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ARES vs GCMG
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ARES is a StrongBuy and GCMG is a Hold.
Momentum Indicator for ARES turns positive, indicating new upward trend
ARES saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on October 21, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 98 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 75 of the 98 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 77%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where ARES's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 15 of 20 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ARES just turned positive on October 12, 2026. Looking at past instances where ARES's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 33 of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 72%.
Following a +6.37% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ARES advanced for three days, in 255 of 335 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.
The 10-day moving average for ARES crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 17, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 9 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 64%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ARES declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 66%.
ARES broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for ARES entered a downward trend on October 22, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 60 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. ARES’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 62 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 82, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 82 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 91 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: ARES's P/B Ratio (10.611) is slightly higher than the industry average of (2.404). P/E Ratio (53.674) is within average values for comparable stocks, (-3.413). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.879) is also within normal values, averaging (1.319). Dividend Yield (0.046) settles around the average of (0.272) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.623) is also within normal values, averaging (15.798).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 95 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 95 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
GCMG's Indicator enters downward trend
The Aroon Indicator for GCMG entered a downward trend on October 05, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 129 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In 93 of the 129 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at 72%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 14, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on GCMG as a result. In 52 of 88 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 59%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for GCMG turned negative on October 14, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 28 of the 45 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 62%.
GCMG moved below its 50-day moving average on October 07, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GCMG declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 65%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 5 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +2.40% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GCMG advanced for three days, in 196 of 297 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 66%.
GCMG may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 6 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 25 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 48 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. GCMG’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 55 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 82, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 94 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: GCMG's P/B Ratio (30.445) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (2.404). P/E Ratio (15.975) is within average values for comparable stocks, (-3.413). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.700) is also within normal values, averaging (1.319). Dividend Yield (0.038) settles around the average of (0.272) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.417) is also within normal values, averaging (15.798).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 95 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
ARES | GCMG | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 37 | 69 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 91 Overvalued | 94 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 62 | 55 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 95 | 6 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 60 | 48 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 82 | 95 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 90 | 25 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
ARES's Valuation (91) in the Investment Managers industry is in the same range as GCMG (94) in the null industry. This means that ARES’s stock grew similarly to GCMG’s over the last 12 months.
GCMG's Profit vs Risk Rating (55) in the null industry is in the same range as ARES (62) in the Investment Managers industry. This means that GCMG’s stock grew similarly to ARES’s over the last 12 months.
GCMG's SMR Rating (6) in the null industry is significantly better than the same rating for ARES (95) in the Investment Managers industry. This means that GCMG’s stock grew significantly faster than ARES’s over the last 12 months.
GCMG's Price Growth Rating (48) in the null industry is in the same range as ARES (60) in the Investment Managers industry. This means that GCMG’s stock grew similarly to ARES’s over the last 12 months.
ARES's P/E Growth Rating (82) in the Investment Managers industry is in the same range as GCMG (95) in the null industry. This means that ARES’s stock grew similarly to GCMG’s over the last 12 months.
| ARES | GCMG | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 75% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 58% | 1 day ago 71% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 59% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 72% | 1 day ago 62% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 76% | 1 day ago 63% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 67% | 1 day ago 61% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 76% | 14 days ago 66% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 66% | 4 days ago 65% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 58% | 1 day ago 80% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 65% | 1 day ago 72% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ARES’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while GCMG’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- ARES’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- GCMG’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ARES’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while GCMG’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ARES’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 3 bearish.
- GCMG’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
ARES (@Investment Managers) experienced а +4.02% price change this week, while GCMG (@Investment Managers) price change was -1.87% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Investment Managers industry was -1.40%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -5.36%, and the average quarterly price growth was -0.89%.
Reported Earning Dates
ARES is expected to report earnings on Oct 29, 2026.
GCMG is expected to report earnings on Nov 04, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Investment Managers (-1.40% weekly)Investment Managers manage financial assets and other investments of clients. Management includes designing a short- or long-term strategy for buying/holding and selling of portfolio holdings. It can also include tax services and other aspects of financial planning as well. While it is perceived that the industry is faced with growing competition from robo-advisors/digital platforms and passive/ index-tracking funds, many investors still find value in actively managed in-person services that investment management companies often emphasize on. At the same time, many wealth managers are also incorporating digital initiatives/low cost options in addition to their in-person customized services. Their main sources of revenues are fees as a percentage of assets under management, in addition to a certain portion of clients’ gains from asset appreciation. BlackRock, Inc., Blackstone Group Inc and Brookfield Asset Management are some of the major investment management companies.
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ARES and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ARES has been closely correlated with KKR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 83% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ARES jumps, then KKR could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ARES | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARES | 100% | +5.72% | ||
| KKR - ARES | 83% Closely correlated | +3.58% | ||
| BX - ARES | 80% Closely correlated | +8.38% | ||
| TPG - ARES | 79% Closely correlated | +4.74% | ||
| OWL - ARES | 78% Closely correlated | +5.89% | ||
| APO - ARES | 77% Closely correlated | +2.81% | ||
More | ||||
GCMG and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, GCMG has been loosely correlated with BX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 58% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if GCMG jumps, then BX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To GCMG | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GCMG | 100% | +1.53% | ||
| BX - GCMG | 58% Loosely correlated | +8.38% | ||
| ARES - GCMG | 55% Loosely correlated | +5.72% | ||
| BN - GCMG | 54% Loosely correlated | +2.05% | ||
| KKR - GCMG | 54% Loosely correlated | +3.58% | ||
| TPG - GCMG | 51% Loosely correlated | +4.74% | ||
More | ||||