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AMAT or ARM or NXPI
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Applied Materials (AMAT) vs. Arm Holdings (ARM) vs. NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- AMAT has delivered strong year-to-date gains of around 70%, driven by robust demand for semiconductor manufacturing equipment amid AI expansion.
- ARM shows explosive YTD performance near 90%, fueled by record licensing revenues from AI-centric CPU designs, though recent volatility persists due to supply concerns.
- NXPI surged over 40% in recent weeks following a Q1 earnings beat, with automotive and industrial AI applications boosting momentum.
- All three benefit from semiconductor sector tailwinds, but AMAT offers relative stability in equipment, while ARM and NXPI lead in design and end-market exposure.
- Analyst price targets suggest upside potential across the board, with AMAT at an average of $443 and highs to $545.
- Recent market activity highlights AI infrastructure as a key growth driver for relative performance in this trio.
Introduction
In the semiconductor sector, AMAT, ARM, and NXPI stand out for their roles in AI-driven technologies, from manufacturing equipment to CPU architecture and automotive chips. This comparison analyzes their business models, recent performance, and market positioning amid surging demand for advanced computing. Traders seeking momentum plays and investors eyeing long-term AI exposure will find value in understanding their contrasts in growth drivers, volatility, and sector sensitivities. With the industry benefiting from data center expansions and edge AI adoption, these stocks offer insights into broader market trends.
AMAT Overview and Recent Performance
Applied Materials (AMAT), a leader in semiconductor manufacturing equipment, provides tools for deposition, etching, and inspection used in chip production. The company serves major foundries investing heavily in AI infrastructure. In recent market activity, AMAT stock has surged, with year-to-date returns around 70% and over 175% in the past year, reflecting strong demand for advanced nodes. Sentiment has been bolstered by analyst upgrades and price targets up to $545, driven by expectations of 17% earnings growth in fiscal 2026. Recent weeks saw gains amid broader chip equipment optimism, though valuation concerns linger after the extended rally.
ARM Overview and Recent Performance
Arm Holdings (ARM) designs energy-efficient CPU architectures licensed to chipmakers, powering most mobile and increasingly AI data center processors. Its royalty-based model benefits from chip volume. Recent performance has been volatile yet upward, with year-to-date gains near 90% and 80% over the past year, highlighted by record Q4 fiscal 2026 revenue of $1.49 billion, up 20% year-over-year. A post-earnings dip of about 10% stemmed from supply chain worries in smartphones, but AI demand sustains momentum. Analysts maintain overweight ratings with targets averaging $239, citing 20%+ licensing growth outlook.
NXPI Overview and Recent Performance
NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) specializes in mixed-signal chips for automotive, industrial, and IoT applications, including secure microcontrollers (MCUs) and sensors. It holds strong market share in vehicle electrification and ADAS (advanced driver-assistance systems). Recent weeks delivered explosive gains, with shares up over 40% monthly and nearly 50% in April, following Q1 revenue of $3.18 billion, a 12% year-over-year increase that beat estimates. Optimistic Q2 guidance and AI opportunities in edge computing have lifted sentiment, with analyst targets averaging around $300 and buys dominating.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
AMAT’s equipment business thrives on capex cycles, contrasting ARM’s asset-light IP licensing, which scales with royalties but exposes it to customer concentration risks. NXPI diversifies via automotive (over 50% revenue) and industrial, lessening pure AI dependence compared to peers. Recent momentum favors NXPI’s post-earnings surge versus ARM’s volatility, while AMAT shows steady climbs. Valuation sensitivity is highest for ARM at elevated multiples, with NXPI appearing more attractive on forward P/E. Market sentiment tilts bullish across all amid AI catalysts, but trade-offs include AMAT’s cyclicality, ARM’s supply risks, and NXPI’s end-market diversification.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors AMAT due to its consistent trend strength, broad AI equipment exposure, and relative stability amid sector volatility. Observable factors like 70% YTD gains, upward earnings revisions to $11.11 for fiscal 2026, and high analyst targets indicate superior positioning probabilistically over ARM’s supply headwinds and NXPI’s narrower catalysts.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AMAT’s FA Score shows that 4 FA rating(s) are green whileARM’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s), and NXPI’s FA Score reflects 2 green FA rating(s).
- AMAT’s FA Score: 4 green, 1 red.
- ARM’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- NXPI’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AMAT’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while ARM’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s), and NXPI’s TA Score reflects 2 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AMAT’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 3 bearish.
