3.27). P/E Ratio (25.19) is within average values for comparable stocks, (80.28). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.43) is also within normal values, averaging (2.13). XLNX has a moderately high Dividend Yield (1.94) as compared to the industry average of (0.68). XLNX's P/S Ratio (9.43) is slightly higher than the industry average of (4.06).

Unlike Texas Instrument, Xilinx has been trending lower since April. In fact the big downward swing that started in April came after the first quarter earnings report and the downswing that started in July came after the second quarter earnings results. While Texas Instruments is in overbought territory, Xilinx is in oversold territory based on the weekly stochastic readings and the 10-week RSI is the lowest it has been in the last three and a half years.

The SMR rating for this company is 15, indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Intel (Nasdaq: INTC) is scheduled to report on October 24 and its valuation rating is 7. This indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.00) is normal, around the industry mean (3.27). P/E Ratio (11.83) is within average values for comparable stocks, (80.28). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.21) is also within normal values, averaging (2.13). INTC has a moderately high Dividend Yield (2.33) as compared to the industry average of (0.68). P/S Ratio (3.08) is also within normal values, averaging (4.06).

The chart for Intel is almost a mix between those of Texas Instruments and Xilinx. The stock was trending higher from its December low before falling sharply in April like Xilinx did. Unlike Xilinx, the stock appears to have re-established an upward trend over the last five months. The stock was approaching overbought territory, but a little selling the last few weeks has moved the indicators down.

Related Ticker: TXN

Momentum Indicator for TXN turns positive, indicating new upward trend

TXN saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on January 03, 2025. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 105 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 105 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TXN just turned positive on December 24, 2024. Looking at past instances where TXN's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TXN advanced for three days, in of 295 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TXN declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for TXN entered a downward trend on January 02, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 68, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (10.163) is normal, around the industry mean (12.168). P/E Ratio (35.766) is within average values for comparable stocks, (57.762). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (3.086) is also within normal values, averaging (3.192). Dividend Yield (0.027) settles around the average of (0.021) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (11.249) is also within normal values, averaging (55.153).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TXN’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:NVDA), Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ:AVGO), Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd (NYSE:TSM), Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD), QUALCOMM (NASDAQ:QCOM), Texas Instruments (NASDAQ:TXN), Applied Materials (NASDAQ:AMAT), Lam Research Corp (NASDAQ:LRCX), Micron Technology (NASDAQ:MU), Analog Devices (NASDAQ:ADI).

Industry description

The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Semiconductors Industry is 53.39B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 13.43K to 3.37T. NVDA holds the highest valuation in this group at 3.37T. The lowest valued company is CYBL at 13.43K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Semiconductors Industry was 2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 5%, and the average quarterly price growth was 8%. GSIT experienced the highest price growth at 33%, while NMGC experienced the biggest fall at -51%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Semiconductors Industry was 21%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -8% and the average quarterly volume growth was 52%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 57
P/E Growth Rating: 55
Price Growth Rating: 56
SMR Rating: 70
Profit Risk Rating: 68
Seasonality Score: 9 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a manufacturer of integrated circuit semiconductors and calculators

Industry Semiconductors

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Semiconductors
Address
12500 TI Boulevard
Phone
+1 214 479-3773
Employees
34000
Web
https://www.ti.com
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