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Jan 25, 2020
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Union Pacific (UNP, $185.61) misses Q4 earnings estimates

Union Pacific (UNP, $185.61) misses Q4 earnings estimates

Union Pacific missed Wall Street estimates on earnings

The railroad company’s fourth-quarter earnings came in at $2.02 a share, compared to analysts’ expectations of $2.07 a share. The figure was also below the year-ago level of $2.12.

Revenue fell -9.5% from the year-ago quarter to $5.21 billion, below Wall Street's estimate of $5.22 billion.

Union Pacific has plans to cut its average number of workers by around 8% in 2020. This follows  its -11% reduction of staffing in 2019.

Related Ticker: UNP

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


UNP in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on October 20, 2026

UNP moved above its 50-day moving average on October 20, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 38 of 50 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 08, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on UNP as a result. In 41 of 82 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 50%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for UNP just turned positive on October 02, 2026. Looking at past instances where UNP's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 24 of 44 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 55%.

The 10-day moving average for UNP crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 23, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 15 of 20 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.

Following a +1.68% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where UNP advanced for three days, in 181 of 327 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 55%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 79 of 234 cases where UNP Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 34%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 19 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where UNP declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 46%.

UNP broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 16 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 24 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. UNP’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 26 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 30 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 58, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 93 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: UNP's P/B Ratio (8.822) is slightly higher than the industry average of (3.936). P/E Ratio (24.818) is within average values for comparable stocks, (15.897). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.721) is also within normal values, averaging (7.261). Dividend Yield (0.019) settles around the average of (0.025) among similar stocks. UNP's P/S Ratio (6.562) is slightly higher than the industry average of (3.592).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Union Pacific Corp (NYSE:UNP), CSX Corp (NASDAQ:CSX), Norfolk Southern Corp (NYSE:NSC).

Industry description

The Railroad industry includes passenger and freight transportation services along rail lines. This also includes companies that provide maintenance and switching duties as part of rail services. Within North America, the industry is largely dominated by some large operators. Several short-line railroads serve regional and local routes. Union Pacific Corporation, Canadian National Railway Company, and CSX Corporation are some of the prominent names in the business. The railroad business is relatively cyclical; economic expansion boost the freight services in particular, while economic stagnation often dampens transportation demand.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Railroads Industry is 46.51B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 6.75K to 182.38B. UNP holds the highest valuation in this group at 182.38B. The lowest valued company is USDP at 6.75K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Railroads Industry was 1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -1%, and the average quarterly price growth was 3%. TRN experienced the highest price growth at 18%, while RVSN experienced the biggest fall at -14%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Railroads Industry was 55%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 47% and the average quarterly volume growth was 10%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 73
P/E Growth Rating: 48
Price Growth Rating: 49
SMR Rating: 59
Profit Risk Rating: 58
Seasonality Score: 16 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a provider of railroad and freight transportation services

Industry Railroads

Industry
Railroads
Address
1400 Douglas Street
Phone
+1 402 544-5000
Employees
29287
Web
https://www.up.com
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