In the world of AI-driven trading, the Swing trader: Volatility Balanced Strategy v.2 (TA) robot has emerged as a top performer. Over the previous week, this robot showcased its prowess by generating a remarkable gain of +4.30% while trading TWLO (Twilio Inc.). However, as technical analysts, we must delve deeper into the market indicators to gain a comprehensive understanding of the potential risks and opportunities associated with this stock.
Analyzing the Aroon Indicator:
On May 22, 2023, the Aroon Indicator for TWLO exhibited a noteworthy shift. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor, a reliable market analysis tool, detected a pattern where the AroonDown red line remained above 70, while the AroonUp green line fell below 30 consistently for three consecutive days. This particular pattern often suggests an impending strong downward move for the stock.
Considering the historical data, A.I.dvisor examined 177 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator exhibited such a pattern. In an overwhelming majority of 152 out of the 177 cases, the stock price subsequently moved lower. Based on this data, there is an 86% chance that TWLO might experience a downward move in the near future. Traders and investors should take note of this indicator and consider their positions accordingly.
Earnings Report Highlights:
The most recent earnings report, released on May 09, showcased impressive results for TWLO. The company reported earnings per share (EPS) of 46 cents, surpassing the estimated figure of 20 cents. This positive earnings surprise indicates a strong financial performance during the specified period.
TWLO's current market capitalization stands at approximately 12.35 billion USD, with 192.81K shares outstanding. It is essential to evaluate these figures in conjunction with other market indicators to gain a holistic view of the stock's value and potential for future growth.
In summary, the Swing trader: Volatility Balanced Strategy v.2 (TA) robot has demonstrated its capabilities by delivering a notable gain of +4.30% while trading TWLO over the past week. However, caution is warranted as the Aroon Indicator, through Tickeron's A.I.dvisor, suggests a strong likelihood of a downward move in the near future. It is worth noting that TWLO's recent earnings report exceeded expectations, indicating positive financial performance.
TWLO's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on May 09, 2025. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 210 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In of the 210 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at .
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on April 22, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on TWLO as a result. In of 88 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TWLO just turned positive on April 15, 2025. Looking at past instances where TWLO's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
TWLO moved above its 50-day moving average on May 02, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for TWLO crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on May 08, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TWLO advanced for three days, in of 320 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The RSI Indicator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 10 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TWLO declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
TWLO broke above its upper Bollinger Band on April 24, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TWLO’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.168) is normal, around the industry mean (11.896). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (50.251). TWLO's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (28.154) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (3.572). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.027) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.756) is also within normal values, averaging (19.917).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. TWLO’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock worse than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a provider of cloud-based communications platform
Industry InternetSoftwareServices