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AGCO vs TEX
Which Stock Would AI Choose? AGCO Corporation (AGCO) vs. Terex Corporation (TEX) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- AGCO and TEX both operate in the heavy machinery and equipment sector but serve distinctly different end markets — agriculture versus construction and materials handling.
- AGCO has faced headwinds from softening agricultural commodity prices and farmer income expectations, while TEX has benefited from resilient infrastructure and construction demand.
- Terex has demonstrated stronger relative price momentum in recent months, supported by solid earnings execution and an improving backlog in its Aerial Work Platforms (AWP) segment.
- AGCO trades at a notably lower forward price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple, potentially reflecting a value-oriented opportunity versus Terex's premium valuation driven by growth visibility.
- Both companies are navigating tariff uncertainties and supply chain considerations, but sector-specific demand cycles remain the dominant force shaping their respective outlooks.
- Tickeron's AI-driven analysis weighs trend consistency, volatility profiles, and catalyst positioning to assess which stock may be better suited for current market conditions.
Introduction
Comparing AGCO and TEX brings together two prominent manufacturers in the industrial machinery landscape, each tethered to very different economic cycles. AGCO is a global leader in agricultural equipment, while Terex focuses on construction machinery, aerial work platforms, and materials processing equipment. This comparison is relevant for investors seeking exposure to industrial manufacturing but grappling with divergent demand drivers: the cyclical nature of farm incomes versus infrastructure spending and non-residential construction activity. Understanding how these two companies stack up across valuation, momentum, risk, and sector-specific catalysts can help traders and longer-term investors alike make more informed allocation decisions.
AGCO Overview and Recent Performance
AGCO Corporation, headquartered in Duluth, Georgia, is one of the world's largest manufacturers of agricultural equipment, producing tractors, combines, sprayers, and precision agriculture technology under well-known brands including Massey Ferguson, Fendt, Valtra, and Challenger. The company generates the majority of its revenue from outside North America, with substantial exposure to Europe, South America, and other international markets.
In recent market activity, AGCO's stock has faced downward pressure driven by weakening agricultural fundamentals. Crop prices for key commodities such as corn, wheat, and soybeans have retreated from elevated levels seen in prior years, compressing farmer purchasing power and dampening demand for new equipment. AGCO's management has signaled caution around dealer inventory levels, and industry forecasts point to a softer sales environment in 2025 compared to the post-pandemic replacement cycle that boosted revenues in 2023 and early 2024. The company's precision agriculture and technology investments, including its PTx Trimble joint venture, represent longer-term growth levers, but near-term sentiment remains cautious. The stock reflected this uncertainty by trading at compressed valuation multiples relative to its historical range, with forward earnings estimates being revised modestly lower in recent weeks.
TEX Overview and Recent Performance
TEX — Terex Corporation, based in Norwalk, Connecticut, designs and manufactures equipment for the construction, infrastructure, quarrying, shipping, and utility industries. Its portfolio spans aerial work platforms (AWPs), mobile elevating work platforms, cranes, crushing and screening equipment, and materials processing machinery. Terex operates through two primary segments: Materials Processing (MP) and Aerial Work Platforms.
Terex has experienced relatively constructive market conditions in recent months, aided by resilient non-residential construction spending and a growing backlog in its AWP business. Government-funded infrastructure projects tied to multi-year federal spending programs have provided a tailwind, while demand for rental equipment from major rental companies has remained healthy. Earnings reports from the recent period have generally met or exceeded consensus expectations, with management maintaining a disciplined approach to pricing and cost management. Terex's stock has reflected this operational strength with comparatively stronger price momentum. Investors have also responded favorably to the company's capital allocation strategy, including share repurchases. However, concerns around potential tariff impacts on imported components and steel, as well as the eventual normalization of order patterns, remain on the radar for market participants tracking the stock.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
When placed side by side, AGCO and Terex reveal a tale of two cyclical trajectories. AGCO's fortunes are tightly coupled with global agricultural income trends, which have softened as grain prices normalize and farmer margins compress. Terex, by contrast, rides on infrastructure and construction activity, which have remained more resilient thanks to government stimulus programs and steady private-sector demand for rental equipment. This divergence is reflected in their recent relative performance, with Terex holding firmer ground in terms of price momentum and earnings consistency.
