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Sergey Savastiouk's Avatar
published in Blogs
Jan 25, 2020

Union Pacific (UNP, $185.61) misses Q4 earnings estimates

Union Pacific missed Wall Street estimates on earnings

The railroad company’s fourth-quarter earnings came in at $2.02 a share, compared to analysts’ expectations of $2.07 a share. The figure was also below the year-ago level of $2.12.

Revenue fell -9.5% from the year-ago quarter to $5.21 billion, below Wall Street's estimate of $5.22 billion.

Union Pacific has plans to cut its average number of workers by around 8% in 2020. This follows  its -11% reduction of staffing in 2019.

Related Ticker: UNP

UNP in upward trend: 10-day moving average moved above 50-day moving average on January 24, 2025

The 10-day moving average for UNP crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on January 24, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on February 13, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on UNP as a result. In of 90 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for UNP just turned positive on February 13, 2025. Looking at past instances where UNP's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

UNP moved above its 50-day moving average on January 16, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where UNP advanced for three days, in of 330 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 247 cases where UNP Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for UNP moved out of overbought territory on January 28, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 31 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 31 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where UNP declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

UNP broke above its upper Bollinger Band on January 23, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 80, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. UNP’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: UNP's P/B Ratio (8.913) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (1.788). P/E Ratio (22.472) is within average values for comparable stocks, (19.131). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.593) is also within normal values, averaging (3.625). Dividend Yield (0.021) settles around the average of (0.040) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (6.254) is also within normal values, averaging (2.982).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Union Pacific Corp (NYSE:UNP), CSX Corp (NASDAQ:CSX), Norfolk Southern Corp (NYSE:NSC).

Industry description

The Railroad industry includes passenger and freight transportation services along rail lines. This also includes companies that provide maintenance and switching duties as part of rail services. Within North America, the industry is largely dominated by some large operators. Several short-line railroads serve regional and local routes. Union Pacific Corporation, Canadian National Railway Company, and CSX Corporation are some of the prominent names in the business. The railroad business is relatively cyclical; economic expansion boost the freight services in particular, while economic stagnation often dampens transportation demand.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Railroads Industry is 15.8B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 320 to 150.6B. UNP holds the highest valuation in this group at 150.6B. The lowest valued company is URAL at 320.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Railroads Industry was 0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -2%, and the average quarterly price growth was -2%. GNGYF experienced the highest price growth at 20%, while PNYG experienced the biggest fall at -21%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Railroads Industry was 37%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -15% and the average quarterly volume growth was 30%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 55
P/E Growth Rating: 67
Price Growth Rating: 59
SMR Rating: 75
Profit Risk Rating: 79
Seasonality Score: -27 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a provider of railroad and freight transportation services

Industry Railroads

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Railroads
Address
1400 Douglas Street
Phone
+1 402 544-5000
Employees
32973
Web
https://www.up.com
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