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ADSK vs DT
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Autodesk (ADSK) vs. Dynatrace (DT) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Autodesk (ADSK) operates in design and engineering software with steady international demand, while Dynatrace (DT) focuses on AI-powered observability and application performance monitoring.
- Both stocks have experienced year-to-date declines amid broader software sector pressures, with ADSK down approximately 18% and DT down about 10% as of late May 2026.
- ADSK approaches its Q1 earnings report with analyst expectations for 24% year-over-year EPS growth, whereas DT recently reported revenue growth of 19.4% that beat estimates but triggered initial volatility.
- DT has attracted activist investor attention from Starboard Value seeking margin improvements, contrasting with ADSK’s emphasis on cost discipline and global expansion.
- Relative performance shows DT with stronger short-term momentum in recent weeks compared to ADSK’s more consistent but subdued trajectory.
- Sector exposure differs notably: ADSK in creative and manufacturing tools, DT in cloud infrastructure and AI-driven IT operations.
Introduction
This comparison examines ADSK and DT to highlight differences in business models, recent market behavior, and positioning within the software industry. Investors and traders focused on technology sector rotation, growth versus value dynamics, or AI-related themes may find the analysis relevant. The review draws on observable metrics such as revenue trends, analyst expectations, and share price movements over recent weeks to provide a factual basis for relative assessment.
ADSK Overview and Recent Performance
Autodesk, Inc. develops software for design, engineering, and construction professionals across architecture, manufacturing, and media industries. In recent market activity, the stock has traded in a range near $240 amid anticipation of its Q1 earnings release scheduled for May 28. Analysts project revenue of $1.89 billion and EPS of $2.84, representing 24% year-over-year growth. Despite operational resilience and international demand, the shares have lagged the broader market, reflecting sector-wide caution and a pullback from the 52-week high near $329. Sentiment has been influenced by cost-management initiatives and steady subscription renewals, supporting a measured performance profile in recent weeks.
DT Overview and Recent Performance
Dynatrace, Inc. provides an AI-powered platform for observability, application security, and cloud automation used by enterprises to manage complex IT environments. Recent market activity shows the stock recovering from post-earnings volatility after Q1 results delivered 19.4% revenue growth to $531.7 million, exceeding consensus estimates. Shares have shown short-term resilience, trading near $40 with notable volume on select sessions. An activist stake disclosed by Starboard Value in late April has introduced focus on margin expansion and capital returns. Performance in recent weeks reflects mixed reactions to earnings alongside broader interest in AI infrastructure plays, resulting in relative outperformance versus the prior month’s range.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Autodesk maintains a subscription-based model with high customer retention in design software, offering exposure to cyclical industrial and creative sectors. Dynatrace leverages recurring revenue from its observability platform, benefiting from expanding cloud adoption and AI monitoring needs. Recent momentum favors DT following earnings beats and activist involvement, while ADSK exhibits steadier but slower price recovery ahead of its earnings date. Risk factors include ADSK’s sensitivity to macroeconomic spending on capital projects and DT’s exposure to competitive pressures in the observability space. Sector positioning places ADSK in productivity tools and DT in infrastructure software, creating distinct sensitivities to enterprise IT budgets versus design spending cycles. Market sentiment reflects cautious optimism for both, tempered by software valuation compression observed across the sector in recent weeks.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as recent earnings momentum, activist catalyst presence, and short-term trend consistency, Tickeron’s AI models would currently assign a modestly higher probability of favorable relative performance to DT over the near term. Autodesk’s positioning ahead of earnings provides stability but lacks the same immediate external driver seen with Dynatrace. Outcomes remain probabilistic and subject to broader market conditions.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ADSK is a Hold and DT is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ADSK’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileDT’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- ADSK’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- DT’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ADSK’s TA Score shows that 2 TA indicator(s) are bullish while DT’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ADSK’s TA Score: 2 bullish, 6 bearish.
- DT’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
ADSK (@Packaged Software) experienced а -3.62% price change this week, while DT (@Packaged Software) price change was -6.58% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Packaged Software industry was -4.86%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +0.76%, and the average quarterly price growth was -13.27%.
Reported Earning Dates
ADSK is expected to report earnings on Aug 27, 2026.
DT is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Packaged Software (-4.86% weekly)Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.
| ADSK | DT | ADSK / DT | |
| Capitalization | 46.7B | 11.8B | 396% |
| EBITDA | 2.33B | 288M | 808% |
| Gain YTD | -25.246 | -6.368 | 396% |
| P/E Ratio | 32.30 | 75.15 | 43% |
| Revenue | 7.51B | 2.02B | 372% |
| Total Cash | 2.92B | 1.17B | 249% |
| Total Debt | 2.72B | 164M | 1,661% |
ADSK | DT | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 57 | 65 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 77 Overvalued | 77 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 20 | 83 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 63 | 58 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 93 | 8 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
ADSK's Valuation (77) in the Packaged Software industry is in the same range as DT (77) in the null industry. This means that ADSK’s stock grew similarly to DT’s over the last 12 months.
ADSK's Profit vs Risk Rating (100) in the Packaged Software industry is in the same range as DT (100) in the null industry. This means that ADSK’s stock grew similarly to DT’s over the last 12 months.
ADSK's SMR Rating (20) in the Packaged Software industry is somewhat better than the same rating for DT (83) in the null industry. This means that ADSK’s stock grew somewhat faster than DT’s over the last 12 months.
DT's Price Growth Rating (58) in the null industry is in the same range as ADSK (63) in the Packaged Software industry. This means that DT’s stock grew similarly to ADSK’s over the last 12 months.
DT's P/E Growth Rating (8) in the null industry is significantly better than the same rating for ADSK (93) in the Packaged Software industry. This means that DT’s stock grew significantly faster than ADSK’s over the last 12 months.
| ADSK | DT | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 62% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 73% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 72% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 69% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 69% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 71% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 24 days ago 64% | 10 days ago 69% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 71% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 74% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 77% |
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DT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, DT has been closely correlated with CRM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 68% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if DT jumps, then CRM could also see price increases.