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PBF vs PSX
Which Stock Would AI Choose? PBF Energy Inc. (PBF) vs. Phillips 66 (PSX) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- PBF has delivered substantially higher year-to-date returns compared with PSX, reflecting stronger momentum in the refining segment amid recent market activity.
- PSX maintains a significantly larger market capitalization and more diversified operations, including midstream and marketing assets that provide greater stability.
- Phillips 66 recently expanded its share repurchase authorization by an additional $10 billion, bringing the total program to $23 billion and underscoring capital-return focus.
- PBF operates as a more concentrated independent refiner with exposure primarily to refining margins and crack spreads.
- Both stocks trade in the Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing sector, making them sensitive to crude oil prices, refining utilization rates, and global demand trends.
- Relative performance shows PBF with higher volatility and upside potential, while PSX offers broader scale and consistent shareholder returns through dividends and buybacks.
Introduction
Investors and traders often compare PBF and PSX because both companies operate in the oil refining and marketing sector and respond to similar macroeconomic drivers such as crude prices and product demand. This analysis examines their recent performance, business models, and market positioning to assist those seeking to understand relative value within the energy space. Portfolio managers, sector specialists, and active traders evaluating refining exposure may find the comparison useful for assessing diversification, momentum, and risk characteristics in the current environment.
PBF Overview and Recent Performance
PBF Energy Inc. is an independent petroleum refiner that operates facilities primarily in the United States, producing gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, and other petroleum products. In recent market activity, the stock has shown notable strength, with year-to-date gains significantly outpacing broader sector peers. Performance has been influenced by refining margin dynamics and utilization rates, which have supported sentiment during periods of favorable crack spreads. The company’s concentrated focus on refining exposes it to volatility tied to feedstock costs and product pricing, contributing to sharper price movements in recent weeks compared with more diversified energy names.
PSX Overview and Recent Performance
Phillips 66 engages in refining, midstream, chemicals, and marketing operations across a global footprint. The stock has recorded solid year-to-date advances, supported by steady operational execution and capital allocation initiatives. Recent market activity includes the announcement of an expanded $10 billion share repurchase authorization on July 31, 2026, increasing the total program to $23 billion. This development, alongside ongoing dividend payments, has reinforced investor focus on shareholder returns. The company’s larger scale and diversified business lines have contributed to relatively more stable price behavior amid fluctuating energy prices in recent weeks.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
PBF and PSX share exposure to refining margins yet differ markedly in scale and diversification. PBF functions as a pure-play refiner with higher sensitivity to crack-spread fluctuations and utilization rates, delivering stronger recent momentum but greater volatility. PSX benefits from integrated midstream, chemicals, and marketing segments that help buffer refining cyclicality, alongside a robust capital-return program. Market capitalization favors PSX substantially, supporting liquidity and institutional ownership. Sentiment around PBF has centered on refining-cycle recovery potential, while PSX draws attention for its buyback expansion and dividend stability. Trade-offs include PBF’s higher upside in favorable refining environments versus PSX’s lower-risk profile through diversification and consistent shareholder distributions.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, stability, and relative positioning, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a higher probability of favorable positioning to PSX. The company’s scale, recent capital-return enhancements, and diversified operations provide a more consistent profile amid sector volatility, while PBF offers stronger momentum but with elevated variability. This assessment reflects probabilistic evaluation of available data rather than definitive outcomes.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is PBF is a Hold and PSX is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
PBF’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whilePSX’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- PBF’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- PSX’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
PBF’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while PSX’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- PBF’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- PSX’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
PBF (@Oil Refining/Marketing) experienced а -16.22% price change this week, while PSX (@Oil Refining/Marketing) price change was -2.41% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Oil Refining/Marketing industry was -8.53%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +0.28%, and the average quarterly price growth was +19.98%.
Reported Earning Dates
PBF is expected to report earnings on Oct 29, 2026.
PSX is expected to report earnings on Nov 03, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Oil Refining/Marketing (-8.53% weekly)The Oil Refining/Marketing segment includes companies that refine crude oil into a number of petroleum products, including gasoline, jet fuel and diesel, and then sell the usable products to the end users. These companies are involved in what’s called downstream operations in the oil business. They also engage in the marketing and distribution of crude oil and natural gas products. In other words, the downstream oil and gas business is focused on post-production processes of crude oil and natural gas. When oil prices slump, downstream businesses are hurt less or in some cases even benefit, since their purchase cost of crude oil goes down. Some of the biggest U.S. oil refining/marketing companies include Phillips 66, Marathon Petroleum Corporation and Valero Energy Corp.
| PBF | PSX | PBF / PSX | |
| Capitalization | 7.26B | 80.8B | 9% |
| EBITDA | 2.66B | 9.2B | 29% |
| Gain YTD | 129.134 | 61.744 | 209% |
| P/E Ratio | 5.37 | 11.73 | 46% |
| Revenue | 34.4B | 134B | 26% |
| Total Cash | 894M | 5.15B | 17% |
| Total Debt | 2.52B | 27.1B | 9% |
PBF | PSX | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 84 | 84 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 12 Undervalued | 48 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 45 | 24 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 41 | 59 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 35 | 5 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 95 | 97 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
PBF's Valuation (12) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry is somewhat better than the same rating for PSX (48). This means that PBF’s stock grew somewhat faster than PSX’s over the last 12 months.
PSX's Profit vs Risk Rating (24) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry is in the same range as PBF (45). This means that PSX’s stock grew similarly to PBF’s over the last 12 months.
PBF's SMR Rating (41) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry is in the same range as PSX (59). This means that PBF’s stock grew similarly to PSX’s over the last 12 months.
PSX's Price Growth Rating (5) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry is in the same range as PBF (35). This means that PSX’s stock grew similarly to PBF’s over the last 12 months.
PBF's P/E Growth Rating (95) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry is in the same range as PSX (97). This means that PBF’s stock grew similarly to PSX’s over the last 12 months.
| PBF | PSX | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 62% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 75% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 59% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 70% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 55% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 83% | 2 days ago 71% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 83% | 8 days ago 74% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 71% | 3 days ago 60% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 88% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 67% |
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PBF and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PBF has been closely correlated with DINO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 77% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if PBF jumps, then DINO could also see price increases.
PSX and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PSX has been closely correlated with MPC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 84% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if PSX jumps, then MPC could also see price increases.