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DK vs PSX
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Delek US Holdings (DK) vs. Phillips 66 (PSX) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Delek US Holdings (DK), a mid-sized refiner, has delivered explosive 52-week gains of over 190%, outperforming peers amid energy sector volatility.
- Phillips 66 (PSX), a larger integrated energy firm, offers greater diversification across midstream, chemicals, and renewables, with year-to-date returns around 30%.
- Recent weeks have seen refining margin pressures weigh on both stocks, with DK trading near $40 after a high of $48 and PSX pulling back from $190 to around $163.
- PSX demonstrates stronger stability with a market cap exceeding $66 billion, compared to DK's roughly $2.4 billion.
- Investor sentiment favors PSX for its scale and catalysts like pipeline expansions, while DK appeals to momentum traders.
Introduction
Delek US Holdings (DK) and Phillips 66 (PSX) represent key players in the downstream energy sector, where refining crude oil into fuels drives performance. This stock comparison analyzes their business models, recent price behavior, and market positioning amid fluctuating oil prices and refining margins (the difference between crude input costs and refined product prices). Traders seeking short-term momentum and investors eyeing long-term stability in energy stocks will find value here, as both have navigated sector headwinds like geopolitical tensions and margin compression in recent market activity.
DK Overview and Recent Performance
Delek US Holdings (DK) is a diversified downstream energy company focused on petroleum refining, logistics, asphalt, and renewable fuels, operating refineries primarily in the U.S. South and West. In recent weeks, DK shares have shown volatility, trading around $40 after retreating from a 52-week high near $48, following a remarkable 191% gain over the past year. This momentum stems from strong refining throughput and favorable crack spreads earlier in the period, though sentiment has softened due to broader refining margin pressures and analyst concerns over earnings visibility. Key influences include operational efficiencies at its El Dorado and Big Spring refineries, but exposure to regional crude dynamics has amplified price swings.
PSX Overview and Recent Performance
Phillips 66 (PSX) is a major integrated energy company with operations in refining, midstream transportation, chemicals, marketing, and renewable fuels, spanning the U.S. and international markets. Recent market activity has pressured PSX shares, which have declined about 12% over the past month to around $163 from a 52-week peak of $190, amid year-to-date gains of nearly 30%. Factors include mark-to-market losses estimated at $900 million from oil price volatility tied to geopolitical events, alongside refining margin contraction. Positive offsets come from midstream expansions like the Western Gateway Pipeline and resilient chemical segment performance, bolstering overall sentiment.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both DK and PSX thrive on refining margins within the energy sector, but PSX’s larger scale and diversification into midstream (pipelines, storage), chemicals (ethylene, aromatics), and renewables provide buffers against refining downturns, unlike DK’s heavier reliance on refining and logistics. Growth drivers differ: DK leverages nimble operations for outsized momentum (204% one-year surge vs. peers), while PSX emphasizes infrastructure catalysts. Recent momentum favors DK on relative gains, but PSX shows lower volatility (P/E ratio (price-to-earnings) around 15). Risk factors include commodity exposure for both, with DK facing higher beta sensitivity and PSX geopolitical hedges. Market sentiment tilts toward PSX for stability in uncertain refining cycles.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently leans toward Phillips 66 (PSX) with moderate confidence, citing its diversified revenue streams, substantial market cap for resilience, and emerging catalysts like pipeline projects amid refining headwinds. While DK exhibits stronger short-term trend consistency, PSX’s relative stability and positioning suggest higher probability of outperformance in the prevailing environment.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is DK is a Hold and PSX is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
DK’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whilePSX’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- DK’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- PSX’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
DK’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while PSX’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- DK’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 4 bearish.
- PSX’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
DK (@Oil Refining/Marketing) experienced а -11.90% price change this week, while PSX (@Oil Refining/Marketing) price change was -6.72% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Oil Refining/Marketing industry was -2.41%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -7.22%, and the average quarterly price growth was +19.75%.
Reported Earning Dates
DK is expected to report earnings on Aug 11, 2026.
PSX is expected to report earnings on Jul 24, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Oil Refining/Marketing (-2.41% weekly)The Oil Refining/Marketing segment includes companies that refine crude oil into a number of petroleum products, including gasoline, jet fuel and diesel, and then sell the usable products to the end users. These companies are involved in what’s called downstream operations in the oil business. They also engage in the marketing and distribution of crude oil and natural gas products. In other words, the downstream oil and gas business is focused on post-production processes of crude oil and natural gas. When oil prices slump, downstream businesses are hurt less or in some cases even benefit, since their purchase cost of crude oil goes down. Some of the biggest U.S. oil refining/marketing companies include Phillips 66, Marathon Petroleum Corporation and Valero Energy Corp.
| DK | PSX | DK / PSX | |
| Capitalization | 2.54B | 66.6B | 4% |
| EBITDA | 730M | 9.2B | 8% |
| Gain YTD | 41.534 | 30.752 | 135% |
| P/E Ratio | 93.07 | 16.42 | 567% |
| Revenue | 10.7B | 134B | 8% |
| Total Cash | 624M | 5.15B | 12% |
| Total Debt | 3.25B | 27.1B | 12% |
DK | PSX | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 92 Overvalued | 41 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 40 | 36 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 99 | 59 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 45 | 50 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 1 | 89 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 90 | 75 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
PSX's Valuation (41) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry is somewhat better than the same rating for DK (92). This means that PSX’s stock grew somewhat faster than DK’s over the last 12 months.
PSX's Profit vs Risk Rating (36) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry is in the same range as DK (40). This means that PSX’s stock grew similarly to DK’s over the last 12 months.
PSX's SMR Rating (59) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry is somewhat better than the same rating for DK (99). This means that PSX’s stock grew somewhat faster than DK’s over the last 12 months.
DK's Price Growth Rating (45) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry is in the same range as PSX (50). This means that DK’s stock grew similarly to PSX’s over the last 12 months.
DK's P/E Growth Rating (1) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry is significantly better than the same rating for PSX (89). This means that DK’s stock grew significantly faster than PSX’s over the last 12 months.
| DK | PSX | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 80% | 5 days ago 70% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 85% | 5 days ago 61% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 81% | 5 days ago 76% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 79% | 5 days ago 57% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 78% | 5 days ago 52% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 15 days ago 80% | 20 days ago 72% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 82% | 5 days ago 61% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 88% | 5 days ago 89% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | N/A | 5 days ago 66% |
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DK and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, DK has been closely correlated with PARR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 76% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if DK jumps, then PARR could also see price increases.
PSX and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PSX has been closely correlated with MPC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 84% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if PSX jumps, then MPC could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To PSX | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSX | 100% | -0.62% | ||
| MPC - PSX | 84% Closely correlated | -0.69% | ||
| VLO - PSX | 83% Closely correlated | -1.45% | ||
| DINO - PSX | 76% Closely correlated | -2.14% | ||
| PBF - PSX | 72% Closely correlated | -1.27% | ||
| PARR - PSX | 65% Loosely correlated | +0.08% | ||
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