Advertisement
DK vs PSX
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Delek US Holdings (DK) vs. Phillips 66 (PSX) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Delek US Holdings (DK) is a smaller, refining-led downstream operator with a majority stake in midstream partnership Delek Logistics Partners (DKL), while Phillips 66 (PSX) is a far larger, diversified energy company spanning refining, midstream, chemicals, and renewable fuels.
- Both stocks have rallied sharply on stronger refining margins in recent quarters, but DK has delivered the more dramatic share-price gains year to date.
- PSX generates substantially higher revenue, cash flow, and shareholder returns, supported by a diversified, fee-based midstream business.
- DK carries a notably higher debt-to-capital ratio and remains more sensitive to refining-margin cycles, making it a higher-risk, higher-beta exposure.
- Sentiment and estimate momentum have improved for both names, though analysts flag valuation and normalization risks after the recent run-ups.
- Investors can track more detail about each company's major news and today's price moves on dedicated pages: DK Major News and DK Today's Price Move, as well as PSX Major News and PSX Today's Price Move.
- For automated insights on these and other tickers, explore Trending AI Robots.
Introduction
Delek US Holdings and Phillips 66 both operate in the U.S. downstream energy sector, yet they represent very different scale, diversification, and risk profiles. This stock comparison is relevant for investors and traders weighing a pure-play refining recovery against a diversified integrated energy franchise. Both companies have benefited from widening refining margins and tightening product supply in recent quarters, driving strong share-price momentum. However, the two names differ meaningfully in business model, balance-sheet strength, and exposure to midstream and chemicals cash flows. Understanding these contrasts can help market participants assess relative performance, market positioning, and how each stock fits within a broader energy allocation.
DK Overview and Recent Performance
Delek US Holdings (DK) is an integrated downstream energy company operating four refineries with roughly 302,000 barrels per day of combined nameplate capacity, alongside a logistics business through its majority ownership of Delek Logistics Partners (DKL). Recent market activity has been defined by a sharp earnings recovery. In its most recent quarterly results, DK reported adjusted net income of approximately $344 million, or $5.48 per share, versus an adjusted loss in the year-ago period, while adjusted EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) climbed to about $639 million. The improvement was driven largely by higher crack spreads — the margin between crude oil and refined products — and by the company's Enterprise Optimization Plan, which targets at least $220 million in annual free-cash-flow improvement. Sentiment has also been supported by a government-backed proposal to expand its Tyler, Texas refinery under the Defense Production Act. The shares have rallied strongly over the past several months, though the company's elevated leverage — with long-term debt of roughly $3.2 billion and a debt-to-total-capital ratio above 90% — remains a key risk factor investors are watching.
PSX Overview and Recent Performance
Phillips 66 (PSX) is a diversified, integrated downstream energy provider whose portfolio spans Refining, Midstream, Chemicals, Marketing and Specialties, and Renewable Fuels. In its most recent quarterly report, PSX delivered adjusted earnings of $9.41 per share, up from $2.38 a year earlier, on revenue of roughly $52 billion. Worldwide realized refining margins reached about $24.08 per barrel, while refining utilization ran at 96%. Beyond refining, the company reported record natural gas liquids (NGL) fractionation volumes and strong chemicals results. Management has emphasized debt reduction, targeting net debt below $16 billion by year-end, and returned roughly $887 million to shareholders during the quarter through dividends and buybacks. The company also advanced growth projects, including the Western Gateway pipeline and new Permian Basin gas-processing and fractionation capacity. Recent weeks have brought a strong share-price advance, although a labor dispute at its Bayway refinery and a planned refining leadership transition have introduced operational considerations alongside favorable earnings momentum.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron maintains a curated Trending AI Robots section that highlights automated trading strategies currently best suited to prevailing market conditions. Tickeron offers hundreds of AI trading bots that collectively trade thousands of different tickers, each with its own trading style, strategy, timeframe, performance record, and set of covered securities. Because market conditions change constantly, only a subset of these bots earns a place in the trending list at any given time. The featured bots span approaches from short-term momentum to longer-horizon swing strategies, allowing traders to evaluate statistics such as win rates, trade frequency, and historical performance. For those interested in how automation might interpret opportunities in DK, PSX, or the broader energy complex, reviewing the Trending AI Robots page offers a practical starting point.
Head-to-Head Comparison
The most immediate contrast between the two companies is scale and diversification. PSX operates a broad, integrated model where midstream and chemicals cash flows can cushion refining volatility, whereas DK's earnings remain more concentrated in refining, supplemented by its logistics stake. Growth drivers also differ: PSX is investing in long-lived, fee-based infrastructure such as pipelines and fractionators, while DK is focused on operational optimization and a potential refinery expansion. On momentum, DK has posted the larger percentage gains in recent months, but PSX offers greater earnings and cash-flow stability. Risk profiles diverge as well — DK's elevated leverage amplifies sensitivity to margin swings, while PSX carries a larger absolute debt load balanced against substantial liquidity and diversified cash generation. In terms of valuation, both trade in a similar forward price-to-earnings range after their rallies, leaving limited cushion if refining conditions normalize. Market sentiment has turned constructive on both names, with analysts raising estimates, though the pace of the recent advances has prompted a more measured near-term view on each.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, stability, catalysts, and relative positioning, Tickeron's AI would likely favor Phillips 66 (PSX) for a balanced risk-reward profile, given its diversified cash flows, stronger balance sheet, and visible midstream growth pipeline. However, the AI would likely recognize that Delek US Holdings (DK) exhibits more pronounced positive momentum and higher sensitivity to improving refining margins, which can be attractive within short-term or momentum-oriented strategies. The relative preference would depend heavily on the selected timeframe and risk tolerance, reflecting a trade-off between DK's higher-beta upside and PSX's broader stability and resilience.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is DK is a Buy and PSX is a Hold.
