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PBF vs PSX
Which Stock Would AI Choose? PBF Energy (PBF) vs. Phillips 66 (PSX) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Phillips 66 (PSX) has demonstrated stronger recent momentum, rising 14.5% over the last 30 days amid favorable oil prices and analyst upgrades.
- PBF Energy delivered exceptional longer-term performance with over 150% gains in the past 12 months, outperforming PSX's 55% rise.
- Improving refining market conditions in 2026 support both stocks, with Fitch revising PBF's outlook to stable.
- PSX benefits from midstream assets that offset crude price volatility better than pure-play refiner PBF.
- Tickeron's comparison tool rates PBF as a better long-term buy relative to PSX.
- Both reported strong Q4 2025 earnings beats, signaling refining segment resilience.
Introduction
PBF Energy (PBF) and Phillips 66 (PSX) are prominent U.S. oil refiners navigating a dynamic energy landscape marked by fluctuating crude prices and evolving refining margins. This comparison evaluates their business models, recent stock performance, and sector positioning, offering insights for investors and traders interested in downstream energy exposure. With refining markets showing signs of improvement in recent weeks, understanding relative strengths—such as operational efficiency, diversification, and momentum—can aid in assessing opportunities amid broader market volatility. Both stocks appeal to those betting on an energy sector recovery.
PBF Overview and Recent Performance
PBF Energy Inc. (PBF) operates as an independent refiner with five U.S. refineries processing approximately 1 million barrels per day. The company focuses on producing unbranded transportation fuels, heating oil, and petrochemical feedstocks. In recent market activity, PBF reported a strong Q4 2025 turnaround, achieving income from operations of $128 million compared to a prior loss, with adjusted EPS of $0.66 beating expectations and revenue near $7.14 billion. The stock, trading around $41, has shown volatility tied to crude oil swings and refining crack spreads (the difference between crude and product prices), but stabilized post-earnings with a declared dividend of $0.275 per share. Sentiment has improved on expectations of better 2026 refining conditions.
PSX Overview and Recent Performance
Phillips 66 (PSX) is a diversified downstream energy company engaged in refining, midstream, chemicals, and marketing, operating over 12 million barrels per day of throughput capacity. Recent performance highlights include a Q4 2025 EPS of $2.47, surpassing forecasts by 15%, amid robust refining utilization and lower costs. The stock has climbed around 14.5% in the past 30 days to near $163, buoyed by rising oil prices, board changes, and analyst upgrades, with a 52-week high above $190. Influences include midstream stability and exposure to heavy crude, fostering positive sentiment despite sector headwinds like geopolitical tensions.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
PBF and PSX both thrive on refining margins but differ in scale and diversification: PBF is a pure-play refiner vulnerable to commodity swings, while PSX leverages midstream pipelines and chemicals for steadier cash flows. Growth drivers include rising demand and cheaper heavy crudes, though PSX edges in utilization rates. Recent momentum favors PSX with short-term gains, contrasting PBF's longer-term outperformance. Risk factors: PBF faces higher beta (market sensitivity), while PSX mitigates via scale (65B market cap vs. PBF's smaller footprint). Sector exposure is similar in refining, but sentiment tilts toward PSX for resilience.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI currently favors PSX due to its consistent recent uptrend, diversified revenue streams buffering refining volatility, and stronger short-term positioning amid improving energy markets. While PBF shows long-term appeal through outsized gains and earnings recovery, PSX's stability and midstream offset higher crude risks, suggesting higher probability of near-term outperformance based on trend data and analyst views.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is PBF is a StrongBuy and PSX is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
PBF’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whilePSX’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- PBF’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- PSX’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
PBF’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while PSX’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- PBF’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
- PSX’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
PBF (@Oil Refining/Marketing) experienced а +4.42% price change this week, while PSX (@Oil Refining/Marketing) price change was +4.09% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Oil Refining/Marketing industry was +1.50%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -1.95%, and the average quarterly price growth was +15.28%.
Reported Earning Dates
PBF is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
PSX is expected to report earnings on Jul 24, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Oil Refining/Marketing (+1.50% weekly)The Oil Refining/Marketing segment includes companies that refine crude oil into a number of petroleum products, including gasoline, jet fuel and diesel, and then sell the usable products to the end users. These companies are involved in what’s called downstream operations in the oil business. They also engage in the marketing and distribution of crude oil and natural gas products. In other words, the downstream oil and gas business is focused on post-production processes of crude oil and natural gas. When oil prices slump, downstream businesses are hurt less or in some cases even benefit, since their purchase cost of crude oil goes down. Some of the biggest U.S. oil refining/marketing companies include Phillips 66, Marathon Petroleum Corporation and Valero Energy Corp.
| PBF | PSX | PBF / PSX | |
| Capitalization | 5.03B | 73.4B | 7% |
| EBITDA | 1.43B | 9.2B | 16% |
| Gain YTD | 59.017 | 44.083 | 134% |
| P/E Ratio | 11.21 | 18.09 | 62% |
| Revenue | 30.2B | 134B | 23% |
| Total Cash | N/A | N/A | - |
| Total Debt | 3.6B | 27.1B | 13% |
PBF | PSX | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 17 | 28 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 28 Undervalued | 44 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 62 | 29 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 78 | 58 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 41 | 18 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 53 | 79 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 75 | 75 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
PBF's Valuation (28) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry is in the same range as PSX (44). This means that PBF’s stock grew similarly to PSX’s over the last 12 months.
PSX's Profit vs Risk Rating (29) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry is somewhat better than the same rating for PBF (62). This means that PSX’s stock grew somewhat faster than PBF’s over the last 12 months.
PSX's SMR Rating (58) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry is in the same range as PBF (78). This means that PSX’s stock grew similarly to PBF’s over the last 12 months.
PSX's Price Growth Rating (18) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry is in the same range as PBF (41). This means that PSX’s stock grew similarly to PBF’s over the last 12 months.
PBF's P/E Growth Rating (53) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry is in the same range as PSX (79). This means that PBF’s stock grew similarly to PSX’s over the last 12 months.
| PBF | PSX | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 4 days ago 56% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 69% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 76% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 85% | 2 days ago 68% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 83% | 2 days ago 74% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 70% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 82% | 4 days ago 72% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 17 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 62% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 83% | 6 days ago 57% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 69% |
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| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| UJUL | 40.46 | -0.09 | -0.21% |
| Innovator U.S. Equity Ultra BffrETF™-Jul | |||
| AVIE | 74.43 | -0.21 | -0.28% |
| Avantis Inflation Focused Equity ETF | |||
| TOCT | 26.99 | -0.12 | -0.42% |
| Innovator Equity DefinedPrtETF-2YTOc2027 | |||
| IGIB | 52.69 | -0.30 | -0.57% |
| iShares 5-10 Year invmt Grd Corp Bd ETF | |||
| PALL | 22.35 | -1.52 | -6.37% |
| abrdn Physical Palladium Shares ETF | |||
PBF and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PBF has been closely correlated with VLO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 77% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if PBF jumps, then VLO could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To PBF | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PBF | 100% | -0.61% | ||
| VLO - PBF | 77% Closely correlated | -1.17% | ||
| DK - PBF | 75% Closely correlated | +1.28% | ||
| DINO - PBF | 75% Closely correlated | -1.98% | ||
| PARR - PBF | 72% Closely correlated | +0.20% | ||
| MPC - PBF | 72% Closely correlated | -1.89% | ||
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