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Sergey Savastiouk's Avatar
published in Blogs
Apr 17, 2019

United Continental (UAL, $88.03) Q1 earnings surpasses analysts' estimates, and reaffirms full-year guidance

United Continental Holdings’ earnings for the first quarter beat analysts’ estimates. The company reaffirmed its outlook for the full-year.

The airline company’s  unadjusted earnings for the first quarter came in at $1.15 a share, compared to 95 cents a share expected by analysts polled by FactSet.

The quarterly profit on an adjusted basis was $292 million (or $1.09 a share), doubling from the year-ago quarter’s $145 million (or 51 cents a share). Revenue of $9.59 billion, however, fell slightly short of analysts’ expectations of $9.61 billion. But it was still higher than the prior year period’s $9.03 billion.

Shaken by recent crashes of Boeing 737 MAX 8 aircrafts flown by Lion Air and Ethiopian Airlines respectively, United said earlier this week that it was canceling MAX flights through early July. United has 14 737 MAX 9 jets in its fleet, not the MAX 8 variant.

United reiterated its full-year earnings guidance of the range $10 to $12 per share for 2019, which is higher than current FactSet consensus estimates of $11.09 a share. The carrier projects earnings of $11 to $13 a share on an adjusted basis for 2020, compared to FactSet consensus estimates of $12.09 a share.

Related Ticker: UAL

UAL's Indicator enters downward trend

The Aroon Indicator for UAL entered a downward trend on November 19, 2025. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 159 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In of the 159 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 19, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on UAL as a result. In of 81 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for UAL turned negative on November 17, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 43 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

UAL moved below its 50-day moving average on November 13, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where UAL declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where UAL advanced for three days, in of 309 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

UAL may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 74, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. UAL’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.066) is normal, around the industry mean (3.891). P/E Ratio (9.151) is within average values for comparable stocks, (35.588). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (5.079) is also within normal values, averaging (3.579). UAL's Dividend Yield (0.000) is considerably lower than the industry average of (0.034). P/S Ratio (0.516) is also within normal values, averaging (0.585).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Delta Air Lines (NYSE:DAL), United Airlines Holdings (NASDAQ:UAL), Southwest Airlines Co (NYSE:LUV), American Airlines Group (NASDAQ:AAL), JetBlue Airways Corp (NASDAQ:JBLU).

Industry description

Airlines industry comprises passenger air transportation, including scheduled and non-scheduled routes. This can include charter airlines, as well as regular commuter ones. Discount pricing and the rise of low-cost carriers over recent decades have expanded the industry by making its services accessible to a much larger global population, compared to the older days when airline travel was a relative luxury for many people in the world. Delta Air Lines Inc., Southwest Airlines Co and United Continental Holdings, Inc. are some of the airlines with the largest stock market capitalizations in the U.S.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Airlines Industry is 7.97B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 9.36K to 37.13B. DAL holds the highest valuation in this group at 37.13B. The lowest valued company is KLMR at 9.36K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Airlines Industry was -3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -1%, and the average quarterly price growth was 15%. PREM experienced the highest price growth at 38%, while SRFM experienced the biggest fall at -24%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Airlines Industry was -4%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 1% and the average quarterly volume growth was -0%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 57
P/E Growth Rating: 55
Price Growth Rating: 53
SMR Rating: 63
Profit Risk Rating: 74
Seasonality Score: 33 (-100 ... +100)
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These past five trading days, the stock lost 0.00% with an average daily volume of 0 shares traded.The stock tracked a drawdown of 0% for this period. UAL showed earnings on October 15, 2025. You can read more about the earnings report here.
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a holding company with interest in transporting people and cargo through mainline operations, which utilize full-sized jet aircraft

Industry Airlines

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Airlines
Address
233 South Wacker Drive
Phone
+1 872 825-4000
Employees
92795
Web
https://www.united.com
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