Toyota (TM, $160.78) anticipates profit decrease on rising material cost
Toyota Motor Corp. expects its profits to decrease in the coming fiscal year due to increasing material costs and other operating challenges, amidst the COVID-19 pandemic, the war in Ukraine and shortages of semiconductors.
For the fiscal year ending March 31, the automaker’s net profit increased 26.9% annually. Sales rose 15.3%, due to strength in its markets in the United States and Asia.
However, in the quarter ending March, Toyota’s profit fell -31% from the year-ago quarter, even as its revenue rose +6%.
Toyota expects -20% drop in operating profit in the new fiscal year to approximately $17 billion. It anticipates a squeeze in profit due to rising materials costs.
TM in downward trend: 10-day moving average moved below 50-day moving average on June 17, 2025
The 10-day moving average for TM crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on June 17, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on June 10, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on TM as a result. In of 83 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
TM moved below its 50-day moving average on June 12, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TM declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for TM entered a downward trend on July 03, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where TM's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 23 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 54 cases where TM's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TM just turned positive on July 03, 2025. Looking at past instances where TM's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 50 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TM advanced for three days, in of 339 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
TM may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.517) is normal, around the industry mean (6.217). P/E Ratio (11.020) is within average values for comparable stocks, (17.826). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (3.449) is also within normal values, averaging (5.723). Dividend Yield (0.019) settles around the average of (0.042) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.135) is also within normal values, averaging (79.562).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 84, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. TM’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
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General Information
a manufacturer of motor vehicles and parts
Industry MotorVehicles
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