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AU or GOLD or RGLD
Which Stock Would AI Choose? AngloGold Ashanti (AU) vs. Barrick Gold (GOLD) vs. Royal Gold (RGLD) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- AngloGold Ashanti (AU) has led year-to-date performance with gains exceeding 10%, supported by strong revenue growth of nearly 71% in the latest reported year.
- Barrick Gold (GOLD) reported record cash flow in recent quarters but faces softer production outlooks and operational challenges, leading to recent share price weakness.
- Royal Gold (RGLD) projects robust 2026 growth with midpoints of gold sales volumes 32% higher than prior year, highlighting its royalty model's resilience.
- All three stocks operate in the gold sector amid recent gold price corrections from peaks above $5,000 per ounce, influencing relative momentum and sentiment.
- AU trades at a relatively low price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of about 18, compared to higher multiples for peers, suggesting valuation appeal.
Introduction
AngloGold Ashanti (AU), Barrick Gold (GOLD), and Royal Gold (RGLD) provide distinct exposures to the gold market—two as major producers and one as a royalty and streaming company. This comparison is relevant for investors and traders navigating gold's volatility, recent price peaks followed by corrections, and sector shifts driven by macroeconomic factors like interest rates and geopolitical tensions. Those seeking leveraged gold plays versus stable cash flows from royalties will find insights into relative performance, growth prospects, and risks in the current environment.
AU Overview and Recent Performance
AngloGold Ashanti plc (AU) is a global gold producer with operations across Africa, Australia, and the Americas. In recent market activity, AU shares have outperformed peers year-to-date, rising over 10%, amid a backdrop of elevated gold prices. The company reported revenue surging nearly 71% to $9.89 billion and net income of $2.64 billion in the latest full year, reflecting operational efficiencies and higher metal prices. Sentiment has been mixed in recent weeks, with shares dipping on insider sales and a debt tender amid Ghana operations focus, yet bolstered by strong reserve estimates and analyst optimism, including picks from Goldman Sachs.
GOLD Overview and Recent Performance
Barrick Gold Corporation (GOLD) ranks among the world's largest gold miners, with Tier 1 assets in North and South America, Africa, and Arabia. Recent quarters showed record free cash flow and higher gold production, alongside an increased dividend policy. However, shares have weakened in recent trading sessions, lagging broader markets amid concerns over a softer 2026 production outlook and mine disruptions like those at Loulo-Gounkoto.+slides+8.5%+as+investors+focus+on+softer+2026+outlook+and+weaker+gold+prices) Gold price momentum earlier in the year supported gains following 2025's strong rally, but corrections have pressured performance and investor sentiment.
RGLD Overview and Recent Performance
Royal Gold, Inc. (RGLD) focuses on acquiring royalties and metal streams, avoiding direct mining risks while benefiting from partner production. Shares have gained modestly year-to-date at around 4%, with recent pullbacks amid gold's correction. The company achieved record 2025 revenue and cash flow, and projects substantial 2026 sales growth—32% higher gold volumes at midpoint—driven by assets like Pueblo Viejo and Khoemacau. Upcoming quarterly results and roadshows sustain positive sentiment for its high-margin, growth-oriented model.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
AU and GOLD operate traditional mining models exposed to operational costs, geopolitical risks, and production variability, while RGLD’s royalty/streaming structure delivers stable, high-margin cash flows with upside from partner expansions. Growth drivers differ: RGLD eyes volume surges in gold, silver, and copper; AU leverages reserve upgrades; GOLD focuses on Tier 1 optimization despite outlook concerns. Recent momentum favors AU’s YTD strength, contrasting GOLD’s dips and RGLD’s steadiness. Risks include gold price sensitivity—higher for miners—and jurisdiction issues. Valuation-wise, AU appears cheapest on P/E, while RGLD trades at a premium for quality. Market sentiment reflects gold’s correction, tempering enthusiasm across the board.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI models currently lean toward AU based on superior trend consistency, attractive valuation, and robust earnings momentum amid gold sector pressures. Its outperformance and reserve catalysts position it favorably relative to peers, though gold volatility warrants monitoring. This probabilistic edge favors AU for traders eyeing short- to medium-term setups.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AU’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileGOLD’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s), and RGLD’s FA Score reflects 1 green FA rating(s).
