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ONB vs WBS
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Old National Bancorp (ONB) vs. Webster Financial Corporation (WBS) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both ONB and WBS are regional banks with similar business models focused on commercial and consumer lending in the U.S. Midwest and Northeast.
- WBS has shown stronger year-to-date price performance amid its pending merger with Banco Santander, S.A., while ONB maintains steady operational metrics ahead of its earnings release.
- Recent market activity highlights sector-wide sensitivity to interest rates and economic indicators, with both stocks exhibiting moderate volatility in line with broader regional banking peers.
- WBS carries distinct M&A-related catalysts, whereas ONB emphasizes organic growth and community banking stability.
- Market sentiment for both remains influenced by upcoming second-quarter earnings, scheduled for late July 2026.
- Relative positioning favors stability for ONB and potential upside from consolidation for WBS, creating clear trade-offs for different investor profiles.
Introduction
Regional banks such as Old National Bancorp (ONB) and Webster Financial Corporation (WBS) offer investors exposure to community-focused lending, deposit gathering, and fee-based services in distinct U.S. markets. This comparison examines their business profiles, recent price behavior, and key differentiators amid a market environment shaped by interest rate expectations and economic data. Traders and investors evaluating sector rotation, merger-driven opportunities, or defensive holdings in financials may find the analysis relevant for assessing relative momentum and risk profiles without relying on short-term forecasts.
ONB Overview and Recent Performance
Old National Bancorp operates as a regional bank holding company primarily serving the Midwest through commercial banking, retail services, and wealth management. In recent weeks, ONB shares have reflected broader regional bank trends, with performance tied to net interest margin stability and loan growth indicators. The company announced its second-quarter 2026 earnings release schedule for July 22, contributing to measured investor attention. Sentiment has remained relatively steady, supported by consistent operational execution and limited external catalysts, positioning the stock as a benchmark for traditional community banking resilience amid fluctuating rate environments.
WBS Overview and Recent Performance
Webster Financial Corporation serves as the holding company for Webster Bank, with operations centered in the Northeast and a focus on commercial, consumer, and healthcare financial services. Recent market activity shows WBS benefiting from its announced pending merger with Banco Santander, S.A., which has influenced price behavior alongside sector sentiment. The company scheduled its second-quarter 2026 earnings release for July 21, with no earnings call planned due to the transaction. Performance in recent weeks has aligned with merger-related developments and overall regional banking dynamics, highlighting both consolidation opportunities and standard operational metrics.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Old National Bancorp and Webster Financial Corporation both operate regional banking models but differ in geographic focus and strategic drivers. ONB emphasizes organic expansion in the Midwest with stable deposit franchises, while WBS benefits from Northeast market presence and the pending Santander merger as a primary growth catalyst. Recent momentum has favored WBS on M&A news, contrasting with ONB’s more consistent, lower-volatility profile. Risk factors include interest rate sensitivity for both, with WBS adding integration and regulatory considerations from the transaction. Sector exposure remains comparable in commercial lending, though market sentiment reflects distinct catalysts—steady fundamentals for ONB versus event-driven positioning for WBS.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, stability metrics, and relative catalysts in recent market activity, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a higher probabilistic preference to ONB for its steadier positioning ahead of earnings. WBS presents compelling attributes tied to the merger but carries additional variables that could moderate short-term consistency. This assessment draws solely from verifiable performance patterns and positioning rather than forward projections.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ONB is a Buy and WBS is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ONB’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileWBS’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- ONB’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- WBS’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ONB’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while WBS’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ONB’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- WBS’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
ONB (@Regional Banks) experienced а -0.47% price change this week, while WBS (@Regional Banks) price change was -1.78% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Regional Banks industry was -0.58%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +2.41%, and the average quarterly price growth was +15.22%.
Reported Earning Dates
ONB is expected to report earnings on Jul 22, 2026.
WBS is expected to report earnings on Jul 21, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Regional Banks (-0.58% weekly)Regional banks have a smaller reach than major banks, and cater mostly to one region of a country, such as a state or within a group of states. They offer services often similar – albeit with some limitations/smaller scale – compared to major banks. Taking deposits, making loans, mortgages, leases, credit cards , fund management, insurance and investment banking. SunTrust Banks, State Street Corp., M&T Bank Corp. are some examples of U.S. regional banks.
| ONB | WBS | ONB / WBS | |
| Capitalization | 10.2B | 12.3B | 83% |
| EBITDA | N/A | N/A | - |
| Gain YTD | 19.450 | 22.437 | 87% |
| P/E Ratio | 13.57 | 12.50 | 109% |
| Revenue | 2.74B | 2.92B | 94% |
| Total Cash | 537M | 353M | 152% |
| Total Debt | 7.36B | 5.55B | 133% |
ONB | WBS | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 44 | 42 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 48 Fair valued | 57 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 31 | 45 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 16 | 15 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 45 | 44 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 51 | 59 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
ONB's Valuation (48) in the Regional Banks industry is in the same range as WBS (57) in the Savings Banks industry. This means that ONB’s stock grew similarly to WBS’s over the last 12 months.
ONB's Profit vs Risk Rating (31) in the Regional Banks industry is in the same range as WBS (45) in the Savings Banks industry. This means that ONB’s stock grew similarly to WBS’s over the last 12 months.
WBS's SMR Rating (15) in the Savings Banks industry is in the same range as ONB (16) in the Regional Banks industry. This means that WBS’s stock grew similarly to ONB’s over the last 12 months.
WBS's Price Growth Rating (44) in the Savings Banks industry is in the same range as ONB (45) in the Regional Banks industry. This means that WBS’s stock grew similarly to ONB’s over the last 12 months.
ONB's P/E Growth Rating (51) in the Regional Banks industry is in the same range as WBS (59) in the Savings Banks industry. This means that ONB’s stock grew similarly to WBS’s over the last 12 months.
| ONB | WBS | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 60% | 1 day ago 68% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 52% | 1 day ago 67% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 61% | 1 day ago 69% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 60% | 1 day ago 72% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 57% | 1 day ago 67% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 57% | 1 day ago 59% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 59% | 4 days ago 65% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | N/A | 6 days ago 67% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 84% | 1 day ago 65% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 50% | 1 day ago 48% |
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WBS and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, WBS has been closely correlated with WTFC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 78% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if WBS jumps, then WTFC could also see price increases.