Urban Outfitters (URBN, $26.39) reports lower-than-expected holiday sales
Urban Outfitters’ holiday sales came in below analysts' expectations.
The lifestyle retail company’s same-store sales at its Free People and Anthropologie outlets increased +8% and +5% respectively during the 2019 holiday season. However, comparable-store sales at the company’s eponymous stores declined -1%.
The retailer's overall sales climbed just under +3% during the holiday season, lagging analysts' expectations.
On Thursday, the company also reported lower-than-expected sales.
Urban Outfitters’ also warned of a possible thinner-than-expected profit margins for the fourth quarter.
URBN's Indicator enters downward trend
The Aroon Indicator for URBN entered a downward trend on July 02, 2025. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 115 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In of the 115 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on July 15, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on URBN as a result. In of 98 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for URBN turned negative on July 07, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 60 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 60 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where URBN declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
URBN broke above its upper Bollinger Band on June 30, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where URBN advanced for three days, in of 321 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 77, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. URBN’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.970) is normal, around the industry mean (3.964). P/E Ratio (14.708) is within average values for comparable stocks, (110.742). URBN's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.582) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.444). URBN has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.028). P/S Ratio (0.821) is also within normal values, averaging (1.139).
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General Information
a retail clothing store
Industry ApparelFootwearRetail
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