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Sergey Savastiouk's Avatar
published in Blogs
Jan 25, 2020

Union Pacific (UNP, $185.61) misses Q4 earnings estimates

Union Pacific missed Wall Street estimates on earnings

The railroad company’s fourth-quarter earnings came in at $2.02 a share, compared to analysts’ expectations of $2.07 a share. The figure was also below the year-ago level of $2.12.

Revenue fell -9.5% from the year-ago quarter to $5.21 billion, below Wall Street's estimate of $5.22 billion.

Union Pacific has plans to cut its average number of workers by around 8% in 2020. This follows  its -11% reduction of staffing in 2019.

Related Ticker: UNP

UNP in downward trend: 10-day moving average crossed below 50-day moving average on May 28, 2024

The 10-day moving average for UNP crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on May 28, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on May 21, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on UNP as a result. In of 96 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for UNP turned negative on May 21, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 47 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

UNP moved below its 50-day moving average on May 21, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where UNP declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 3 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where UNP advanced for three days, in of 320 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

UNP may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 255 cases where UNP Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 77, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. UNP’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: UNP's P/B Ratio (8.921) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (2.072). P/E Ratio (21.873) is within average values for comparable stocks, (22.530). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.500) is also within normal values, averaging (4.442). Dividend Yield (0.023) settles around the average of (0.037) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (5.797) is also within normal values, averaging (4.456).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Union Pacific Corp (NYSE:UNP), CSX Corp (NASDAQ:CSX), Norfolk Southern Corp (NYSE:NSC).

Industry description

The Railroad industry includes passenger and freight transportation services along rail lines. This also includes companies that provide maintenance and switching duties as part of rail services. Within North America, the industry is largely dominated by some large operators. Several short-line railroads serve regional and local routes. Union Pacific Corporation, Canadian National Railway Company, and CSX Corporation are some of the prominent names in the business. The railroad business is relatively cyclical; economic expansion boost the freight services in particular, while economic stagnation often dampens transportation demand.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Railroads Industry is 16.18B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 1.1K to 139.72B. UNP holds the highest valuation in this group at 139.72B. The lowest valued company is URAL at 1.1K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Railroads Industry was -0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 2%, and the average quarterly price growth was 10%. ALSMY experienced the highest price growth at 14%, while RVSN experienced the biggest fall at -12%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Railroads Industry was -16%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -19% and the average quarterly volume growth was -43%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 58
P/E Growth Rating: 68
Price Growth Rating: 49
SMR Rating: 77
Profit Risk Rating: 77
Seasonality Score: 16 (-100 ... +100)
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A.I.Advisor
published price charts
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published General Information

General Information

a provider of railroad and freight transportation services

Industry Railroads

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Railroads
Address
1400 Douglas Street
Phone
+1 402 544-5000
Employees
32973
Web
https://www.up.com
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