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CBRE vs NMRK
Which Stock Would AI Choose? CBRE Group (CBRE) vs. Newmark Group (NMRK) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- CBRE Group is the world's largest commercial real estate services firm, with roughly $40.5 billion in 2025 revenue and a diversified mix of resilient and transactional businesses.
- Newmark Group is a faster-growing, more concentrated commercial real estate advisor, recently posting top-line growth in the high-20% range and accelerating capital markets fees.
- CBRE offers greater scale and earnings stability, while NMRK has delivered stronger near-term growth momentum and a pivot toward recurring, fee-based services.
- Both stocks are exposed to commercial real estate cycles and interest-rate sentiment, but CBRE carries a larger data center and digital infrastructure catalyst.
- Market sentiment has favored CBRE's durability even as NMRK's valuation appears discounted relative to analyst targets.
Introduction
CBRE Group (CBRE) and Newmark Group (NMRK) are two publicly traded names operating in the same commercial real estate services industry, yet they represent very different investment profiles. This stock comparison examines their relative performance, business models, growth drivers, and market positioning to help traders and investors evaluate which company is better suited to the current environment. The comparison is relevant for those tracking commercial real estate recovery, data center demand, and the shift toward recurring fee income, as well as for anyone seeking a clearer view of relative performance between a large-cap industry leader and a mid-cap growth challenger.
CBRE Overview and Recent Performance
CBRE Group is a global commercial real estate services and investment firm spanning advisory and leasing, property and facilities management, project management, and real estate investments. In recent quarters, the company reported broad-based growth, with fourth-quarter revenue rising double digits and full-year 2025 revenue reaching roughly $40.5 billion, up about 13% year over year. Core earnings per share (EPS) climbed 25% for the year to $6.38, and management guided 2026 core EPS to a range of $7.30 to $7.60, implying approximately 17% growth at the midpoint.
A defining theme in recent market activity has been investor focus on artificial intelligence (AI). CBRE has positioned its data center solutions and digital infrastructure business as a key growth engine, with management indicating this segment contributed about 14% of core EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) in 2025. Despite strong results, the stock experienced notable selling pressure after its latest earnings, as some investors weighed concerns that AI could disrupt traditional office and brokerage demand. Management has countered that its diversified, data-intensive services model is insulated and can benefit from AI-driven efficiency. With roughly $155 billion in assets under management and low leverage, CBRE retains a comparatively stable financial profile.
NMRK Overview and Recent Performance
Newmark Group is a commercial real estate advisor and service provider with a growing footprint across the United States, the United Kingdom, Europe, and Asia. The company has shown faster top-line acceleration than many peers, reporting first-quarter revenue growth of roughly 27% to an all-time record for that period, alongside adjusted EPS growth above 50%. Capital markets revenue has been a standout, rising in the mid-40% range on strong transaction volumes, while leasing and management services fees also expanded at double-digit rates.
Newmark has been actively pivoting toward recurring, fee-based revenue, expanding its Global Asset Services platform and managed services offerings while reducing dependence on one-off transactions. Management raised its full-year revenue outlook to between $3.775 billion and $3.875 billion, signaling confidence in a third consecutive year of double-digit growth. At the same time, the stock has shown meaningful volatility, and analysts have cited execution risk tied to rapid international expansion and concentration in office-heavy urban markets. Despite recent share-price weakness, several sell-side firms have maintained constructive ratings, citing what they view as a discounted valuation relative to intrinsic estimates.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
The most immediate contrast is scale. CBRE generates roughly twelve times Newmark's annual revenue and operates a more diversified model that blends cyclical transactional income with steadier, recurring services. This gives CBRE greater earnings stability across the real estate cycle but also makes its percentage growth rates more moderate. NMRK, by contrast, is smaller and more concentrated in brokerage and capital markets, which allows for sharper upside when transaction activity accelerates but also introduces more volatility during downturns.
Growth drivers differ as well. CBRE's strongest secular catalyst is data center and digital infrastructure demand, which management expects to keep growing at roughly 20% annually. Newmark is leaning on international expansion, market-share gains in large complex transactions, and a buildout of recurring asset services. On the risk side, CBRE faces questions about AI's long-term effect on office demand and brokerage fees, while NMRK carries execution and integration risk from rapid global growth and exposure to office-heavy urban markets. From a sentiment standpoint, CBRE is viewed as the more defensive, institutional-quality holding, whereas NMRK is often framed as a higher-beta (more market-sensitive) recovery play with a discounted valuation.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, earnings stability, balance sheet strength, and catalyst durability, Tickeron's AI would likely assign a slight edge to CBRE in the current environment. Its diversified revenue base, recurring cash flows, and expanding data center franchise support a more consistent trend profile and greater resilience if transaction activity cools. That said, NMRK presents a stronger near-term growth trajectory and a more aggressive momentum profile, which could appeal to algorithms weighted toward acceleration and valuation. The verdict is probabilistic rather than definitive: CBRE is favored for stability and positioning, while NMRK remains a higher-conviction growth candidate for strategies that tolerate greater volatility.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CBRE is a Buy and NMRK is a Buy.
