US existing home sales fell -34% y-o-y in December
U.S. existing home sales (i.e. sales when a contract is closed) fell -1.5% from November and -34% year-over-year to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.02 million in December, the lowest level since November 2010. Home resales, which account for a significant share of U.S. housing sales, were down -34.0% on a year-on-year in December.
December marked the 11th consecutive month of home sales decrease --and the longest such stretch since 1999, as indicated in the National Association of Realtors data. For the year 2022, sales plunged -17.8%, biggest annual decrease since 2008, as last year’s rising interest rate environment dampened residential real estate market.
The median existing-home sales price rose +2.3% from a year ago to $366,900.
IYR's MACD Histogram just turned positive
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for IYR turned positive on August 20, 2025. Looking at past instances where IYR's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on September 10, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on IYR as a result. In of 80 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
IYR moved above its 50-day moving average on August 19, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for IYR crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on August 25, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where IYR advanced for three days, in of 331 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 310 cases where IYR Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 63 cases where IYR's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where IYR declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
IYR broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 11, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
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