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DUK vs EMA
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Duke Energy Corporation (DUK) vs. Emera Incorporated (EMA) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both DUK and EMA offer reliable dividends, with yields around 3.3% for DUK and 4% for EMA, appealing to income-focused investors in the utilities sector.
- DUK recently reported strong Q1 2026 earnings, beating estimates with adjusted EPS of $1.93 and reaffirming guidance amid data center demand growth.
- EMA maintains steady performance with a focus on regulated utilities across North America, declaring consistent quarterly dividends.
- Year-to-date, both stocks show positive returns, with DUK up approximately 9-10% and EMA around 7-8%, reflecting sector stability.
- DUK trades at a P/E ratio (price-to-earnings ratio, a measure of stock valuation relative to earnings) of about 20, while EMA is around 21, indicating similar valuations.
- Recent market activity highlights DUK's momentum from cost-saving initiatives projected at over $5 billion for customers.
Introduction
Comparing DUK and EMA offers insights into two prominent utility stocks operating in the regulated energy sector. Both companies provide essential electricity and gas services, benefiting from stable demand and predictable revenue streams typical of utilities. Investors seeking defensive positions with income generation, such as dividend-focused portfolios or those hedging against market volatility, may find this stock comparison relevant. In the current environment of interest rate fluctuations and rising energy infrastructure needs, understanding their relative performance, growth drivers, and risk profiles aids informed decision-making on market positioning.
DUK Overview and Recent Performance
Duke Energy Corporation (DUK), a Fortune 150 company headquartered in Charlotte, North Carolina, is one of America's largest energy holding companies. It serves 8.7 million electric customers across six states and 1.6 million natural gas customers through subsidiaries like Duke Energy Carolinas and Piedmont Natural Gas. The company operates approximately 55,700 megawatts of energy capacity, focusing on electric utilities and infrastructure alongside gas operations.
In recent market activity, DUK shares have traded around $127-129, reflecting year-to-date gains of about 9-10%. Recent weeks saw positive momentum following Q1 2026 earnings, where adjusted EPS reached $1.93, surpassing estimates of $1.79, and revenue hit $9.18 billion against $8.46 billion expected. Influences include a $103 billion capital plan for grid and nuclear enhancements, data center demand growth, and initiatives delivering over $5 billion in customer savings. Sentiment remains supported by reaffirmed guidance and a 20-year nuclear plant extension, though valuation debates persist amid operational costs.
EMA Overview and Recent Performance
Emera Incorporated (EMA), headquartered in Halifax, Nova Scotia, is a geographically diverse energy and services company investing in electricity generation, transmission, and distribution across the U.S., Canada, Barbados, and the Bahamas. It owns regulated utilities serving 2.7 million customers, with segments including Florida Electric Utility, Canadian Electric Utilities, and Gas Utilities and Infrastructure.
Recent trading has EMA shares around $52 USD on NYSE (or C$71-72 on TSX), with year-to-date returns of approximately 7-8%. Performance reflects steady execution of a $20 billion five-year capital plan and 7-8% forecasted rate base growth through 2030. Key developments include quarterly dividend declarations of C$0.733 and leadership transitions at Emera Energy. Sentiment is bolstered by record 2025 adjusted EPS of $3.49 (up 19% year-over-year) and a 2% target dividend growth rate, though shares have shown modest pullbacks amid broader market rotations.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both DUK and EMA embody regulated utility business models, prioritizing stable cash flows from essential services over high growth. DUK's larger U.S.-centric scale (market cap ~$99B) contrasts with EMA's (~$16B) North American diversity, including Caribbean exposure, offering geographic trade-offs.
Growth drivers differ: DUK leverages a massive $103B capex plan and data center/AI demand in high-growth Southeast/Midwest regions, targeting 5-7% EPS growth. EMA emphasizes 7-8% rate base expansion via $20B investments, with stronger revenue growth (21.9% in 2025). Recent momentum favors DUK post-earnings beat, while EMA shows consistent dividend hikes.