CBRE's RSI Indicator recovers from oversold territory
The RSI Oscillator for CBRE moved out of oversold territory on October 01, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 26 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 20 of the 26 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 77%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 32 of 50 cases where CBRE's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 02, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on CBRE as a result. In 61 of 80 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for CBRE just turned positive on October 30, 2026. Looking at past instances where CBRE's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 30 of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.
CBRE moved above its 50-day moving average on November 02, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +6.35% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CBRE advanced for three days, in 205 of 314 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.
CBRE may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CBRE declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 55%.
The Aroon Indicator for CBRE entered a downward trend on October 30, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 54 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 56 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 93, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 60 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. CBRE’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 81 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 82 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.715) is normal, around the industry mean (2.129). P/E Ratio (31.080) is within average values for comparable stocks, (53.924). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.695) is also within normal values, averaging (0.683). Dividend Yield (0.001) settles around the average of (0.105) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.944) is also within normal values, averaging (5.807).
NMRK's MACD Histogram crosses above signal line
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for NMRK turned positive on October 20, 2026. Looking at past instances where NMRK's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 42 of 56 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where NMRK's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 20 of 30 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 38 of 51 cases where NMRK's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 02, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on NMRK as a result. In 62 of 91 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 68%.
Following a +5.80% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NMRK advanced for three days, in 198 of 286 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.
NMRK may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NMRK declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 78%.
The Aroon Indicator for NMRK entered a downward trend on November 03, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 64 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.502) is normal, around the industry mean (2.123). P/E Ratio (14.349) is within average values for comparable stocks, (53.467). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.010) is also within normal values, averaging (0.683). Dividend Yield (0.020) settles around the average of (0.107) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.998) is also within normal values, averaging (5.807).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 74 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. NMRK’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 78 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 91 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. NMRK’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 93, placing this stock worse than average.
CBRE | NMRK | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 13 | 15 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 82 Overvalued | 64 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 56 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 54 | 78 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 60 | 74 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 81 | 91 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
NMRK's Valuation (64) in the Real Estate Development industry is in the same range as CBRE (82). This means that NMRK’s stock grew similarly to CBRE’s over the last 12 months.
CBRE's Profit vs Risk Rating (56) in the Real Estate Development industry is somewhat better than the same rating for NMRK (100). This means that CBRE’s stock grew somewhat faster than NMRK’s over the last 12 months.
CBRE's SMR Rating (54) in the Real Estate Development industry is in the same range as NMRK (78). This means that CBRE’s stock grew similarly to NMRK’s over the last 12 months.
CBRE's Price Growth Rating (60) in the Real Estate Development industry is in the same range as NMRK (74). This means that CBRE’s stock grew similarly to NMRK’s over the last 12 months.
CBRE's P/E Growth Rating (81) in the Real Estate Development industry is in the same range as NMRK (91). This means that CBRE’s stock grew similarly to NMRK’s over the last 12 months.
| CBRE | NMRK | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 77% | 1 day ago 67% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 1 day ago 75% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | 1 day ago 68% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 1 day ago 75% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 1 day ago 72% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 1 day ago 75% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 69% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 55% | 9 days ago 78% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 1 day ago 72% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 1 day ago 73% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CBRE’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while NMRK’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- CBRE’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- NMRK’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CBRE’s TA Score shows that 7 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NMRK’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CBRE’s TA Score: 7 bullish, 2 bearish.
- NMRK’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 2 bearish.
Price Growth
CBRE (@Real Estate Development) experienced а +11.29% price change this week, while NMRK (@Real Estate Development) price change was +3.75% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Real Estate Development industry was -1.41%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -5.11%, and the average quarterly price growth was -13.71%.
Reported Earning Dates
CBRE is expected to report earnings on Feb 25, 2027.
NMRK is expected to report earnings on Feb 18, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Real Estate Development (-1.41% weekly)Activities range from the renovation and re-lease of existing buildings to the purchase of raw land and the sale of developed land or parcels to others. Demand for land development business is driven by GDP growth, employment rates, interest rates, and access to/cost of capital. For individual companies in this industry, proper cost estimation and successful bidding play critical roles in their profitability. Large companies could potentially have greater access to capital, while smaller companies can specialize in a specific geographic area or market niche. CBRE Group, VICI Properties Inc and Brookfield Property Partners L.P. are some of the large companies in this industry.
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CBRE and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CBRE has been closely correlated with JLL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 85% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CBRE jumps, then JLL could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To CBRE | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBRE | 100% | -0.90% | ||
| JLL - CBRE | 85% Closely correlated | -1.27% | ||
| CWK - CBRE | 83% Closely correlated | -4.95% | ||
| NMRK - CBRE | 82% Closely correlated | -1.08% | ||
| CIGI - CBRE | 73% Closely correlated | -1.18% | ||
| MMI - CBRE | 68% Closely correlated | -2.44% | ||
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