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Sergey Savastiouk's Avatar
published in Blogs
Jul 30, 2018

Tyson Profit Forecast Butchered By Tariffs

Tyson Foods Inc. cut back its profit projections for 2018, as tariffs and trade uncertainties take a toll on its export market.

The largest U.S. meat producer predicts its earnings for fiscal 2018 (excluding one-time items) to be about $5.70 to $6 a share - compared with a previous forecast of $6.55 to $6.70. While tariffs slapped by China and Mexico on American pork (following U.S. levies on imported steel and aluminum) pose headwinds to its meat export market, Tyson is also hurting from slowing domestic demand for chicken and commodity market volatility.

It is a challenging environment for U.S. meat producers like Tyson, as the export-heavy industry is undergoing a surge in production (and therefore potentially more surplus to be unloaded) amid global trade tensions.

Tyson Foods' Chief Executive Officer Tom Hayes has expressed that the company would be seeking pricing and cost management strategies to offset the effects of freight and feed ingredient costs.

Related Ticker: TSN

TSN in +8.46% Uptrend, advancing for three consecutive days on November 24, 2025

Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where TSN advanced for three days, in of 283 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 07, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on TSN as a result. In of 88 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TSN just turned positive on November 03, 2025. Looking at past instances where TSN's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 40 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

TSN moved above its 50-day moving average on November 21, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for TSN crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on November 17, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TSN declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

TSN broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 24, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for TSN entered a downward trend on November 07, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.130) is normal, around the industry mean (2.859). P/E Ratio (43.541) is within average values for comparable stocks, (87.171). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.320) is also within normal values, averaging (2.027). Dividend Yield (0.034) settles around the average of (0.043) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.380) is also within normal values, averaging (29.349).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TSN’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. TSN’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 79, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Archer Daniels Midland Company (NYSE:ADM), Tyson Foods (NYSE:TSN), Cal-Maine Foods (NASDAQ:CALM).

Industry description

The Agricultural Commodities/Milling industry includes companies that are involved in farming activities, such as crop production, livestock management and animal feed, for commercial purposes. The industry includes a wide range of operations from growing corn, to grain and oilseed processing to the operation of flour mills. Changes in consumer tastes is one of the critical factors influencing what products are grown and raised in this industry. Potential risks to the business include climate change and fluctuations in global prices of agricultural products. Archer-Daniels-Midland Company, Elanco Animal Health, Inc., Bunge Limited and Canopy Growth Corporation are some of the biggest U.S. companies operating in this industry.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Agricultural Commodities/Milling Industry is 3.12B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 459 to 34.75B. HPTYD holds the highest valuation in this group at 34.75B. The lowest valued company is KALRQ at 459.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Agricultural Commodities/Milling Industry was 3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -6%, and the average quarterly price growth was 9%. HERB experienced the highest price growth at 15%, while RSSFF experienced the biggest fall at -42%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Agricultural Commodities/Milling Industry was -24%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -25% and the average quarterly volume growth was -26%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 43
P/E Growth Rating: 55
Price Growth Rating: 59
SMR Rating: 79
Profit Risk Rating: 78
Seasonality Score: 3 (-100 ... +100)
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TSN
Daily Signal:
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published price charts
These past five trading days, the stock lost 0.00% with an average daily volume of 0 shares traded.The stock tracked a drawdown of 0% for this period. TSN showed earnings on November 10, 2025. You can read more about the earnings report here.
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a distributer of chicken, beef, pork, prepared foods and related allied products

Industry AgriculturalCommoditiesMilling

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Food Meat Or Fish Or Dairy
Address
2200 West Don Tyson Parkway
Phone
+1 479 290-4000
Employees
139000
Web
https://www.tysonfoods.com
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