US existing home sales fell -34% y-o-y in December
U.S. existing home sales (i.e. sales when a contract is closed) fell -1.5% from November and -34% year-over-year to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.02 million in December, the lowest level since November 2010. Home resales, which account for a significant share of U.S. housing sales, were down -34.0% on a year-on-year in December.
December marked the 11th consecutive month of home sales decrease --and the longest such stretch since 1999, as indicated in the National Association of Realtors data. For the year 2022, sales plunged -17.8%, biggest annual decrease since 2008, as last year’s rising interest rate environment dampened residential real estate market.
The median existing-home sales price rose +2.3% from a year ago to $366,900.
IYR's Stochastic Oscillator remains in overbought zone for 1 day
Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day moving average for IYR crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on November 04, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where IYR declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 26, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on IYR as a result. In of 84 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for IYR just turned positive on November 25, 2025. Looking at past instances where IYR's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
IYR moved above its 50-day moving average on November 25, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where IYR advanced for three days, in of 327 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
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