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DUK vs EMA
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Duke Energy (DUK) vs. Emera (EMA) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Duke Energy (DUK) and Emera (EMA) are both regulated utility companies focused on electricity and natural gas, offering defensive characteristics in volatile markets.
- Recent market activity shows DUK trading near $125 with year-to-date returns of approximately 8.9%, while EMA trades near $54 amid positive developments including asset sale approvals.
- Both stocks face upcoming second-quarter 2026 earnings releases in early August, which could influence short-term sentiment and relative performance.
- DUK benefits from larger scale and infrastructure investments, whereas EMA has executed strategic divestitures such as the New Mexico Gas Company sale.
- Sector exposure to utilities provides income stability through dividends for both, though EMA exhibits slightly higher recent volatility tied to Canadian and U.S. operations.
- Market positioning highlights trade-offs between DUK’s U.S.-centric stability and EMA’s cross-border growth catalysts in a rising-rate environment.
Introduction
This comparison examines Duke Energy (DUK) and Emera (EMA), two established utility providers operating in regulated markets. Investors and traders seeking defensive exposure, dividend income, or sector rotation opportunities often evaluate such pairs to assess relative resilience, growth drivers, and risk profiles. The analysis focuses on observable factors including recent price behavior, business fundamentals, and market developments over the past several weeks. Both companies serve essential infrastructure needs, making the comparison relevant for those prioritizing stability amid broader economic uncertainty or interest-rate fluctuations.
Duke Energy (DUK) Overview and Recent Performance
Duke Energy (DUK) is a major U.S. electric and gas utility holding company serving millions of customers across the Southeast and Midwest. Its operations center on regulated electric utilities and infrastructure investments. In recent weeks, the stock has traded around the $125 level, closing at $125.43 on July 31, 2026, reflecting an approximate 8.9% year-to-date return. Performance has shown some softening amid broader market conditions, with analysts noting moderate momentum ahead of the August 4, 2026 earnings release. Key influences include ongoing infrastructure spending and expectations for modest earnings-per-share growth. Sentiment remains tied to regulatory outcomes and capital expenditure plans, supporting a defensive profile typical of large-cap utilities.
Emera (EMA) Overview and Recent Performance
Emera (EMA) is a Canadian-based energy company with significant operations in electricity generation, transmission, and distribution, plus natural gas services across North America. Recent market activity includes the final regulatory approval on July 30, 2026, for the sale of its New Mexico Gas Company subsidiary, which could streamline operations. The stock has traded near $54, closing at $53.89 on July 31, 2026, with a 52-week range of $45.77 to $55.49. Upcoming second-quarter 2026 results are scheduled for August 7, 2026. Performance has been supported by dividend declarations and analyst price-target adjustments, reflecting steady demand in its core markets. Sentiment draws from strategic portfolio adjustments and cross-border regulatory environments.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Duke Energy (DUK) operates primarily as a U.S. regulated utility with extensive infrastructure assets, providing earnings stability through rate-base growth. Emera (EMA) maintains a broader geographic footprint including Canadian and select U.S. markets, enabling diversification but introducing currency and regulatory variances. Recent momentum favors EMA slightly due to the completed asset-sale approval, while DUK emphasizes consistent capital investments. Risk factors for both include interest-rate sensitivity and regulatory approvals, though DUK’s larger scale may offer greater resilience. Sector exposure remains similar within utilities, yet market sentiment reflects DUK’s defensive U.S. focus versus EMA’s execution on portfolio optimization. Trade-offs center on scale and stability versus strategic flexibility.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, regulatory catalysts, and relative positioning, Tickeron’s AI models would likely assign a modest probabilistic edge to Emera (EMA) in the near term. The recent final approval for the New Mexico Gas Company divestiture provides a clear positive catalyst that could support stability ahead of earnings. Duke Energy (DUK) demonstrates strong fundamentals and infrastructure momentum but faces typical pre-earnings caution. Overall positioning suggests balanced outcomes, with both stocks suited for defensive allocations depending on individual risk tolerance and timeframe.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is DUK is a Hold and EMA is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
DUK’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileEMA’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- DUK’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- EMA’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
DUK’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while EMA’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- DUK’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
- EMA’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
DUK (@Electric Utilities) experienced а +0.12% price change this week, while EMA (@Electric Utilities) price change was -1.18% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electric Utilities industry was +0.24%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -3.17%, and the average quarterly price growth was -3.17%.
Reported Earning Dates
DUK is expected to report earnings on Oct 29, 2026.
EMA is expected to report earnings on Nov 06, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electric Utilities (+0.24% weekly)Electric utilities companies generate, transmit and distribute electricity to businesses/offices and residences. Companies may be owned by the government or investors or public shareholders, or a combination thereof. The industry also includes firms that buy and sell electricity. Companies in this industry typically require significant investments in infrastructure. Many firms in this industry pay substantial and regular dividends to shareholders. However, changes in interest rates (and their impact on debt burdens), natural disasters and changing commodity prices could be factors affecting energy utilities’ profit margins. NextEra Energy, Inc., Duke Energy Corporation, Dominion Energy Inc. and Southern Company are among U.S. electric utilities companies with the largest market capitalizations.
| DUK | EMA | DUK / EMA | |
| Capitalization | 97.1B | 15.8B | 615% |
| EBITDA | 17.6B | 3.51B | 501% |
| Gain YTD | 7.173 | 3.513 | 204% |
| P/E Ratio | 18.75 | 22.69 | 83% |
| Revenue | 33.2B | 8.91B | 372% |
| Total Cash | 2.14B | 2.46B | 87% |
| Total Debt | 91.2B | 24B | 380% |
DUK | EMA | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 68 | 59 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 36 Fair valued | 33 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 32 | 83 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 72 | 78 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 58 | 59 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 60 | 48 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
EMA's Valuation (33) in the null industry is in the same range as DUK (36) in the Electric Utilities industry. This means that EMA’s stock grew similarly to DUK’s over the last 12 months.
DUK's Profit vs Risk Rating (32) in the Electric Utilities industry is somewhat better than the same rating for EMA (83) in the null industry. This means that DUK’s stock grew somewhat faster than EMA’s over the last 12 months.
DUK's SMR Rating (72) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as EMA (78) in the null industry. This means that DUK’s stock grew similarly to EMA’s over the last 12 months.
DUK's Price Growth Rating (58) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as EMA (59) in the null industry. This means that DUK’s stock grew similarly to EMA’s over the last 12 months.
EMA's P/E Growth Rating (48) in the null industry is in the same range as DUK (60) in the Electric Utilities industry. This means that EMA’s stock grew similarly to DUK’s over the last 12 months.
| DUK | EMA | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 72% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 53% | 2 days ago 51% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 34% | 2 days ago 48% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 39% | 2 days ago 46% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 49% | 2 days ago 41% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 37% | 2 days ago 40% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 51% | 21 days ago 51% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 41% | 9 days ago 39% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 35% | 2 days ago 56% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 46% | 2 days ago 54% |
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DUK and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, DUK has been closely correlated with SO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 84% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if DUK jumps, then SO could also see price increases.
EMA and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, EMA has been closely correlated with FTS. These tickers have moved in lockstep 74% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if EMA jumps, then FTS could also see price increases.