US existing home sales fell -34% y-o-y in December
U.S. existing home sales (i.e. sales when a contract is closed) fell -1.5% from November and -34% year-over-year to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.02 million in December, the lowest level since November 2010. Home resales, which account for a significant share of U.S. housing sales, were down -34.0% on a year-on-year in December.
December marked the 11th consecutive month of home sales decrease --and the longest such stretch since 1999, as indicated in the National Association of Realtors data. For the year 2022, sales plunged -17.8%, biggest annual decrease since 2008, as last year’s rising interest rate environment dampened residential real estate market.
The median existing-home sales price rose +2.3% from a year ago to $366,900.
IYR's RSI Indicator ascending out of oversold territory
The RSI Indicator for IYR moved out of oversold territory on October 13, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 23 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In of the 23 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 20, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on IYR as a result. In of 81 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for IYR just turned positive on October 17, 2025. Looking at past instances where IYR's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 44 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
IYR moved above its 50-day moving average on October 15, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for IYR crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 23, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where IYR advanced for three days, in of 327 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
IYR may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 5 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where IYR declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for IYR entered a downward trend on October 21, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
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