PBJ
Price
$48.56Alerts
Change
+$0.11 (+0.23%)
Updated
Nov 11 closing price
Net Assets
106.15M
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
VDC
Price
$249.25Alerts
Change
+$0.88 (+0.35%)
Updated
Nov 11 closing price
Net Assets
8.26B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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PBJ vs VDC

PBJ vs VDC Comparison Chart in %
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A.I.Advisor
Nov 04, 2026

Which ETF would AI Choose? Invesco Food & Beverage ETF (PBJ) vs. Vanguard Consumer Staples ETF (VDC)

Key Takeaways

  • PBJ is a concentrated, multi-factor food-and-beverage strategy, while VDC is a broad, market-cap-weighted consumer staples index fund.
  • Cost is a decisive differentiator: VDC charges roughly 0.09%, versus roughly 0.63% for PBJ, giving VDC a structural long-term cost advantage.
  • VDC holds about 100-plus stocks spread across the full consumer staples complex; PBJ holds about 30-plus names concentrated in food, beverage, and adjacent agriculture.
  • VDC is far larger and more liquid, with multi-billion-dollar assets under management (AUM) versus a small, niche asset base for PBJ.
  • On diversification, cost efficiency, liquidity, and trend consistency, the Tickeron AI Verdict favors VDC.

Introduction

Consumer staples exchange-traded funds (ETFs) attract attention whenever markets rotate toward defensive positioning, and two funds illustrate very different ways to access the sector. PBJ is a rules-based, factor-tilted play on the food and beverage industry, while VDC is a low-cost index vehicle covering the entire consumer staples universe. They do not compete directly on equal footing: one is a niche thematic product, the other a broad sector benchmark. Comparing them helps investors understand how index construction, fees, and diversification shape risk and return, which is why this ETF comparison remains relevant across recent market cycles.

Invesco Food & Beverage ETF (PBJ) Overview

The Invesco Food & Beverage ETF (PBJ) is a passively managed, rules-based fund that tracks the Dynamic Food & Beverage Intellidex Index. The index uses a quantitative, multi-factor methodology—emphasizing momentum, quality, and value—to select and tier-weight U.S. food and beverage companies. The fund generally holds roughly 30 to 32 names, making it considerably more concentrated than a broad sector fund.

Its largest positions have recently included KO, CTVA, MNST, SBUX, ADM, PEP, HSY, and KR. Sector exposure is dominated by consumer defensive (consumer staples) names at roughly 80%, with a smaller consumer cyclical sleeve and modest allocations to industrials and basic materials—reflecting its inclusion of agricultural and food-distribution businesses. The expense ratio is approximately 0.63%, notably above sector benchmarks, and the fund carries a relatively small asset base, which can affect trading spreads and institutional appeal.

Vanguard Consumer Staples ETF (VDC) Overview

The Vanguard Consumer Staples ETF (VDC) is a passively managed index fund that seeks to track the MSCI US Investable Market Consumer Staples 25/50 Index. This index covers large-, mid-, and small-cap U.S. companies classified within the consumer staples sector under the Global Industry Classification Standard (GICS). The fund holds roughly 100 to 107 stocks, offering broad diversification across packaged food, beverages, household products, tobacco, and staples retail.

Its top holdings have recently included WMT, COST, PG, KO, PM, PEP, MO, MDLZ, and CL. Consumer defensive exposure approaches 98% of the portfolio. With an expense ratio of roughly 0.09% and a multi-billion-dollar asset base, VDC is one of the lowest-cost and most liquid vehicles in the staples category, and it is structured as a non-diversified index fund that samples and replicates its benchmark.

Industry and Thematic Backdrop

Both funds sit within a sector shaped by defensive demand, input-cost dynamics, and shifting consumer behavior. Staples companies generally benefit from steady, non-cyclical demand, but they also face pressure from wage inflation, commodity and packaging costs, and price-conscious shoppers trading down. Interest-rate expectations matter too: higher yields can make dividend-rich staples less attractive relative to fixed income, while slowing growth or rising volatility tends to revive demand for defensive exposure.

PBJ is more sensitive to food-industry-specific forces—agricultural input prices, restaurant traffic, and beverage volume trends—while VDC layers in household products, tobacco, and staples retail, where pricing power and membership-based retailing are key. Regulatory and health-policy shifts, including scrutiny of tobacco and processed foods, create additional divergence in how these two portfolios respond to the same macro environment.

