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CMI vs PH
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Cummins Inc. (CMI) vs. Parker-Hannifin Corp. (PH) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- CMI has delivered superior recent momentum with a 32.66% YTD return and 127.40% one-year gain, far outpacing the S&P 500.
- PH shows strong long-term performance (195.13% five-year return) but lags YTD at 0.53%, reflecting softer recent market conditions.
- Both stocks trade at similar valuations (trailing P/E around 32-35), with comparable forward P/E near 25, indicating balanced growth expectations.
- CMI's Q1 2026 revenue grew 3% to $8.4 billion with EPS beat, driven by power systems demand; PH posted record Q3 sales of $5.49 billion but trimmed guidance.
- Market caps are close (CMI $93.3B, PH $110B), both in the specialty industrial machinery industry.
- Dividend yields favor CMI at 1.16% versus PH's 0.92%.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines CMI (Cummins Inc.) and PH (Parker-Hannifin Corp.), two leaders in the specialty industrial machinery sector under the broader industrials umbrella. Both companies provide critical power and motion control solutions essential for heavy-duty applications, making them relevant for investors tracking industrial cyclicality, infrastructure spending, and manufacturing recovery. Traders focused on relative performance, momentum shifts, and sector rotation will find value in contrasting their recent trajectories amid varying demand in engines, power systems, and aerospace components. This analysis highlights key metrics for informed market positioning.
CMI Overview and Recent Performance
Cummins Inc. (CMI) is a global power solutions provider, designing and manufacturing diesel, natural gas, electric, and hybrid engines, along with components, power systems, and electrification technologies through segments like Engine, Distribution, Components, Power Systems, and Accelera. In recent market activity, CMI shares have surged, closing at $674.88 with a market cap of $93.3 billion. The stock boasts a trailing P/E of 35.10 and forward P/E of 25.19, reflecting optimism for earnings growth. Recent weeks saw robust Q1 2026 results, with revenue up 3% year-over-year to $8.4 billion and adjusted EPS of $6.15 beating estimates, fueled by strong Power Systems demand tied to data centers and AI infrastructure. YTD return stands at 32.66%, with one-year gains at 127.40%, outperforming the S&P 500 significantly. Sentiment has shifted positively on raised full-year outlook and shareholder returns of $519 million, though heavy truck softness tempers some engine segment growth.
PH Overview and Recent Performance
Parker-Hannifin Corp. (PH) specializes in motion and control technologies, serving diversified industrial and aerospace markets through segments like Diversified Industrial and Aerospace Systems, offering products for manufacturing, packaging, transportation, and defense applications. Shares recently closed at $872.69, with a market cap of $110 billion, trailing P/E of 32.16, and forward P/E of 25.64. In recent market activity, PH reported record Q3 fiscal 2026 sales of $5.49 billion and adjusted EPS of $8.17, topping estimates, bolstered by aerospace strength and solid cash flow. However, guidance was trimmed due to organic growth concerns in automotive and select regions, contributing to YTD return of just 0.53% versus one-year gains of 42.85%. Longer-term, five-year returns reach 195.13%, highlighting resilience. Investor sentiment reflects caution on near-term softness but confidence in backlog and margin expansion.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both CMI and PH operate in the specialty industrial machinery industry, but diverge in business models: CMI emphasizes power generation and engines for trucks, off-highway, and emerging zero-emission tech, while PH focuses on motion control for diversified industrial and high-margin aerospace/defense. Growth drivers contrast with CMI benefiting from AI data center power demand and international revenue, versus PH's aerospace backlog and acquisitions like Filtration Group. Recent momentum favors CMI (YTD +32.66% vs. +0.53%), but PH offers superior three-year returns (170.99%). Risk factors include cyclical exposure—trucks for CMI, automotive softness for PH—with betas around 1.18 signaling moderate volatility. Market sentiment tilts toward CMI on earnings beats, though PH's higher EPS ($27.14 vs. $19.23) underscores profitability edge. Trade-offs hinge on short-term momentum versus aerospace stability.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors CMI due to superior trend consistency in recent weeks, evidenced by explosive YTD gains, Q1 earnings beat, and catalysts like data center power demand amid raised 2026 outlook. While PH exhibits strong stability and aerospace positioning, its guidance trim and YTD lag suggest relatively weaker near-term momentum. Probabilistic edge leans to CMI for traders eyeing industrial rotation, though both remain viable based on risk tolerance.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CMI is a Hold and PH is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CMI’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whilePH’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- CMI’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- PH’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CMI’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while PH’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CMI’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 4 bearish.
- PH’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
CMI (@Industrial Machinery) experienced а +2.50% price change this week, while PH (@Industrial Machinery) price change was -1.83% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Industrial Machinery industry was -1.68%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +3.07%, and the average quarterly price growth was +17.53%.
Reported Earning Dates
CMI is expected to report earnings on Aug 04, 2026.
PH is expected to report earnings on Aug 06, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Industrial Machinery (-1.68% weekly)The industry makes and maintains machines for consumers, the industry, and most other companies. While it has traditionally been categorized as heavy industry, some smaller companies are also branching into the light category. The industry is pivotal in providing the equipment for production in businesses like agriculture, mining, industry and construction, gas, electricity and water utilities. It also supplies supporting equipment for almost all sectors of the economy, such as equipment for heating, and air conditioning of buildings. Illinois Tool Works Inc., Parker-Hannifin Corporation and Rockwell Automation Inc are some of the major U.S. companies operating in this industry.
| CMI | PH | CMI / PH | |
| Capitalization | 96.1B | 109B | 88% |
| EBITDA | 5.23B | 5.63B | 93% |
| Gain YTD | 36.913 | -1.442 | -2,559% |
| P/E Ratio | 36.18 | 31.83 | 114% |
| Revenue | 33.9B | 21B | 161% |
| Total Cash | 3.18B | 476M | 668% |
| Total Debt | 8.24B | 9.58B | 86% |
CMI | PH | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 41 | 59 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 74 Overvalued | 87 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 6 | 11 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 42 | 39 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 12 | 59 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 8 | 27 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
CMI's Valuation (74) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as PH (87) in the Industrial Machinery industry. This means that CMI’s stock grew similarly to PH’s over the last 12 months.
CMI's Profit vs Risk Rating (6) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as PH (11) in the Industrial Machinery industry. This means that CMI’s stock grew similarly to PH’s over the last 12 months.
PH's SMR Rating (39) in the Industrial Machinery industry is in the same range as CMI (42) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry. This means that PH’s stock grew similarly to CMI’s over the last 12 months.
CMI's Price Growth Rating (12) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is somewhat better than the same rating for PH (59) in the Industrial Machinery industry. This means that CMI’s stock grew somewhat faster than PH’s over the last 12 months.
CMI's P/E Growth Rating (8) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as PH (27) in the Industrial Machinery industry. This means that CMI’s stock grew similarly to PH’s over the last 12 months.
| CMI | PH | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 50% | 3 days ago 74% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 63% | 3 days ago 82% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | N/A | 3 days ago 51% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | N/A | 3 days ago 50% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 64% | 3 days ago 55% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 64% | 3 days ago 58% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 64% | 5 days ago 69% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 54% | 3 days ago 47% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 48% | 3 days ago 73% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 60% | 3 days ago 59% |
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CMI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CMI has been closely correlated with DOV. These tickers have moved in lockstep 70% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CMI jumps, then DOV could also see price increases.