From a valuation standpoint, AGCO currently trades at a lower forward earnings multiple, potentially pricing in the anticipated agricultural downturn and offering a margin of safety for value-oriented investors willing to look through the cycle. Terex carries a richer valuation but is supported by stronger near-term earnings visibility and backlog coverage. Risk factors differ materially: AGCO faces weather-dependent crop cycles, trade policy risks tied to agricultural exports, and farmer credit conditions, while Terex is more exposed to commercial construction cycles, rental fleet utilization rates, and steel input costs. On the growth front, AGCO's long-term narrative is anchored in precision agriculture technology adoption, whereas Terex's growth is tied to secular trends in infrastructure modernization and electrification of aerial equipment. Sector exposure further differentiates them — AGCO sits squarely in agricultural machinery, while Terex straddles industrial machinery and construction equipment.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, volatility characteristics, and catalyst positioning, Tickeron's AI-driven analysis would likely tilt in favor of TEX in the current environment. Terex has demonstrated steadier price momentum, a more stable earnings trajectory, and benefits from infrastructure-related tailwinds that remain structurally supported. While AGCO may appeal to deep-value investors anticipating an agricultural cycle recovery, the prevailing trend signals and near-term catalyst landscape appear more constructive for Terex. It is important to note that this represents a probabilistic assessment based on current data, not a definitive forecast — market conditions, sentiment, and underlying fundamentals can shift, and AI models continuously reassess as new information emerges.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
Disclaimers and LimitationsTo compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AGCO is a Buy and TEX is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AGCO’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileTEX’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- AGCO’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- TEX’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AGCO’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TEX’s TA Score has 2 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AGCO’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- TEX’s TA Score: 2 bullish, 7 bearish.
Price Growth
AGCO (@Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery) experienced а -15.72% price change this week, while TEX (@Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery) price change was -10.01% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery industry was -3.97%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -6.17%, and the average quarterly price growth was -5.07%.
Reported Earning Dates
AGCO is expected to report earnings on Nov 03, 2026.
TEX is expected to report earnings on Oct 22, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery (-3.97% weekly)The industry designs and builds agricultural, construction and other large commercial and transportation equipment. Tractors, planters and harvesters, as well as rock-crushing, railroad, demolition and other construction implements are produced by this industry. Rapid urbanization and industrialization has been bolstering the expansion of the construction sector in the past few decades, thereby boosting demand for heavy equipment businesses. Caterpillar Inc., Deere & Company and Cummins Inc (Ex. Cummins Engine Inc) are some prominent companies in this industry.
| AGCO | TEX | AGCO / TEX | |
| Capitalization | 7.15B | 7.18B | 100% |
| EBITDA | 1.11B | 619M | 180% |
| Gain YTD | -1.614 | 18.361 | -9% |
| P/E Ratio | 14.13 | 30.07 | 47% |
| Revenue | 10.3B | 6.68B | 154% |
| Total Cash | 573M | 407M | 141% |
| Total Debt | 2.84B | 2.69B | 106% |
AGCO | TEX | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 53 | 71 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 18 Undervalued | 30 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 66 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 63 | 87 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 72 | 51 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 100 | 15 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 17 | 65 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
AGCO's Valuation (18) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as TEX (30). This means that AGCO’s stock grew similarly to TEX’s over the last 12 months.
TEX's Profit vs Risk Rating (66) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is somewhat better than the same rating for AGCO (100). This means that TEX’s stock grew somewhat faster than AGCO’s over the last 12 months.
AGCO's SMR Rating (63) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as TEX (87). This means that AGCO’s stock grew similarly to TEX’s over the last 12 months.
TEX's Price Growth Rating (51) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as AGCO (72). This means that TEX’s stock grew similarly to AGCO’s over the last 12 months.
TEX's P/E Growth Rating (15) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is significantly better than the same rating for AGCO (100). This means that TEX’s stock grew significantly faster than AGCO’s over the last 12 months.
| AGCO | TEX | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 82% | 5 days ago 76% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 73% | 3 days ago 79% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 68% | 3 days ago 70% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 71% | 3 days ago 72% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 68% | 3 days ago 70% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 67% | 3 days ago 70% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 18 days ago 61% | 10 days ago 73% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 65% | 4 days ago 67% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 82% | 3 days ago 77% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 59% | 3 days ago 71% |
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AGCO and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AGCO has been closely correlated with CNH. These tickers have moved in lockstep 76% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if AGCO jumps, then CNH could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To AGCO | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AGCO | 100% | -4.64% | ||
| CNH - AGCO | 76% Closely correlated | -0.68% | ||
| DE - AGCO | 70% Closely correlated | -1.13% | ||
| ALG - AGCO | 60% Loosely correlated | +0.79% | ||
| TEX - AGCO | 58% Loosely correlated | +1.00% | ||
| PCAR - AGCO | 56% Loosely correlated | -0.81% | ||
More | ||||
TEX and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TEX has been loosely correlated with OSK. These tickers have moved in lockstep 66% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if TEX jumps, then OSK could also see price increases.