United Continental (UAL, $88.03) Q1 earnings surpasses analysts' estimates, and reaffirms full-year guidance
United Continental Holdings’ earnings for the first quarter beat analysts’ estimates. The company reaffirmed its outlook for the full-year.
The airline company’s unadjusted earnings for the first quarter came in at $1.15 a share, compared to 95 cents a share expected by analysts polled by FactSet.
The quarterly profit on an adjusted basis was $292 million (or $1.09 a share), doubling from the year-ago quarter’s $145 million (or 51 cents a share). Revenue of $9.59 billion, however, fell slightly short of analysts’ expectations of $9.61 billion. But it was still higher than the prior year period’s $9.03 billion.
Shaken by recent crashes of Boeing 737 MAX 8 aircrafts flown by Lion Air and Ethiopian Airlines respectively, United said earlier this week that it was canceling MAX flights through early July. United has 14 737 MAX 9 jets in its fleet, not the MAX 8 variant.
United reiterated its full-year earnings guidance of the range $10 to $12 per share for 2019, which is higher than current FactSet consensus estimates of $11.09 a share. The carrier projects earnings of $11 to $13 a share on an adjusted basis for 2020, compared to FactSet consensus estimates of $12.09 a share.
UAL sees its 50-day moving average cross bullishly above its 200-day moving average
The 50-day moving average for UAL moved above the 200-day moving average on August 22, 2025. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on August 12, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on UAL as a result. In of 82 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where UAL advanced for three days, in of 314 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 245 cases where UAL Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for UAL moved out of overbought territory on September 12, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 36 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 36 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for UAL turned negative on September 09, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 43 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where UAL declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
UAL broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 11, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. UAL’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 74, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.580) is normal, around the industry mean (3.157). P/E Ratio (10.690) is within average values for comparable stocks, (14.939). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (5.460) is also within normal values, averaging (4.205). UAL has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.033). P/S Ratio (0.610) is also within normal values, averaging (0.604).
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General Information
a holding company with interest in transporting people and cargo through mainline operations, which utilize full-sized jet aircraft
Industry Airlines
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