Performance and Positioning Comparison

Over recent months, VDC has demonstrated steadier, more consistent relative positioning, supported by its heavy weighting in large-cap staples leaders with durable pricing power. PBJ, by contrast, has been more volatile, reflecting its concentrated exposure to mid- and small-cap food names, agriculture-linked businesses, and a larger consumer cyclical sleeve. During recent market cycles favoring large-cap quality and defensive cash flows, VDC's construction has tended to capture sector strength more efficiently, while PBJ's factor-driven, smaller-cap tilt has produced more variable outcomes.

Cost and liquidity reinforce this divergence. VDC's lower expense ratio and deeper trading volume reduce friction and tracking risk, whereas PBJ's higher fee and smaller asset base make it a less efficient long-term holding. On a risk-adjusted basis, VDC's broader diversification and lower beta have typically translated into a smoother return profile for core, defensive allocation purposes.

AI Screener

Tickeron's AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs using customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener helps surface trade ideas, trending names, and breakout candidates far more efficiently than manual screening, and it is especially useful for comparing vehicles like PBJ and VDC across multiple dimensions at once. Explore the AI Screener to refine your own sector and ETF comparisons.

Tickeron AI Verdict

Based on observable structural factors, Tickeron's AI would currently favor VDC over PBJ. VDC combines a materially lower expense ratio, broader diversification across roughly 100-plus holdings, greater liquidity, and more consistent sector exposure, all of which tend to support steadier, cost-efficient relative positioning over time. PBJ offers a differentiated, factor-tilted food-and-beverage exposure that can outperform in specific environments, but its higher fees, concentration, smaller asset base, and added cyclical sensitivity introduce incremental risk. In a probabilistic framework emphasizing cost efficiency, diversification, and trend consistency, the evidence tilts toward VDC for investors seeking durable consumer staples exposure.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

VS
PBJ vs. VDC commentary
Nov 12, 2026

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is PBJ is a StrongBuy and VDC is a Buy.

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SUMMARIES
A.I.Advisor
a Summary for PBJ with price predictions
Nov 11, 2026

PBJ in upward trend: 10-day moving average moved above 50-day moving average on October 21, 2026

The 10-day moving average for PBJ crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 21, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 15 of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 88%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 49 of 60 cases where PBJ's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 09, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on PBJ as a result. In 56 of 80 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.

PBJ moved above its 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a +0.60% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PBJ advanced for three days, in 240 of 313 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 208 of 283 cases where PBJ Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 73%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for PBJ moved out of overbought territory on October 23, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 34 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 31 of the 34 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 90%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PBJ declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 77%.

PBJ broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for VDC with price predictions
Nov 11, 2026

VDC's MACD Histogram just turned positive

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for VDC turned positive on October 07, 2026. Looking at past instances where VDC's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 41 of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 89%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 08, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on VDC as a result. In 72 of 100 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 72%.

VDC moved above its 50-day moving average on October 12, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for VDC crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 16, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 14 of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.

Following a +0.52% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where VDC advanced for three days, in 255 of 328 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 78%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 212 of 299 cases where VDC Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 71%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for VDC moved out of overbought territory on November 05, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 33 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 27 of the 33 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 82%.

The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where VDC declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 76%.

VDC broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
PBJVDC
RSI
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
82%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
82%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
73%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
70%
Bullish Trend 4 days ago
72%
MACD
ODDS (%)
N/A
Bullish Trend 7 days ago
89%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
77%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
75%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
74%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
76%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
77%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
78%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 7 days ago
77%
Bearish Trend 7 days ago
76%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
84%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
74%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
73%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
71%
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PBJ and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PBJ has been loosely correlated with CCEP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 60% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if PBJ jumps, then CCEP could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To PBJ
1D Price
Change %
PBJ100%
+0.23%
CCEP - PBJ
60%
Loosely correlated
+0.27%
KHC - PBJ
57%
Loosely correlated
+0.12%
DOLE - PBJ
56%
Loosely correlated
+1.78%
CAG - PBJ
55%
Loosely correlated
-2.37%
MKC - PBJ
55%
Loosely correlated
+0.47%
More

VDC and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, VDC has been closely correlated with CL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 76% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if VDC jumps, then CL could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To VDC
1D Price
Change %
VDC100%
+0.35%
CL - VDC
76%
Closely correlated
-0.09%
PG - VDC
74%
Closely correlated
-0.59%
CAG - VDC
65%
Loosely correlated
-2.37%
GIS - VDC
61%
Loosely correlated
-1.13%
HSY - VDC
61%
Loosely correlated
+1.43%
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