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Feb 06, 2019
Wild price swings may be the new normal for crude oil markets as US, Russia and Saudis vie for influence - CNBC

Wild price swings may be the new normal for crude oil markets as US, Russia and Saudis vie for influence - CNBC

During just six months crude oil prices ripped higher by about 20 percent, plunged more than 40 percent and snapped back 25 percent, an intense volatility that analysts warn could be the new normal in the oil market.

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Related Ticker: COP

COP's Indicator enters downward trend

The Aroon Indicator for COP entered a downward trend on April 28, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 137 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In of the 137 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for COP turned negative on May 06, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 47 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

The 10-day moving average for COP crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on May 07, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where COP declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 57 cases where COP's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on May 15, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on COP as a result. In of 92 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

COP moved above its 50-day moving average on May 15, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where COP advanced for three days, in of 341 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

COP may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 73, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. COP’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.311) is normal, around the industry mean (14.764). P/E Ratio (20.747) is within average values for comparable stocks, (42.243). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.038) is also within normal values, averaging (6.190). Dividend Yield (0.027) settles around the average of (0.060) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.610) is also within normal values, averaging (162.999).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are ConocoPhillips (NYSE:COP), Canadian Natural Resources Limited (NYSE:CNQ), EOG Resources (NYSE:EOG), Occidental Petroleum Corp (NYSE:OXY), Diamondback Energy (NASDAQ:FANG), Devon Energy Corp (NYSE:DVN), EQT Corp (NYSE:EQT), Expand Energy Corporation (NASDAQ:EXE), APA Corp (NASDAQ:APA), ANTERO RESOURCES Corp (NYSE:AR).

Industry description

The oil and gas production segment includes companies that specialize in exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas. These companies are focused on upstream operations. Companies typically identify deposits, drill wells, and extract raw materials from underground. The industry also includes related services like rig operations, feasibility studies, machinery rentals etc. Several operators in this industry work with various types of contractors such as engineering procurement and construction contractors, as well as with joint-venture partners and oil field service companies. Oil and gas often involves large fixed costs of production; so, declining crude oil prices, for example, is a potential negative for this industry. Conoco Phillips, EOG Resources, Inc. and Pioneer Natural Resources Company are some examples of companies operating in this space.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Oil & Gas Production Industry is 5.25B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 3.28K to 149.13B. COP holds the highest valuation in this group at 149.13B. The lowest valued company is PSTRQ at 3.28K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Oil & Gas Production Industry was 4%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 6%, and the average quarterly price growth was 38%. MSCH experienced the highest price growth at 219%, while PTCO experienced the biggest fall at -33%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Oil & Gas Production Industry was 9%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 56% and the average quarterly volume growth was 62%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 52
P/E Growth Rating: 47
Price Growth Rating: 47
SMR Rating: 78
Profit Risk Rating: 72
Seasonality Score: 13 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a producer of wholesales oil and natural gas

Industry OilGasProduction

Profile
Details
Industry
Oil And Gas Production
Address
925 North Eldridge Parkway
Phone
+1 281 293-1000
Employees
9900
Web
https://www.conocophillips.com
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