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Jan 17, 2021

Zoom Video (ZM, $384.53) named highest conviction pick for 2021 at Bernstein

Zoom Video  shares were named  the highest conviction pick for 2021 by a Bernstein analyst.

 Bernstein has an outperform rating on the video conferencing company’s stock,  and a $610 price target.  This followed news of Zoom sold 1 million seats for its phone service – a business that was introduced two years ago.

The analysts at  Bernstein are sanguine that revenue from Zoom Phone will contribute substantial returns in a shorter period than many investors expect. The firm expects that Zoom Phone could surpass 8 million paid users by the end of calendar year 2022, and 13 million by the end of 2023. 

Zoom Phone would have a market value of $80 billion by 2023, considering a multiple of 20 times price to sales – according to Bernstein.

Bernstein analyst Zane Chrane said that with all Zoom Phone users on paid plans (i.e., no free tier like with videoconferencing), related revenue could grow much more rapidly relative to the user count than has been the case with Zoom VC. "Such a growth trajectory would yield about $4 billion in annual recurring revenue by the end of calendar year 2023, at which point Phone should still be growing top line about 50% year over year" , the analyst added.

 

Related Ticker: ZM

Momentum Indicator for ZM turns negative, indicating new downward trend

ZM saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on November 13, 2025. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 84 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 84 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for ZM turned negative on November 06, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 39 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 39 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

ZM moved below its 50-day moving average on November 17, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ZM declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

ZM broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 21, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.

The 10-day moving average for ZM crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 27, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ZM advanced for three days, in of 282 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 181 cases where ZM Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ZM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.699) is normal, around the industry mean (12.909). P/E Ratio (21.239) is within average values for comparable stocks, (118.249). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.961) is also within normal values, averaging (1.777). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.029) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (5.313) is also within normal values, averaging (55.756).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ZM’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 92, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Salesforce (NYSE:CRM), Shopify Inc (NASDAQ:SHOP), Uber Technologies (NYSE:UBER), Intuit (NASDAQ:INTU), SERVICENOW (NYSE:NOW), Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE), Autodesk (NASDAQ:ADSK), Datadog (NASDAQ:DDOG), Workday (NASDAQ:WDAY), Atlassian Corp (NASDAQ:TEAM).

Industry description

Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Packaged Software Industry is 8.15B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 291 to 276.94B. SAPGF holds the highest valuation in this group at 276.94B. The lowest valued company is BLGI at 291.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was -6%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -10%, and the average quarterly price growth was 46%. VSMR experienced the highest price growth at 80%, while DYNDF experienced the biggest fall at -38%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was -5%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 17% and the average quarterly volume growth was 84%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 55
P/E Growth Rating: 72
Price Growth Rating: 64
SMR Rating: 77
Profit Risk Rating: 91
Seasonality Score: 19 (-100 ... +100)
Related Portfolios: APPLICATION SOFTWARE
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These past five trading days, the stock lost 0.00% with an average daily volume of 0 shares traded.The stock tracked a drawdown of 0% for this period. ZM showed earnings on August 21, 2025. You can read more about the earnings report here.
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a developer of video-first communications platform and application

Industry PackagedSoftware

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Packaged Software
Address
55 Almaden Boulevard
Phone
+1 888 799-9666
Employees
7420
Web
https://www.zoom.com
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