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Aug 09, 2018
US Crude Will Not Face Chinese Tariffs

US Crude Will Not Face Chinese Tariffs

China spares U.S. crude oil from its tariff list.

On Wednesday, China’s commerce ministry announced 25% tariffs on $16 billion worth of American goods. While the list targets fuels such as diesel, gasoline and propane, it excludes U.S. crude oil. 

It’s no secret that shale revolution has been boosting U.S. crude production to unprecedented levels, thereby helping the nation lower its supply costs and attracting demand from China and other Asian nations. U.S. crude exports to China had risen to 15 million barrels in June - the highest volume since 1996, according to U.S. Census Bureau and Energy Information Administration data.

Earlier, the Chinese government was reportedly considering tariffs on U.S. crude, but changed its mind following consultations with industry associations and corporations. That reflects how much of a market clout U.S. crude exporters potentially have on Chinese refineries, more so as the latter continue to face supply disruptions from Venezuela and Iran.

Related Ticker: XOM

XOM's RSI Indicator peaks and leaves overbought zone

The 10-day RSI Oscillator for XOM moved out of overbought territory on May 20, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. Traders may want to look at selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 42 instances where the indicator moved out of the overbought zone. In of the 42 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move down at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on June 15, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on XOM as a result. In of 94 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for XOM turned negative on May 27, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 49 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 49 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

XOM moved below its 50-day moving average on May 26, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for XOM crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on May 29, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where XOM declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where XOM advanced for three days, in of 369 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

XOM may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 312 cases where XOM Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 31, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.312) is normal, around the industry mean (1.864). P/E Ratio (23.882) is within average values for comparable stocks, (19.620). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.177) is also within normal values, averaging (1.161). Dividend Yield (0.029) settles around the average of (0.042) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.855) is also within normal values, averaging (1.601).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. XOM’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Exxon Mobil Corp (NYSE:XOM), Chevron Corp (NYSE:CVX), BP plc (NYSE:BP), Petroleo Brasileiro Sa-Petrobras ADS (REP 1 Common Share) (NYSE:PBR), Suncor Energy (NYSE:SU), YPF Sociedad Anonima (NYSE:YPF).

Industry description

Integrated oil companies are involved across nearly the entire oil value chain – from upstream operations like exploration and production, to downstream functions of refining and marketing. Exxon Mobil Corporation, Chevron Corporation and BP are major integrated oil companies. Their bottom lines’ response to crude oil prices could depend on the proportion of upstream vs. downstream businesses; for example, if a company has substantial downstream business, the adverse impact on their upstream business due to falling crude prices could be mitigated by benefits to its downstream business.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Integrated Oil Industry is 109.94B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 39.76K to 588B. XOM holds the highest valuation in this group at 588B. The lowest valued company is PGAS at 39.76K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Integrated Oil Industry was -8%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -11%, and the average quarterly price growth was 25%. TGS experienced the highest price growth at 5%, while SKYQ experienced the biggest fall at -24%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Integrated Oil Industry was 10%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 4% and the average quarterly volume growth was 6%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 37
P/E Growth Rating: 48
Price Growth Rating: 52
SMR Rating: 64
Profit Risk Rating: 30
Seasonality Score: -56 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a distributer of crude oil, natural gas and petroleum products

Industry IntegratedOil

Profile
Details
Industry
Integrated Oil
Address
22777 Springwoods Village Parkway
Phone
+1 972 940-6000
Employees
61500
Web
https://www.exxonmobil.com
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