Risk factors include regulatory hurdles and interest rate sensitivity; DUK faces cost pressures but has a healthier balance sheet, while EMA contends with higher debt/equity. Sector exposure is similar (electric/gas utilities), but DUK offers greater U.S. nuclear stability. Market sentiment tilts toward DUK for scale and catalysts, versus EMA's higher yield.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors DUK due to superior trend consistency from recent earnings beats, robust capex-backed catalysts like data center growth, and relative stability in its vast U.S. footprint. While EMA provides attractive yield and diversification, DUK's positioning suggests higher probability of outperformance in the near term amid infrastructure demand.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is DUK is a Hold and EMA is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
DUK’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileEMA’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- DUK’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- EMA’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
DUK’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while EMA’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- DUK’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- EMA’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
DUK (@Electric Utilities) experienced а -1.75% price change this week, while EMA (@Electric Utilities) price change was -1.86% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electric Utilities industry was -0.83%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -2.32%, and the average quarterly price growth was +3.10%.
Reported Earning Dates
DUK is expected to report earnings on Aug 11, 2026.
EMA is expected to report earnings on Aug 07, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electric Utilities (-0.83% weekly)Electric utilities companies generate, transmit and distribute electricity to businesses/offices and residences. Companies may be owned by the government or investors or public shareholders, or a combination thereof. The industry also includes firms that buy and sell electricity. Companies in this industry typically require significant investments in infrastructure. Many firms in this industry pay substantial and regular dividends to shareholders. However, changes in interest rates (and their impact on debt burdens), natural disasters and changing commodity prices could be factors affecting energy utilities’ profit margins. NextEra Energy, Inc., Duke Energy Corporation, Dominion Energy Inc. and Southern Company are among U.S. electric utilities companies with the largest market capitalizations.
| DUK | EMA | DUK / EMA | |
| Capitalization | 94.3B | 15.9B | 593% |
| EBITDA | 17.6B | 3.51B | 501% |
| Gain YTD | 4.969 | 4.833 | 103% |
| P/E Ratio | 18.61 | 21.64 | 86% |
| Revenue | 33.2B | 8.91B | 372% |
| Total Cash | 688M | 2.46B | 28% |
| Total Debt | 90.9B | 24B | 379% |
DUK | EMA | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 60 | 69 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 54 Fair valued | 40 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 32 | 79 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 70 | 77 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 58 | 51 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 52 | 42 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 65 | 75 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
EMA's Valuation (40) in the null industry is in the same range as DUK (54) in the Electric Utilities industry. This means that EMA’s stock grew similarly to DUK’s over the last 12 months.
DUK's Profit vs Risk Rating (32) in the Electric Utilities industry is somewhat better than the same rating for EMA (79) in the null industry. This means that DUK’s stock grew somewhat faster than EMA’s over the last 12 months.
DUK's SMR Rating (70) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as EMA (77) in the null industry. This means that DUK’s stock grew similarly to EMA’s over the last 12 months.
EMA's Price Growth Rating (51) in the null industry is in the same range as DUK (58) in the Electric Utilities industry. This means that EMA’s stock grew similarly to DUK’s over the last 12 months.
EMA's P/E Growth Rating (42) in the null industry is in the same range as DUK (52) in the Electric Utilities industry. This means that EMA’s stock grew similarly to DUK’s over the last 12 months.
| DUK | EMA | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 59% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 60% | 3 days ago 57% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 38% | 3 days ago 44% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 45% | 3 days ago 51% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 39% | 3 days ago 41% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 37% | 3 days ago 40% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 51% | 5 days ago 51% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 39% | 3 days ago 39% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 55% | 3 days ago 66% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 30% | N/A |
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DUK and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, DUK has been closely correlated with SO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 84% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if DUK jumps, then SO could also see price increases.
EMA and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, EMA has been loosely correlated with ED. These tickers have moved in lockstep 53% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if EMA jumps, then ED could also see price increases.