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HMY vs IAG
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited (HMY) vs. IAMGOLD Corporation (IAG) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- HMY shows stronger year-to-date (YTD) performance at 16.31% compared to IAG's 2.21%, amid recent gold price fluctuations.
- HMY trades at a lower price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 10.76 versus IAG's 15.02, indicating potentially better valuation.
- HMY provides a dividend yield of 2.43%, appealing to income-focused investors, while IAG offers none.
- IAG exhibits higher volatility with a beta of 2.28 compared to HMY's 0.80 (beta measures stock volatility relative to the market).
- Both stocks have benefited from elevated gold prices in recent market activity but faced pullbacks as prices moderated.
- Tickeron's AI trading bots feature a strategy including HMY among gold producers, with annualized returns around 30%.
Introduction
Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited (HMY) and IAMGOLD Corporation (IAG) are prominent gold mining companies offering investors exposure to the precious metals sector. This comparison is particularly relevant for traders and investors navigating volatile gold markets, where price swings driven by macroeconomic factors like inflation and geopolitical tensions impact stock performance. Both firms operate in gold production, but differences in operational focus, financial metrics, and market positioning provide key insights for portfolio diversification or sector bets. Recent market activity highlights their relative strengths amid shifting sentiment.
HMY Overview and Recent Performance
Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited (HMY), a major South African gold producer, focuses on underground and surface mining operations. In recent weeks, the stock has demonstrated resilience, with a YTD gain of 16.31% and trading around $16.78, within a 52-week range of $12.58 to $26.06. Key influences include a 61% rise in operating profit reported in its half-year 2026 results, bolstered by strong gold prices. Market cap stands at approximately $10.6 billion, with earnings per share (EPS) of $1.56 and a low beta of 0.80, signaling lower volatility. Sentiment has been supported by gold's rally, though recent pullbacks in metal prices have tempered gains, contributing to a balanced performance outlook.
IAG Overview and Recent Performance
IAMGOLD Corporation (IAG), a Canadian mid-tier gold producer, operates assets including the ramping-up Côté Gold project in Ontario. The stock trades near $17.09, with a market cap of about $9.97 billion and a 52-week range of $6.06 to $24.87. Recent market activity shows YTD performance at 2.21%, following strong prior gains from Côté production increases and elevated gold prices. EPS is $1.14, with a higher beta of 2.28 reflecting greater sensitivity to market swings. Analyst upgrades and project milestones have driven sentiment, though softening gold prices in recent weeks have pressured shares amid quarterly production dynamics.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron’s Trending AI Robots page curates the top performers from its library of over 350 AI trading bots that analyze thousands of tickers across diverse strategies, timeframes, and styles like swing trading, multi-agent systems, and technical analysis (TA). Only the most suitable for current conditions—boasting annualized returns ranging from 30% to over 170%, win rates of 50-80%, profit factors around 1.5-11, and profit-to-drawdown ratios up to 21—earn a spot among the 25 featured bots. Examples include semiconductor-focused bots with +100% returns and a gold producers strategy trading NEM, GFI, HMY, and AU at +30% annualized. These bots offer real-time signals for copy trading with risk controls. Investors may explore this section to identify bots aligning with their gold sector interests.
Head-to-Head Comparison
Both HMY and IAG derive revenue primarily from gold mining, but HMY emphasizes established South African operations with steady output, while IAG pursues growth via projects like Côté Gold. Recent momentum favors HMY with superior YTD returns and dividend support, contrasting IAG's longer-term surges from production ramps. Risk profiles differ markedly: HMY's lower beta offers stability, versus IAG's higher volatility tied to development-stage assets. Sector exposure is pure-play gold for both, sensitive to metal prices, but HMY shows tighter valuation multiples. Market sentiment leans positive on IAG for upside potential, balanced by HMY's profitability edge.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI analysis currently leans toward favoring HMY over IAG in the near term, based on stronger trend consistency, lower relative valuation (P/E 10.76), dividend yield, and reduced volatility (beta 0.80). While IAG benefits from growth catalysts like Côté Gold, its higher beta and recent bearish signals suggest elevated risk amid gold price stabilization. This positioning gives HMY a probabilistic edge for stability-focused strategies.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is HMY is a Hold and IAG is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
HMY’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileIAG’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- HMY’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- IAG’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
HMY’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while IAG’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- HMY’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- IAG’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
HMY (@Precious Metals) experienced а -7.88% price change this week, while IAG (@Precious Metals) price change was -5.69% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Precious Metals industry was -11.03%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -11.25%, and the average quarterly price growth was -14.71%.
Reported Earning Dates
HMY is expected to report earnings on Aug 27, 2026.
IAG is expected to report earnings on Aug 06, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Precious Metals (-11.03% weekly)The Precious Metals industry is engaged in exploring/mining metals that are considered to be rare and/or have a high economic value. Popular precious metals include gold, platinum and silver - all three of which are largely used in jewelry, art and coinage alongwith having some industrial uses as well. Precious metals used in industrial processes include iridium, (used in specialty alloys), and palladium ( used in electronics and chemical applications). Historically, precious metals have traded at much higher prices than common industrial metals. Newmont Goldcorp Corp, Barrick Gold Corp and Freeport-McMoRan are few of the major precious metals producing companies in the U.S.
| HMY | IAG | HMY / IAG | |
| Capitalization | 10.1B | 9.37B | 108% |
| EBITDA | 31.8B | 1.96B | 1,619% |
| Gain YTD | -15.675 | 2.547 | -615% |
| P/E Ratio | 10.29 | 9.89 | 104% |
| Revenue | 81.2B | 3.41B | 2,384% |
| Total Cash | N/A | 551M | - |
| Total Debt | N/A | 651M | - |
HMY | IAG | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 14 | 29 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 9 Undervalued | 58 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 52 | 36 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 26 | 36 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 47 | 42 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 83 | 11 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 46 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
HMY's Valuation (9) in the Precious Metals industry is somewhat better than the same rating for IAG (58). This means that HMY’s stock grew somewhat faster than IAG’s over the last 12 months.
IAG's Profit vs Risk Rating (36) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as HMY (52). This means that IAG’s stock grew similarly to HMY’s over the last 12 months.
HMY's SMR Rating (26) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as IAG (36). This means that HMY’s stock grew similarly to IAG’s over the last 12 months.
IAG's Price Growth Rating (42) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as HMY (47). This means that IAG’s stock grew similarly to HMY’s over the last 12 months.
IAG's P/E Growth Rating (11) in the Precious Metals industry is significantly better than the same rating for HMY (83). This means that IAG’s stock grew significantly faster than HMY’s over the last 12 months.
| HMY | IAG | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 85% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 87% | 2 days ago 76% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 81% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 78% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 83% | 2 days ago 83% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 82% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 81% | 8 days ago 82% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 6 days ago 77% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 85% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 84% | 2 days ago 66% |
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HMY and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, HMY has been closely correlated with GFI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 85% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if HMY jumps, then GFI could also see price increases.
IAG and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, IAG has been closely correlated with CGAU. These tickers have moved in lockstep 88% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if IAG jumps, then CGAU could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To IAG | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IAG | 100% | +0.18% | ||
| CGAU - IAG | 88% Closely correlated | +0.12% | ||
| AEM - IAG | 87% Closely correlated | +0.11% | ||
| AGI - IAG | 86% Closely correlated | -11.83% | ||
| KGC - IAG | 85% Closely correlated | -1.39% | ||
| PAAS - IAG | 85% Closely correlated | -0.18% | ||
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