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Dec 02, 2022
Ulta (ULTA, $469.91) beats fiscal Q3 expectations

Ulta (ULTA, $469.91) beats fiscal Q3 expectations

Ulta Beauty topped analysts’ expectations in its fiscal third quarter, and boosted its guidance for the full year amidst solid demand.

The skincare/cosmetics company’s earnings for the quarter came in at $5.34 per share, surpassing analysts’ expectations of $4.15 per share.

Revenue of $2.34 billion also beat expectations of $2.21 billion. Comparable sales climbed +14.6% year over year (vs.+ 25.8% increase in the year-ago period, and well above the 8.8% expected by analysts according to StreetAccount).

Looking ahead, Ulta raised its full-year earnings projection to a range of $22.60 to $22.90 per share, vs.  prior forecast of $20.70 to $21.20 per share. The forecast also exceeds the Street expectation of $21.40 earnings per share. The company now expects full-year revenue of between $9.95 billion to $10 billion, compared to its previous outlook of $9.65 billion to $9.75 billion. Analysts had anticipated $9.77 billion in revenue. Ulta expects comparable sales y/y growth in the range of 12.6% to 13.2%, vs. prior forecast of 9.5% to 10.5%.

Related Ticker: ULTA

ULTA's RSI Oscillator stoops into oversold zone

The RSI Indicator for ULTA moved into overbought territory on March 13, 2026. Be on the watch for a price drop or consolidation in the future -- when this happens, think about selling the stock or exploring put options.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ULTA advanced for three days, in of 327 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

ULTA may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on March 02, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on ULTA as a result. In of 85 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for ULTA turned negative on February 18, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 43 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

ULTA moved below its 50-day moving average on March 05, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for ULTA crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on March 11, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ULTA declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 85, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ULTA’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (9.025) is normal, around the industry mean (13.592). P/E Ratio (20.557) is within average values for comparable stocks, (43.758). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.268) is also within normal values, averaging (3.122). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.045) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.034) is also within normal values, averaging (4.882).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Ulta Beauty (NASDAQ:ULTA), Tractor Supply Co (NASDAQ:TSCO), Best Buy Company (NYSE:BBY), Five Below (NASDAQ:FIVE), GameStop Corp (NYSE:GME), Bath & Body Works (NYSE:BBWI), RH (NYSE:RH), 1-800-FLOWERS.COM (NASDAQ:FLWS).

Industry description

The specialty stores sector includes companies dedicated to the sale of retail products focused on a single product category, such as clothing, carpet, books, or office supplies. A specialty store could face intense competition from big-box departmental chains, and therefore offering an adequate collection of the product type it specializes in is key in maintaining/growing its market.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Specialty Stores Industry is 4.21B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 4.65K to 55.71B. ANCTF holds the highest valuation in this group at 55.71B. The lowest valued company is SIMPQ at 4.65K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Specialty Stores Industry was -1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 2%, and the average quarterly price growth was -3%. DAZSF experienced the highest price growth at 80%, while SPEV experienced the biggest fall at -29%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Specialty Stores Industry was 213%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 26% and the average quarterly volume growth was 12%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 46
P/E Growth Rating: 56
Price Growth Rating: 62
SMR Rating: 68
Profit Risk Rating: 84
Seasonality Score: -7 (-100 ... +100)
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ULTA
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published price charts
These past five trading days, the stock lost 0.00% with an average daily volume of 0 shares traded.The stock tracked a drawdown of 0% for this period. ULTA showed earnings on March 12, 2026. You can read more about the earnings report here.
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a company that retails cosmetics and other personal care products

Industry SpecialtyStores

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Specialty Stores
Address
1000 Remington Boulevard
Phone
+1 630 410-4800
Employees
56000
Web
https://www.ulta.com
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