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APO or BX or TPG
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Apollo Global Management (APO) vs. Blackstone (BX) vs. TPG Inc. (TPG) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Apollo Global Management (APO), Blackstone (BX), and TPG Inc. (TPG) are leading alternative asset managers with substantial assets under management (AUM) and exposure to private equity, credit, and real estate strategies.
- In recent market activity through July 2026, BX reported strong second-quarter distributable earnings growth of 26% year-over-year, supported by AI-related investments, while APO highlighted continued fundraising momentum and TPG maintained focus on capital formation.
- Year-to-date performance as of late July 2026 showed TPG leading with approximately 29.8% returns, followed by BX at 15.4% and APO at 12.5%, reflecting varying sensitivities to market sentiment and sector-specific catalysts.
- Recent developments for APO included a $1.5 billion commitment to an offshore energy fund and potential financing discussions, while BX benefited from AI infrastructure exposure across its platforms.
- Valuation metrics indicate differences in scale, with BX holding the largest AUM at around $1.35 trillion and APO exceeding $1 trillion, compared to TPG's more moderate size.
- Market sentiment across the group has been influenced by broader financial sector strength and individual company execution on deployments and realizations in recent weeks.
Introduction
Apollo Global Management (APO), Blackstone (BX), and TPG Inc. (TPG) represent prominent players in the alternative asset management sector, each managing large pools of capital across private markets. This comparison examines their business models, recent performance trajectories, and positioning amid evolving market conditions in mid-2026. Institutional investors, portfolio managers, and traders monitoring financial services equities may find this analysis relevant for assessing relative momentum, risk profiles, and sector exposure within the alternatives space.
APO Overview and Recent Performance
Apollo Global Management (APO) operates as a global alternative asset manager with integrated businesses in credit, private equity, and retirement services through Athene. In recent weeks, the stock has traded in a range influenced by quarterly results and deal activity, closing at $125.59 on July 31, 2026. Key developments included a $1.5 billion investment commitment to a Keppel-managed offshore energy fund and progress on acquisitions expanding its business-to-business events platform. Sentiment benefited from broader strength in financial shares and regulatory updates on net investment income estimates. Year-to-date returns stood at approximately 12.5% as of late July, supported by record fee-related earnings reported earlier in the year and AUM surpassing $1 trillion.
BX Overview and Recent Performance
Blackstone (BX) is the world's largest alternative asset manager, with diversified operations in private equity, real estate, credit, and infrastructure. The stock closed at $127.75 on July 31, 2026, following second-quarter results that showed distributable earnings rising 26% year-over-year to $2 billion. Performance in recent weeks reflected gains from AI-related investments across business lines, alongside AUM reaching $1.35 trillion. Year-to-date returns approximated 15.4% through late July. Market activity highlighted resilience in fundraising despite some moderation in private credit flows, with the firm noting contributions from hyperscale data center and technology infrastructure exposure.
TPG Overview and Recent Performance
TPG Inc. (TPG) focuses on private equity, real estate, and other alternative strategies with a global footprint. Shares closed at $43.66 on July 31, 2026, up 2.25% that session, within a 52-week range of $36.95 to $70.38. Recent performance benefited from continued capital formation and deployment momentum reported in first-quarter results, with year-to-date returns reaching approximately 29.8% as of late July. The firm has emphasized execution across its platform amid macroeconomic uncertainty, maintaining a dividend of $0.59 per share declared earlier in the period. Sentiment has been shaped by analyst coverage and sector rotation toward asset managers demonstrating consistent realization activity.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Business models overlap significantly as alternative asset managers, yet differ in scale and emphasis: Blackstone (BX) leads in AUM size and infrastructure exposure, Apollo Global Management (APO) integrates substantial retirement services via Athene, and TPG Inc. (TPG) maintains a more concentrated private equity and real estate focus. Growth drivers include fundraising and deployment pacing, with BX recently highlighting AI infrastructure contributions, APO advancing targeted acquisitions and energy commitments, and TPG sustaining broad platform momentum. Recent momentum favored TPG on a year-to-date basis, while BX showed earnings outperformance tied to specific sector tailwinds. Risk factors encompass interest rate sensitivity, regulatory scrutiny on alternatives, and valuation compression potential across the group. Sector exposure centers on private markets, rendering all three sensitive to capital markets activity and investor risk appetite. Valuation metrics reflect trade-offs, with larger peers often trading at premiums supported by scale advantages, while market sentiment has rotated toward firms delivering visible realization and fee growth in recent periods.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors including earnings consistency, AUM expansion, and relative positioning in recent market activity, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a probabilistic edge to Blackstone (BX) due to its demonstrated earnings beat, AI-linked revenue contributions, and scale advantages. Apollo Global Management (APO) and TPG Inc. (TPG) present competitive profiles with distinct catalysts, though BX’s breadth across platforms may support more stable trend characteristics in the near term. This assessment draws from verifiable performance patterns and does not constitute investment guidance.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
APO’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileBX’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s), and TPG’s FA Score reflects 0 green FA rating(s).
