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published in Blogs
Oct 04, 2019

These three chip companies are undervalued ahead of Q3 earnings reports

The next earnings season will be getting started in a couple of weeks when big banks report third quarter results. The following week, October 21-25, there will be a number of semiconductor companies reporting results and there are three in particular that undervalued based on the Tickeron Valuation Rating and have solid sales growth, profit margins, and return on equity.

Texas Instruments (Nasdaq: TXN) is set to report on October 22. Its valuation rating is a 23 and that indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. A rating of 1 points to the most undervalued stocks, while a rating of 100 points to the most overvalued stocks. Texas Instruments’ P/B Ratio (14.16) is slightly higher than the industry average of (3.27). P/E Ratio (23.51) is within average values for comparable stocks, (80.28). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.83) is also within normal values, averaging (2.13). TXN has a moderately high Dividend Yield (2.03) as compared to the industry average of (0.68). TXN's P/S Ratio (7.18) is slightly higher than the industry average of (4.06).

We see on the chart that the stock has been trending higher since the December low and it is in overbought territory based on the weekly stochastic readings. With the overall market struggling in the last few days, we could see the indicators drop down a little and that would bring the stochastics down out of overbought territory.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 11 and that indicates very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Xilinx (Nasdaq: XLNX) is set to report on October 23. The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 21 indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (8.84) is normal, around the industry mean (3.27). P/E Ratio (25.19) is within average values for comparable stocks, (80.28). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.43) is also within normal values, averaging (2.13). XLNX has a moderately high Dividend Yield (1.94) as compared to the industry average of (0.68). XLNX's P/S Ratio (9.43) is slightly higher than the industry average of (4.06).

Unlike Texas Instrument, Xilinx has been trending lower since April. In fact the big downward swing that started in April came after the first quarter earnings report and the downswing that started in July came after the second quarter earnings results. While Texas Instruments is in overbought territory, Xilinx is in oversold territory based on the weekly stochastic readings and the 10-week RSI is the lowest it has been in the last three and a half years.

The SMR rating for this company is 15, indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Intel (Nasdaq: INTC) is scheduled to report on October 24 and its valuation rating is 7. This indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.00) is normal, around the industry mean (3.27). P/E Ratio (11.83) is within average values for comparable stocks, (80.28). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.21) is also within normal values, averaging (2.13). INTC has a moderately high Dividend Yield (2.33) as compared to the industry average of (0.68). P/S Ratio (3.08) is also within normal values, averaging (4.06).

The chart for Intel is almost a mix between those of Texas Instruments and Xilinx. The stock was trending higher from its December low before falling sharply in April like Xilinx did. Unlike Xilinx, the stock appears to have re-established an upward trend over the last five months. The stock was approaching overbought territory, but a little selling the last few weeks has moved the indicators down.

Related Ticker: TXN

TXN sees its 50-day moving average cross bullishly above its 200-day moving average

The 50-day moving average for TXN moved above the 200-day moving average on February 05, 2024. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on February 15, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on TXN as a result. In of 103 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TXN just turned positive on February 20, 2024. Looking at past instances where TXN's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

TXN moved above its 50-day moving average on February 29, 2024 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for TXN crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on March 01, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TXN advanced for three days, in of 303 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 8 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TXN declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

TXN broke above its upper Bollinger Band on March 01, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for TXN entered a downward trend on February 23, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 59, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (9.208) is normal, around the industry mean (8.877). P/E Ratio (24.197) is within average values for comparable stocks, (119.950). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (3.290) is also within normal values, averaging (2.508). Dividend Yield (0.030) settles around the average of (0.021) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (8.945) is also within normal values, averaging (11.502).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. TXN’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:NVDA), Broadcom (NASDAQ:AVGO), Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd (NYSE:TSM), Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD), Intel Corp (NASDAQ:INTC), QUALCOMM (NASDAQ:QCOM), Applied Materials (NASDAQ:AMAT), Texas Instruments (NASDAQ:TXN), Lam Research Corp (NASDAQ:LRCX), Micron Technology (NASDAQ:MU).

Industry description

The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Semiconductors Industry is 41.99B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 13.43K to 2.06T. NVDA holds the highest valuation in this group at 2.06T. The lowest valued company is CYBL at 13.43K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Semiconductors Industry was 4%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 10%, and the average quarterly price growth was 14%. QNCCF experienced the highest price growth at 116%, while MANZF experienced the biggest fall at -57%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Semiconductors Industry was -9%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 2% and the average quarterly volume growth was 75%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 58
P/E Growth Rating: 48
Price Growth Rating: 49
SMR Rating: 66
Profit Risk Rating: 59
Seasonality Score: 2 (-100 ... +100)
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TXNDaily Signal changed days agoGain/Loss if shorted
 
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A.I.Advisor
published price charts
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a manufacturer of integrated circuit semiconductors and calculators

Industry Semiconductors

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Semiconductors
Address
12500 TI Boulevard
Phone
+1 214 479-3773
Employees
34000
Web
https://www.ti.com
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TXN and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TXN has been closely correlated with MCHP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 80% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if TXN jumps, then MCHP could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To TXN
1D Price
Change %
TXN100%
+2.22%
MCHP - TXN
80%
Closely correlated
+3.40%
ADI - TXN
77%
Closely correlated
+2.26%
SWKS - TXN
77%
Closely correlated
+1.45%
TER - TXN
76%
Closely correlated
+2.21%
NXPI - TXN
75%
Closely correlated
+3.12%
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