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ERIE vs MRSH
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE) vs. Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc. (MRSH) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- ERIE shares have declined about 40% over the past year amid broader market pressures, contrasting with MRSH's roughly 25% drop, highlighting relative resilience in MRSH.
- Recent weeks show ERIE stabilizing near $250 after volatility, while MRSH trades around $175 with modest declines.
- MRSH benefits from diversification in risk management and consulting, versus ERIE's focused role managing the Erie Insurance Exchange.
- Both stocks reflect insurance sector challenges, but MRSH shows stronger earnings momentum with recent beats.
- Market sentiment favors MRSH for its scale and global exposure in a volatile environment.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines ERIE and MRSH, two players in the insurance and risk management space. Investors tracking financial services, particularly those sensitive to interest rates and economic cycles, may find value in understanding their relative performance. With both stocks navigating recent market downturns, this analysis highlights differences in business models, momentum, and positioning. Traders seeking sector exposure or hedging opportunities can use these insights to evaluate stock comparison metrics like volatility, growth drivers, and market sentiment in today's environment.
ERIE Overview and Recent Performance
Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE) serves as the attorney-in-fact for the Erie Insurance Exchange, managing its operations and underwriting activities. This structure provides a steady management fee revenue stream tied to policy premiums. In recent market activity, ERIE shares have experienced significant pressure, falling approximately 40% over the past year from highs near $420 to around $250. Recent weeks reflect stabilization after volatility, with modest weekly fluctuations amid broader sector headwinds like rising claims costs. Sentiment has been influenced by strong fundamentals, including an improved price-to-book (P/B) ratio dropping to about 5.8x, yet offset by macroeconomic concerns.
MRSH Overview and Recent Performance
Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc. (MRSH), a global leader in insurance brokerage, risk advisory, and consulting, operates through segments like Marsh and Mercer. Its diversified model supports revenue from commissions and fees worldwide. Over recent months, MRSH shares have declined from 52-week highs above $235 to near $175, a roughly 25% yearly drop, underperforming less severely than peers. Recent performance includes slight monthly dips of about 1%, buoyed by Q1 2026 earnings per share (EPS) beats and Mercer business momentum. Investor sentiment reflects caution on valuations but optimism for operational efficiency and market share gains.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
ERIE and MRSH both operate in insurance services but differ in scale and scope. ERIE’s model relies on fees from a single exchange, exposing it to concentrated risks like regional claims, while MRSH leverages global brokerage and consulting for broader growth drivers including mergers and acquisitions (M&A). Recent momentum favors MRSH with steadier declines and earnings catalysts versus ERIE’s sharper yearly drop. Risk factors include interest rate sensitivity for both, but MRSH’s $84 billion market cap offers liquidity advantages over ERIE. Sector exposure tilts MRSH toward diversified professional services, potentially buoying sentiment amid economic uncertainty.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI models currently lean toward MRSH with higher probability for near-term outperformance. This assessment stems from its relative stability, consistent trend lines, recent earnings strength, and superior positioning in risk management amid market volatility, compared to ERIE’s more pronounced declines and narrower focus.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ERIE is a StrongBuy and MRSH is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ERIE’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileMRSH’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- ERIE’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- MRSH’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ERIE’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MRSH’s TA Score has 2 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ERIE’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 4 bearish.
- MRSH’s TA Score: 2 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
ERIE (@Insurance Brokers/Services) experienced а -5.61% price change this week, while MRSH (@Insurance Brokers/Services) price change was -3.65% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Insurance Brokers/Services industry was -1.95%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -5.30%, and the average quarterly price growth was -28.73%.
Reported Earning Dates
ERIE is expected to report earnings on Jul 23, 2026.
MRSH is expected to report earnings on Jul 16, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Insurance Brokers/Services (-1.95% weekly)Insurance brokers sell, solicit, or negotiate insurance for compensation. General insurance brokers mostly cater to insurances on car, house etc. (versus life). Brokers are also often instrumental in helping small employers find health insurance, particularly in more competitive markets. Additionally, brokers may also provide risk assessments, insurance consulting services, insurance-related regulatory and legislative update services. Some of the major names in this industry include Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc., Aon plc and Verisk Analytics Inc.
| ERIE | MRSH | ERIE / MRSH | |
| Capitalization | 11.6B | 78.9B | 15% |
| EBITDA | N/A | 7.16B | - |
| Gain YTD | -25.410 | -12.807 | 198% |
| P/E Ratio | 19.38 | 20.02 | 97% |
| Revenue | 4.16B | 27.5B | 15% |
| Total Cash | 338M | 1.61B | 21% |
| Total Debt | 0 | 22.5B | - |
ERIE | MRSH | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 4 | 8 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 95 Overvalued | 83 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 91 | 80 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 36 | 35 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 73 | 71 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 84 | 62 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
MRSH's Valuation (83) in the null industry is in the same range as ERIE (95) in the Property Or Casualty Insurance industry. This means that MRSH’s stock grew similarly to ERIE’s over the last 12 months.
MRSH's Profit vs Risk Rating (80) in the null industry is in the same range as ERIE (91) in the Property Or Casualty Insurance industry. This means that MRSH’s stock grew similarly to ERIE’s over the last 12 months.
MRSH's SMR Rating (35) in the null industry is in the same range as ERIE (36) in the Property Or Casualty Insurance industry. This means that MRSH’s stock grew similarly to ERIE’s over the last 12 months.
MRSH's Price Growth Rating (71) in the null industry is in the same range as ERIE (73) in the Property Or Casualty Insurance industry. This means that MRSH’s stock grew similarly to ERIE’s over the last 12 months.
MRSH's P/E Growth Rating (62) in the null industry is in the same range as ERIE (84) in the Property Or Casualty Insurance industry. This means that MRSH’s stock grew similarly to ERIE’s over the last 12 months.
| ERIE | MRSH | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 53% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 56% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 57% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 57% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 48% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 46% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 14 days ago 60% | 12 days ago 50% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 58% | 2 days ago 43% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 42% |
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ERIE and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ERIE has been loosely correlated with AON. These tickers have moved in lockstep 55% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if ERIE jumps, then AON could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ERIE | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ERIE | 100% | -4.37% | ||
| AON - ERIE | 55% Loosely correlated | -1.29% | ||
| BRO - ERIE | 50% Loosely correlated | -1.46% | ||
| WTW - ERIE | 47% Loosely correlated | -0.90% | ||
| MRSH - ERIE | 47% Loosely correlated | -1.41% | ||
| AJG - ERIE | 46% Loosely correlated | -2.33% | ||
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MRSH and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MRSH has been closely correlated with AON. These tickers have moved in lockstep 78% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if MRSH jumps, then AON could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MRSH | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MRSH | 100% | -1.41% | ||
| AON - MRSH | 78% Closely correlated | -1.29% | ||
| AJG - MRSH | 73% Closely correlated | -2.33% | ||
| BRO - MRSH | 70% Closely correlated | -1.46% | ||
| WTW - MRSH | 65% Loosely correlated | -0.90% | ||
| ERIE - MRSH | 48% Loosely correlated | -4.37% | ||
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