- APO’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- BX’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- TPG’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
APO’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while BX’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s), and TPG’s TA Score reflects 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- APO’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 5 bearish.
- BX’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- TPG’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
APO (@Investment Managers) experienced а +1.47% price change this week, while BX (@Investment Managers) price change was +8.44% , and TPG (@Investment Managers) price fluctuated +12.21% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Investment Managers industry was +5.92%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +4.69%, and the average quarterly price growth was +15.28%.
Reported Earning Dates
APO is expected to report earnings on Nov 04, 2026.
BX is expected to report earnings on Oct 15, 2026.
TPG is expected to report earnings on Nov 10, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Investment Managers (+5.92% weekly)Investment Managers manage financial assets and other investments of clients. Management includes designing a short- or long-term strategy for buying/holding and selling of portfolio holdings. It can also include tax services and other aspects of financial planning as well. While it is perceived that the industry is faced with growing competition from robo-advisors/digital platforms and passive/ index-tracking funds, many investors still find value in actively managed in-person services that investment management companies often emphasize on. At the same time, many wealth managers are also incorporating digital initiatives/low cost options in addition to their in-person customized services. Their main sources of revenues are fees as a percentage of assets under management, in addition to a certain portion of clients’ gains from asset appreciation. BlackRock, Inc., Blackstone Group Inc and Brookfield Asset Management are some of the major investment management companies.
| APO | BX | TPG | |
| Capitalization | 73.4B | 110B | 7.86B |
| EBITDA | 7.72B | N/A | N/A |
| Gain YTD | -11.233 | -8.241 | -21.231 |
| P/E Ratio | 45.35 | 30.68 | 212.96 |
| Revenue | 31.5B | 12.6B | 3.04B |
| Total Cash | 253B | N/A | N/A |
| Total Debt | 14.2B | 14.2B | 2.99B |
APO | BX | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 24 | 34 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 72 Overvalued | 13 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 66 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 92 | 29 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 55 | 46 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 12 | 85 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
BX's Valuation (13) in the Investment Managers industry is somewhat better than the same rating for APO (72). This means that BX’s stock grew somewhat faster than APO’s over the last 12 months.
APO's Profit vs Risk Rating (50) in the Investment Managers industry is in the same range as BX (66). This means that APO’s stock grew similarly to BX’s over the last 12 months.
BX's SMR Rating (29) in the Investment Managers industry is somewhat better than the same rating for APO (92). This means that BX’s stock grew somewhat faster than APO’s over the last 12 months.
BX's Price Growth Rating (46) in the Investment Managers industry is in the same range as APO (55). This means that BX’s stock grew similarly to APO’s over the last 12 months.
APO's P/E Growth Rating (12) in the Investment Managers industry is significantly better than the same rating for BX (85). This means that APO’s stock grew significantly faster than BX’s over the last 12 months.
| APO | BX | TPG | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 56% | 3 days ago 62% | 3 days ago 69% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 60% | 3 days ago 61% | 3 days ago 68% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 77% | 3 days ago 79% | 3 days ago 73% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 72% | 6 days ago 72% | 3 days ago 76% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 74% | 3 days ago 70% | 3 days ago 77% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 72% | 3 days ago 65% | 3 days ago 71% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 73% | 6 days ago 70% | 3 days ago 73% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 69% | 4 days ago 69% | 19 days ago 68% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 53% | 3 days ago 69% | 3 days ago 74% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 72% | 3 days ago 59% | 3 days ago 71% |
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APO and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, APO has been closely correlated with KKR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 80% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if APO jumps, then KKR could also see price increases.
TPG and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TPG has been closely correlated with CG. These tickers have moved in lockstep 80% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if TPG jumps, then CG could also see price increases.