Vail Resorts beat second quarter earnings and revenue estimates, causing its shares to jump more than +8% Friday.
The mountain resort company reported net income of $5.02 per share, which edged past Wall Street analysts’ estimates of $4.83 per share. Its revenue of $850 million was higher than analysts’ expectations of $842 million for the quarter.
The company experienced a +27% year-over-year surge in skier visitation, while lodging revenue increased +16.1%.
Vail said that it would be boosting its quarterly dividend by +20% to $1.76 per share, payable April 11, to shareholders of record on March 27.
However, the company lowered its projection for the full-year EBITDA to a range of $690 million to $710 million, compared to its previous guidance range of $718 million to $750 million. It had weaker-than-expected destination guest visitation during the pre-holiday period.
Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.
MTN may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 28 of 43 cases where MTN's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where MTN's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 16 of 32 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 50%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for MTN just turned positive on September 16, 2026. Looking at past instances where MTN's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 27 of 50 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 54%.
Following a +2.90% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MTN advanced for three days, in 171 of 300 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 57%.
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 46 of 63 cases where MTN's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 73%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 05, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on MTN as a result. In 64 of 90 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 71%.
The 10-day moving average for MTN crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 01, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 15 of 20 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 75%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MTN declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 71%.
The Aroon Indicator for MTN entered a downward trend on September 21, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 9 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (20.450) is normal, around the industry mean (26.158). P/E Ratio (33.517) is within average values for comparable stocks, (67.292). MTN's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.730) is slightly higher than the industry average of (0.784). MTN's Dividend Yield (0.064) is considerably higher than the industry average of (0.012). P/S Ratio (1.782) is also within normal values, averaging (1.049).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 9 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 23 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 47 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. MTN’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 75 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. MTN’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 92, placing this stock worse than average.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a company which owns and operates resorts
Industry HotelsResortsCruiselines