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Aug 09, 2018
US Crude Will Not Face Chinese Tariffs

US Crude Will Not Face Chinese Tariffs

China spares U.S. crude oil from its tariff list.

On Wednesday, China’s commerce ministry announced 25% tariffs on $16 billion worth of American goods. While the list targets fuels such as diesel, gasoline and propane, it excludes U.S. crude oil. 

It’s no secret that shale revolution has been boosting U.S. crude production to unprecedented levels, thereby helping the nation lower its supply costs and attracting demand from China and other Asian nations. U.S. crude exports to China had risen to 15 million barrels in June - the highest volume since 1996, according to U.S. Census Bureau and Energy Information Administration data.

Earlier, the Chinese government was reportedly considering tariffs on U.S. crude, but changed its mind following consultations with industry associations and corporations. That reflects how much of a market clout U.S. crude exporters potentially have on Chinese refineries, more so as the latter continue to face supply disruptions from Venezuela and Iran.

Related Ticker: XOM

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


XOM in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on July 17, 2026

XOM moved above its 50-day moving average on July 17, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In of 47 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on August 10, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on XOM as a result. In of 93 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for XOM just turned positive on August 10, 2026. Looking at past instances where XOM's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 51 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The 10-day moving average for XOM crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on July 23, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where XOM advanced for three days, in of 367 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 316 cases where XOM Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for XOM moved out of overbought territory on July 31, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 43 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 3 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where XOM declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

XOM broke above its upper Bollinger Band on August 10, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 29, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. XOM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: XOM's P/B Ratio (2.538) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.846). P/E Ratio (20.605) is within average values for comparable stocks, (15.173). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.253) is also within normal values, averaging (1.255). Dividend Yield (0.025) settles around the average of (0.038) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.873) is also within normal values, averaging (3.573).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are ExxonMobil Holdings Corporation (NYSE:XOM), Chevron Corp (NYSE:CVX), Petroleo Brasileiro Sa-Petrobras ADS (REP 1 Common Share) (NYSE:PBR), BP plc (NYSE:BP), Suncor Energy (NYSE:SU), YPF Sociedad Anonima (NYSE:YPF).

Industry description

Integrated oil companies are involved across nearly the entire oil value chain – from upstream operations like exploration and production, to downstream functions of refining and marketing. Exxon Mobil Corporation, Chevron Corporation and BP are major integrated oil companies. Their bottom lines’ response to crude oil prices could depend on the proportion of upstream vs. downstream businesses; for example, if a company has substantial downstream business, the adverse impact on their upstream business due to falling crude prices could be mitigated by benefits to its downstream business.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Integrated Oil Industry is 119.56B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 39.76K to 658.32B. XOM holds the highest valuation in this group at 658.32B. The lowest valued company is PGAS at 39.76K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Integrated Oil Industry was 4%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 9%, and the average quarterly price growth was 20%. SLNG experienced the highest price growth at 36%, while SKYQ experienced the biggest fall at -21%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Integrated Oil Industry was -29%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -9% and the average quarterly volume growth was -28%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 45
P/E Growth Rating: 60
Price Growth Rating: 44
SMR Rating: 63
Profit Risk Rating: 29
Seasonality Score: -29 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a distributer of crude oil, natural gas and petroleum products

Industry IntegratedOil

Profile
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Industry
Integrated Oil
Address
22777 Springwoods Village Parkway
Phone
+1 972 940-6000
Employees
61500
Web
https://www.exxonmobil.com
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