- AU’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- GOLD’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- RGLD’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AU’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while GOLD’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s), and RGLD’s TA Score reflects 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AU’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
- GOLD’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- RGLD’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
AU (@Precious Metals) experienced а -13.14% price change this week, while GOLD (@Investment Banks/Brokers) price change was -6.36% , and RGLD (@Precious Metals) price fluctuated -8.20% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Precious Metals industry was -12.95%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -16.48%, and the average quarterly price growth was +0.49%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Investment Banks/Brokers industry was -5.89%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -5.21%, and the average quarterly price growth was -14.37%.
Reported Earning Dates
AU is expected to report earnings on Jul 31, 2026.
GOLD is expected to report earnings on Aug 27, 2026.
RGLD is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Precious Metals (-12.95% weekly)The Precious Metals industry is engaged in exploring/mining metals that are considered to be rare and/or have a high economic value. Popular precious metals include gold, platinum and silver - all three of which are largely used in jewelry, art and coinage alongwith having some industrial uses as well. Precious metals used in industrial processes include iridium, (used in specialty alloys), and palladium ( used in electronics and chemical applications). Historically, precious metals have traded at much higher prices than common industrial metals. Newmont Goldcorp Corp, Barrick Gold Corp and Freeport-McMoRan are few of the major precious metals producing companies in the U.S.
@Investment Banks/Brokers (-5.89% weekly)These banks specialize in underwriting (helping companies with debt financing or equity issuances), IPOs, facilitating mergers and other corporate reorganizations and acting as a broker or financial advisor for institutions. They might also trade securities on their own accounts. Investment banks potentially thrive on expanding its network of clients, since that could help them increase profits. Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and CME Group Inc are some of the largest investment banking companies.
| AU | GOLD | RGLD | |
| Capitalization | 46.6B | 1.15B | 17.5B |
| EBITDA | 5.76B | 204M | 1.03B |
| Gain YTD | 1.520 | 17.348 | -6.931 |
| P/E Ratio | 12.35 | 12.91 | 24.92 |
| Revenue | 11.2B | 23B | 1.31B |
| Total Cash | 1.43B | 152M | 234M |
| Total Debt | 2.28B | 812M | 596M |
AU | GOLD | RGLD | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 77 | 73 | 19 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 5 Undervalued | 68 Overvalued | 25 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 34 | 51 | 48 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 21 | 72 | 66 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 43 | 45 | 58 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 71 | 99 | 71 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
AU's Valuation (5) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as RGLD (25) and is somewhat better than the same rating for GOLD (68). This means that AU's stock grew similarly to RGLD’s and somewhat faster than GOLD’s over the last 12 months.
AU's Profit vs Risk Rating (34) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as RGLD (48) and is in the same range as GOLD (51). This means that AU's stock grew similarly to RGLD’s and similarly to GOLD’s over the last 12 months.
AU's SMR Rating (21) in the Precious Metals industry is somewhat better than the same rating for RGLD (66) and is somewhat better than the same rating for GOLD (72). This means that AU's stock grew somewhat faster than RGLD’s and somewhat faster than GOLD’s over the last 12 months.
AU's Price Growth Rating (43) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as GOLD (45) and is in the same range as RGLD (58). This means that AU's stock grew similarly to GOLD’s and similarly to RGLD’s over the last 12 months.
AU's P/E Growth Rating (71) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as RGLD (71) and is in the same range as GOLD (99). This means that AU's stock grew similarly to RGLD’s and similarly to GOLD’s over the last 12 months.
| AU | GOLD | RGLD | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 82% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 67% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 62% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 60% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 64% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 63% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 83% | 16 days ago 79% | 9 days ago 72% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 74% | 6 days ago 76% | 16 days ago 62% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 82% | 2 days ago 67% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 59% |
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