DK in upward trend: price may ascend as a result of having broken its lower Bollinger Band on October 27, 2026
DK may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 35 of 40 cases where DK's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 88%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
Following a +4.18% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where DK advanced for three days, in 248 of 306 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 201 of 252 cases where DK Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 80%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 27, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on DK as a result. In 54 of 76 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 71%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for DK turned negative on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 59 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 45 of the 59 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 76%.
DK moved below its 50-day moving average on October 27, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where DK declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 80%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 9 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 37, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 10 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 30 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 37 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. DK’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 93 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (23.344) is normal, around the industry mean (4.758). P/E Ratio (19.479) is within average values for comparable stocks, (13.045). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.140) is also within normal values, averaging (1.079). Dividend Yield (0.014) settles around the average of (0.061) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.397) is also within normal values, averaging (0.549).
PSX sees MACD Histogram just turned negative
PSX saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on October 22, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 49 instances where the indicator turned negative. In 30 of the 49 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at 61%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for PSX moved out of overbought territory on October 19, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 27 of the 48 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 56%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 27, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on PSX as a result. In 47 of 78 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 60%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PSX declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 57%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
Following a +5.62% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PSX advanced for three days, in 272 of 356 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.
PSX may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 240 of 332 cases where PSX Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 72%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 3 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. PSX’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 8 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 37, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 40 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 69 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.465) is normal, around the industry mean (4.758). P/E Ratio (15.564) is within average values for comparable stocks, (13.045). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.811) is also within normal values, averaging (1.079). Dividend Yield (0.019) settles around the average of (0.061) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.704) is also within normal values, averaging (0.549).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 89 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
DK | PSX | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 86 | 91 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 93 Overvalued | 69 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 9 | 8 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 10 | 40 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 37 | 3 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 30 | 89 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
PSX's Valuation (69) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry is in the same range as DK (93). This means that PSX’s stock grew similarly to DK’s over the last 12 months.
PSX's Profit vs Risk Rating (8) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry is in the same range as DK (9). This means that PSX’s stock grew similarly to DK’s over the last 12 months.
DK's SMR Rating (10) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry is in the same range as PSX (40). This means that DK’s stock grew similarly to PSX’s over the last 12 months.
PSX's Price Growth Rating (3) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry is somewhat better than the same rating for DK (37). This means that PSX’s stock grew somewhat faster than DK’s over the last 12 months.
DK's P/E Growth Rating (30) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry is somewhat better than the same rating for PSX (89). This means that DK’s stock grew somewhat faster than PSX’s over the last 12 months.
| DK | PSX | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 56% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 82% | 1 day ago 79% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 71% | 1 day ago 60% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 76% | 1 day ago 61% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 51% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 80% | 1 day ago 74% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 81% | 16 days ago 76% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 80% | 7 days ago 57% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 88% | 1 day ago 76% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 80% | 1 day ago 72% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
DK’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green while PSX’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- DK’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- PSX’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
DK’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while PSX’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- DK’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- PSX’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
DK (@Oil Refining/Marketing) experienced а -6.19% price change this week, while PSX (@Oil Refining/Marketing) price change was -3.87% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Oil Refining/Marketing industry was -5.32%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -1.67%, and the average quarterly price growth was +22.67%.
Reported Earning Dates
DK is expected to report earnings on Nov 06, 2026.
PSX is expected to report earnings on Feb 04, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Oil Refining/Marketing (-5.32% weekly)The Oil Refining/Marketing segment includes companies that refine crude oil into a number of petroleum products, including gasoline, jet fuel and diesel, and then sell the usable products to the end users. These companies are involved in what’s called downstream operations in the oil business. They also engage in the marketing and distribution of crude oil and natural gas products. In other words, the downstream oil and gas business is focused on post-production processes of crude oil and natural gas. When oil prices slump, downstream businesses are hurt less or in some cases even benefit, since their purchase cost of crude oil goes down. Some of the biggest U.S. oil refining/marketing companies include Phillips 66, Marathon Petroleum Corporation and Valero Energy Corp.
Advertisement
DK and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, DK has been closely correlated with PBF. These tickers have moved in lockstep 77% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if DK jumps, then PBF could also see price increases.
| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| ABFL | 80.65 | 0.80 | +1.00% |
| Abacus FCF Leaders ETF (ABFL) | |||
| XSMO | 82.53 | 0.80 | +0.98% |
| Invesco S&P SmallCap Momentum ETF (XSMO) | |||
| VERS | 71.45 | N/A | N/A |
| ProShares Metaverse ETF (VERS) | |||
| PSTP | 37.67 | -0.01 | -0.02% |
| Innovator Power Buffer Step-Up Strategy ETF (PSTP) | |||
| SPYH | 56.36 | -0.11 | -0.19% |
| NEOS S&P 500 Hedged Equity Income ETF (SPYH) | |||