HF Sinclair Corporation (DINO) and PBF Energy Inc. (PBF) are key players in the U.S. oil refining sector, where profitability hinges on crack spreads—the difference between crude oil and refined product prices. This stock comparison analyzes their business models, recent market performance, and positioning amid volatile energy markets. Traders seeking short-term momentum and investors eyeing long-term stability in refining will find value in understanding their relative strengths, such as diversification versus focused operations, and responses to recent sector pressures like margin compression. With both reporting Q1 2026 earnings imminently, the analysis highlights objective contrasts in financial health and market sentiment.
HF Sinclair Corporation (DINO), headquartered in Dallas, Texas, operates refineries across the U.S. Midwest, Rockies, and Northwest, producing gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, and specialty products. Its diversified segments—Refining, Renewables, Marketing, Lubricants & Specialties, and Midstream—provide resilience beyond pure refining exposure. In recent market activity, DINO shares traded around $61.80, with a 52-week range of $29.23–$64.70 and YTD gains of 35.47%. Sentiment has been supported by strong Q4 2025 results, including EPS of $1.20 beating estimates, and elevated crack spreads above $40 per barrel, though recent weeks saw modest pullbacks amid margin moderation concerns. A forward P/E of 7.75 and dividend yield of 3.24% appeal to value-oriented investors, with upcoming Q1 earnings on May 1, 2026, in focus.
PBF Energy Inc. (PBF), based in Parsippany, New Jersey, is a leading independent refiner with facilities in California, Delaware, Louisiana, New Jersey, and Ohio, producing gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, and petrochemicals. Its Logistics segment supports transportation and storage. Shares recently hovered near $41.31, within a 52-week range of $16.35–$52.18, posting YTD returns of 53.53% but sharper declines in recent weeks due to refining margin volatility. Q4 2025 showed operational income of $128 million and EPS beat, bolstered by wide crack spreads, yet TTM profitability remains challenged. A forward P/E of 11.99 and 2.70% dividend yield reflect growth potential, with Q1 2026 results due April 30, 2026, pivotal for sentiment shifts.
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Both DINO and PBF thrive on refining crack spreads but differ in scale and diversification: DINO’s broader portfolio mitigates pure-play refining risks, yielding higher ROE (6.30%) versus PBF’s -2.88%. Growth drivers include regional throughput for PBF and renewables expansion for DINO. Recent momentum favors DINO’s stability amid sector pullbacks from peak margins, while PBF shows higher beta sensitivity (0.23 vs. 0.69). Risk factors: PBF’s higher debt/equity and negative EBITDA contrast DINO’s positive metrics. Market sentiment tilts toward DINO for balance sheet strength in a cyclical sector exposed to crude volatility.
Tickeron’s AI models currently lean toward HF Sinclair Corporation (DINO) over PBF Energy Inc. (PBF), citing superior trend consistency from diversification, positive profitability, and lower leverage amid refining margin normalization. While PBF offers higher upside potential in margin expansions, DINO’s relative stability and catalysts like upcoming earnings position it favorably with higher probability for near-term outperformance.
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It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
DINO’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whilePBF’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
DINO’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while PBF’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
DINO (@Oil Refining/Marketing) experienced а +2.15% price change this week, while PBF (@Oil Refining/Marketing) price change was +4.42% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Oil Refining/Marketing industry was +1.50%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -1.95%, and the average quarterly price growth was +15.28%.
DINO is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
PBF is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
The Oil Refining/Marketing segment includes companies that refine crude oil into a number of petroleum products, including gasoline, jet fuel and diesel, and then sell the usable products to the end users. These companies are involved in what’s called downstream operations in the oil business. They also engage in the marketing and distribution of crude oil and natural gas products. In other words, the downstream oil and gas business is focused on post-production processes of crude oil and natural gas. When oil prices slump, downstream businesses are hurt less or in some cases even benefit, since their purchase cost of crude oil goes down. Some of the biggest U.S. oil refining/marketing companies include Phillips 66, Marathon Petroleum Corporation and Valero Energy Corp.
| DINO | PBF | DINO / PBF | |
| Capitalization | 12.9B | 5.03B | 257% |
| EBITDA | 2.69B | 1.43B | 188% |
| Gain YTD | 57.579 | 59.017 | 98% |
| P/E Ratio | 10.72 | 11.21 | 96% |
| Revenue | 27.6B | 30.2B | 91% |
| Total Cash | 1.15B | 542M | 212% |
| Total Debt | 3.25B | 3.6B | 90% |
DINO | PBF | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 35 Fair valued | 28 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 39 | 62 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 63 | 78 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 39 | 39 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 96 | 53 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 85 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
PBF's Valuation (28) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry is in the same range as DINO (35) in the null industry. This means that PBF’s stock grew similarly to DINO’s over the last 12 months.
DINO's Profit vs Risk Rating (39) in the null industry is in the same range as PBF (62) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry. This means that DINO’s stock grew similarly to PBF’s over the last 12 months.
DINO's SMR Rating (63) in the null industry is in the same range as PBF (78) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry. This means that DINO’s stock grew similarly to PBF’s over the last 12 months.
DINO's Price Growth Rating (39) in the null industry is in the same range as PBF (39) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry. This means that DINO’s stock grew similarly to PBF’s over the last 12 months.
PBF's P/E Growth Rating (53) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry is somewhat better than the same rating for DINO (96) in the null industry. This means that PBF’s stock grew somewhat faster than DINO’s over the last 12 months.
| DINO | PBF | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 53% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 71% | 4 days ago 78% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 72% | 4 days ago 78% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 54% | 4 days ago 85% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 75% | 4 days ago 83% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 63% | 4 days ago 74% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 73% | 7 days ago 82% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 66% | 19 days ago 73% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 70% | 4 days ago 83% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 72% | 4 days ago 74% |
| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| DIVE | 25.43 | N/A | N/A |
| Dana Concentrated Dividend ETF | |||
| SKOR | 48.21 | -0.19 | -0.39% |
| FlexShares Credit-Scored US Corp Bd ETF | |||
| USIG | 50.88 | -0.26 | -0.51% |
| iShares Broad USD Invm Grd Corp Bd ETF | |||
| DEW | 68.67 | -0.45 | -0.64% |
| WisdomTree Global High Dividend ETF | |||
| REK | 15.60 | -0.16 | -0.99% |
| ProShares Short Real Estate | |||
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, DINO has been closely correlated with VLO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 77% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if DINO jumps, then VLO could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To DINO | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DINO | 100% | -1.98% | ||
| VLO - DINO | 77% Closely correlated | -1.17% | ||
| MPC - DINO | 77% Closely correlated | -1.89% | ||
| PSX - DINO | 75% Closely correlated | -0.58% | ||
| PBF - DINO | 73% Closely correlated | -0.61% | ||
| DK - DINO | 73% Closely correlated | +1.28% | ||
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A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PBF has been closely correlated with VLO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 77% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if PBF jumps, then VLO could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To PBF | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PBF | 100% | -0.61% | ||
| VLO - PBF | 77% Closely correlated | -1.17% | ||
| DK - PBF | 75% Closely correlated | +1.28% | ||
| DINO - PBF | 75% Closely correlated | -1.98% | ||
| PARR - PBF | 73% Closely correlated | +0.20% | ||
| MPC - PBF | 72% Closely correlated | -1.89% | ||
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