US job gains accelerated to +304,000 in January
U.S. employers added 304,000 (net) jobs in January – the 100th straight month of employment gain. It is also the biggest monthly job gain since February 2018 (based on Bureau of Labor Statistics data). The average net addition to workforce for the last three months is now 241,000 jobs — which is an acceleration in job growth.
The leisure and hospitality sector, which hired 74,000 employees, led the job gains for the month. Construction and health care added 52,000 and 42,000 jobs respectively.
In January, average hourly earnings for all employees on private nonfarm payrolls increased by 3 cents to $27.56, following a 10-cent gain in December. Over the year, the earnings increased by 85 cents, or 3.2%
Unemployment rate, however, ticked up a bit to 4% in January, possibly due to the month-long government shutdown. But the shutdown did not seem to significantly affect job creation and wages.
SPY sees its 50-day moving average cross bullishly above its 200-day moving average
The 50-day moving average for SPY moved above the 200-day moving average on June 27, 2025. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on June 03, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on SPY as a result. In of 68 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for SPY just turned positive on June 26, 2025. Looking at past instances where SPY's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 53 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SPY advanced for three days, in of 366 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 436 cases where SPY Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 3 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SPY declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
SPY broke above its upper Bollinger Band on June 26, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
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