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published in Blogs
Mar 08, 2019
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Vail Resorts (MTN, $216.48) climbs +8%, on earnings and revenue beat

Vail Resorts (MTN, $216.48) climbs +8%, on earnings and revenue beat

Vail Resorts beat second quarter earnings and revenue estimates, causing its shares to jump more than +8% Friday.

The mountain resort company reported net income of $5.02 per share, which edged past Wall Street analysts’ estimates of $4.83 per share. Its revenue of $850 million was higher than analysts’ expectations of $842 million for the quarter.

The company experienced a +27% year-over-year surge in skier visitation, while lodging revenue increased +16.1%. 

Vail said that it would be boosting its quarterly dividend by +20% to $1.76 per share, payable April 11, to shareholders of record on March 27. 

However, the company lowered its projection for the full-year EBITDA to a range of $690 million to $710 million, compared to its previous guidance range of $718 million to $750 million.   It had weaker-than-expected destination guest visitation during the pre-holiday period.

Related Ticker: MTN

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


MTN in upward trend: 10-day moving average broke above 50-day moving average on October 12, 2026

The 10-day moving average for MTN crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 12, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 14 of 21 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 28, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on MTN as a result. In 55 of 89 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 62%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for MTN just turned positive on October 27, 2026. Looking at past instances where MTN's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 30 of 49 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 61%.

MTN moved above its 50-day moving average on October 06, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a +0.85% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MTN advanced for three days, in 169 of 297 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 57%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 85 of 156 cases where MTN Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 54%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for MTN moved out of overbought territory on November 05, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 26 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 21 of the 26 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 81%.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 7 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MTN declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 72%.

MTN broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 5 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 23 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 40 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. MTN’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 65 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 80 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (23.496) is normal, around the industry mean (14.575). P/E Ratio (38.400) is within average values for comparable stocks, (53.870). MTN's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.730) is slightly higher than the industry average of (0.784). Dividend Yield (0.056) settles around the average of (0.022) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.782) is also within normal values, averaging (1.049).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. MTN’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 92, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Las Vegas Sands Corp (NYSE:LVS), Wynn Resorts Limited (NASDAQ:WYNN), MGM Resorts International (NYSE:MGM), Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited (NASDAQ:MLCO).

Industry description

The industry includes companies that operate and manage one or more of the following: lodging facilities (e.g. hotels and motels), resorts (e.g. ski resorts), spas, cruise ships and timeshare facilities. Marriott International, Inc., Carnival Corporation, Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. and Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. are some of the biggest names in this industry.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Hotels/Resorts/Cruiselines Industry is 4.54B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 514.43K to 26.38B. LVS holds the highest valuation in this group at 26.38B. The lowest valued company is CNDL at 514.43K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Hotels/Resorts/Cruiselines Industry was 2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 2%, and the average quarterly price growth was -8%. WYNN experienced the highest price growth at 12%, while BALY experienced the biggest fall at -11%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Hotels/Resorts/Cruiselines Industry was -22%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 19% and the average quarterly volume growth was -3%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 46
P/E Growth Rating: 53
Price Growth Rating: 59
SMR Rating: 70
Profit Risk Rating: 92
Seasonality Score: 27 (-100 ... +100)
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published General Information

General Information

a company which owns and operates resorts

Industry HotelsResortsCruiselines

Industry
Hotels Or Resorts Or Cruiselines
Address
390 Interlocken Crescent
Phone
+1 303 404-1800
Employees
46600
Web
https://www.vailresorts.com
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