- ARM’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
- NXPI’s TA Score: 2 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
AMAT (@Electronic Production Equipment) experienced а +3.11% price change this week, while ARM (@Semiconductors) price change was -7.56% , and NXPI (@Semiconductors) price fluctuated -0.97% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronic Production Equipment industry was -0.08%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +8.47%, and the average quarterly price growth was +128.49%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was -0.06%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -2.25%, and the average quarterly price growth was +92.80%.
Reported Earning Dates
AMAT is expected to report earnings on Aug 13, 2026.
ARM is expected to report earnings on Jul 29, 2026.
NXPI is expected to report earnings on Jul 28, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electronic Production Equipment (-0.08% weekly)The electronic production equipment industry makes equipment used to produce semiconductors. Such equipment includes wafer fabrication, plasma etching and photo-resist processing equipment. The industry also makes chemical vapor deposition processing systems and photomasks, which are high-purity quartz plates that contain patterns to define integrated circuits layouts. Applied Materials, Inc., Lam Research Corporation, and KLA-Tencor Corporation are examples of electronic production equipment manufacturing companies.
@Semiconductors (-0.06% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
| AMAT | ARM | NXPI | |
| Capitalization | 465B | 391B | 75.7B |
| EBITDA | 11.1B | 1.16B | 4.72B |
| Gain YTD | 128.546 | 235.184 | 38.900 |
| P/E Ratio | 60.22 | 479.67 | 30.90 |
| Revenue | 29B | 4.92B | 12.6B |
| Total Cash | 8.24B | 3.6B | 3.38B |
| Total Debt | 7.27B | 457M | 11.7B |
AMAT | NXPI | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 43 | 71 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 78 Overvalued | 49 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 7 | 53 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 24 | 36 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 3 | 9 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 5 | 27 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
NXPI's Valuation (49) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as AMAT (78) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry. This means that NXPI’s stock grew similarly to AMAT’s over the last 12 months.
AMAT's Profit vs Risk Rating (7) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is somewhat better than the same rating for NXPI (53) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that AMAT’s stock grew somewhat faster than NXPI’s over the last 12 months.
AMAT's SMR Rating (24) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as NXPI (36) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that AMAT’s stock grew similarly to NXPI’s over the last 12 months.
AMAT's Price Growth Rating (3) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as NXPI (9) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that AMAT’s stock grew similarly to NXPI’s over the last 12 months.
AMAT's P/E Growth Rating (5) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as NXPI (27) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that AMAT’s stock grew similarly to NXPI’s over the last 12 months.
| AMAT | ARM | NXPI | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 60% | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 88% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 72% | 1 day ago 68% | 1 day ago 63% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 78% | 1 day ago 78% | 1 day ago 73% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 70% | 1 day ago 78% | 1 day ago 75% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 76% | 1 day ago 74% | 1 day ago 70% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 89% | 1 day ago 68% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | 6 days ago 88% | 2 days ago 65% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 78% | 7 days ago 65% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 65% | 1 day ago 67% | 1 day ago 74% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 90% | 1 day ago 61% |
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AMAT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AMAT has been closely correlated with LRCX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 88% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if AMAT jumps, then LRCX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To AMAT | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMAT | 100% | -8.48% | ||
| LRCX - AMAT | 88% Closely correlated | -9.33% | ||
| KLAC - AMAT | 85% Closely correlated | -9.17% | ||
| NVMI - AMAT | 78% Closely correlated | -9.52% | ||
| ASML - AMAT | 77% Closely correlated | -7.82% | ||
| ONTO - AMAT | 76% Closely correlated | -9.20% | ||
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ARM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ARM has been closely correlated with LRCX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 74% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ARM jumps, then LRCX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ARM | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARM | 100% | -10.14% | ||
| LRCX - ARM | 74% Closely correlated | -9.33% | ||
| KLAC - ARM | 74% Closely correlated | -9.17% | ||
| AMAT - ARM | 73% Closely correlated | -8.48% | ||
| FORM - ARM | 73% Closely correlated | -8.80% | ||
| VECO - ARM | 66% Closely correlated | -3.38% | ||
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NXPI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NXPI has been closely correlated with ENTG. These tickers have moved in lockstep 78% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if NXPI jumps, then ENTG could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To NXPI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NXPI | 100% | -7.21% | ||
| ENTG - NXPI | 78% Closely correlated | -8.58% | ||
| LRCX - NXPI | 77% Closely correlated | -9.33% | ||
| MCHP - NXPI | 76% Closely correlated | -9.20% | ||
| KLAC - NXPI | 76% Closely correlated | -9.17% | ||
| MCHPP - NXPI | 75% Closely correlated | -8.19% | ||
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